Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Granular data from DBS shows worsening credit metrics in Greater China and in Hong Kong. </li>
<li>We use DBS and other banks, as a window on credit metrics for China banks and HK local banks.</li>
<li>The NPL ratio for its HK business moved from 1.1% to 1.7% YoY, while Pillar 3 data shows sharp rise in New NPLs in 2H24</li>
</ul>


Granular data from DBS shows worsening credit metrics in Greater China and in Hong Kong. 
We use DBS and other banks, as a window on credit metrics for China banks and HK local banks.
The NPL ratio for its HK business moved from 1.1% to 1.7% YoY, while Pillar 3 data shows sharp rise in New NPLs in 2H24


DBS - Granular Disclosure Shows Aggressive Deterioration in HK and China. Look at Pillar 3 Also.

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Centurion Accommodation REIT / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/centurion-accomodation-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45779:1" rel="noopener">Centurion Accomodation REIT (CAREIT SP)</a> (CAREIT) plans to raise around US$600m in its Singapore listing.</li>
<li>CAREIT plans to invest directly or indirectly, in a portfolio of purpose-built worker accommodation (PBWA), purpose-built student accommodation (PBSA) or other accommodation, located globally (excluding Malaysia).</li>
<li>We have looked at the company's past performance in our previous note. In this note, we talk about valuations.</li>
</ul>



Centurion Accomodation REIT (CAREIT SP) (CAREIT) plans to raise around US$600m in its Singapore listing.
CAREIT plans to invest directly or indirectly, in a portfolio of purpose-built worker accommodation (PBWA), purpose-built student accommodation (PBSA) or other accommodation, located globally (excluding Malaysia).
We have looked at the company's past performance in our previous note. In this note, we talk about valuations.


Centurion Accomodation REIT IPO - Thoughts on Valuation

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/centurion-accomodation-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45779:1" rel="noopener">Centurion Accomodation REIT (CAREIT SP)</a> (CAREIT) plans to raise around US$600m in its Singapore listing.</li>
<li>CAREIT plans to invest directly or indirectly, in a portfolio of purpose-built worker accommodation (PBWA), purpose-built student accommodation (PBSA) or other accommodation, located globally (excluding Malaysia).</li>
<li>In this note, we look at the REIT's portfolio and performance.</li>
</ul>



Centurion Accomodation REIT (CAREIT SP) (CAREIT) plans to raise around US$600m in its Singapore listing.
CAREIT plans to invest directly or indirectly, in a portfolio of purpose-built worker accommodation (PBWA), purpose-built student accommodation (PBSA) or other accommodation, located globally (excluding Malaysia).
In this note, we look at the REIT's portfolio and performance.


Centurion Accomodation REIT IPO - New Asset Class

Chief Executive Officer, Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Chief Executive Officer

Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Emmer Capital Partners is an Asia Pacific focused financial advisory firm engaging in strategic financial asset allocation advice, bespoke thematic research and advising early-stage companies and connecting them to investors. Emmer Capital provides macro-economic and multi-asset investment strategy inputs to institutions, family offices, private wealth managers, private equity, and corporate boards directly and through independent research platforms. Emmer Capital also advises a wide range of startup companies on fund raising and business strategy. Emmer Capital's active engagement with the print and electronic media reaches a broad spectrum of investors across the globe.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>ASEAN's underperformance could continue. The low growth region is facing the additional risk of increasing Chinese exports, which could dent domestic companies' revenues and margins and engender a deflationary spiral.</li>
<li>China exports more to ASEAN than to the US or EU. Margin pressure in consumer and industrials is palpable. Thailand is in deflation and inflation is nosediving in the region.</li>
<li>We recommend playing the region through markets with low China import intensity (Indonesia, Philippines) and through consumer services and select banks. We have Digiplus, DBS, BCA in our model portfolio.</li>
</ul>


ASEAN's underperformance could continue. The low growth region is facing the additional risk of increasing Chinese exports, which could dent domestic companies' revenues and margins and engender a deflationary spiral.
China exports more to ASEAN than to the US or EU. Margin pressure in consumer and industrials is palpable. Thailand is in deflation and inflation is nosediving in the region.
We recommend playing the region through markets with low China import intensity (Indonesia, Philippines) and through consumer services and select banks. We have Digiplus, DBS, BCA in our model portfolio.


Asian Equities: To Sidestep ASEAN's China Problem, Focus on Select Pockets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ntt-dc-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45414:1" rel="noopener">Ntt Dc Reit (NTTDCR SP)</a> (NDC), a data center REIT, aims to raise up to US$810m in its Singapore IPO.</li>
<li>The IPO portfolio comprises six mainly freehold data centres in the U.S., Austria and Singapore with an aggregate appraised valuation of US$1.6bn.</li>
<li>In this note, we look at the company's portfolio and its performance.</li>
</ul>



Ntt Dc Reit (NTTDCR SP) (NDC), a data center REIT, aims to raise up to US$810m in its Singapore IPO.
The IPO portfolio comprises six mainly freehold data centres in the U.S., Austria and Singapore with an aggregate appraised valuation of US$1.6bn.
In this note, we look at the company's portfolio and its performance.


NTT DC REIT IPO - Decent Yield, Strong Local Backing, a Few Issues

Singapore

DBS Group Holdings Limited and its subsidiaries provide a variety of financial services.  The Company offers services including mortgage financing, lease and hire purchase financing, nominee and trustee, funds management, corporate advisory and brokerage .  DBS Group also acts as the primary dealer in Singapore government securities.

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DBS Group Holdings (DBSDY US)

DBS - Granular Disclosure Shows Aggressive Deterioration in HK and China. Look at Pillar 3 Also.

Granular disclosure in newly released data from DBS shows major deterioration in credit metrics in Hong Kong and in China. Its Pillar 3 release...

Daniel Tabbush

Centurion Accomodation REIT IPO - Thoughts on Valuation

Centurion Accomodation REIT (CAREIT SP) (CAREIT) plans to raise around US$600m in its Singapore listing. In this note, we talk about valuations.

Sumeet Singh

Centurion Accomodation REIT IPO - New Asset Class

Centurion Accomodation REIT (CAREIT SP) (CAREIT) plans to raise around US$600m in its Singapore listing. In this note, we talk about the REIT's...

Sumeet Singh

Asian Equities: To Sidestep ASEAN's China Problem, Focus on Select Pockets

ASEAN is again in focus. President Trump's tariffs last night shows that his ire on ASEAN largely stems from China's transshipment through these...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

NTT DC REIT IPO - Decent Yield, Strong Local Backing, a Few Issues

Ntt Dc Reit (NTTDCR SP) (NDC), a data center REIT, aims to raise up to US$810m in its Singapore IPO. In this note, we look at its portfolio and...

Sumeet Singh

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