Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>This is our first report on medical device major, DexCom.</li><li>Although DexCom anticipates that these primary care connections will be crucial to its long-term consumer goals, they also enable the company to serve the nation's extensive insulin users.</li><li>In addition, DexCom carried out its previously disclosed accelerated share repurchase program, buying roughly 550 million outstanding shares.</li></ul>

This is our first report on medical device major, DexCom.Although DexCom anticipates that these primary care connections will be crucial to its long-term consumer goals, they also enable the company to serve the nation's extensive insulin users.In addition, DexCom carried out its previously disclosed accelerated share repurchase program, buying roughly 550 million outstanding shares.

DexCom Inc.: Initiation of Coverage – Business Strategy & Key Drivers

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Despite the macroeconomic headwinds, Q3 results from the large medtech companies showed some encouraging signs including healthy procedure volume growth depicting recovery in the medtech sector globally.</li>
<li>Amidst fear of recession, most of these companies reported healthy system placement and no order cancellation. Diabetes, with a large underpenetrated addressable population, remains one of the most resilient segments.</li>
<li>Financial performances of APAC medtech companies are expected to be driven by healthy global procedure volume growth and Fx, partially offset by macroeconomic headwinds including inflation and supply constraints.</li>
</ul>


Despite the macroeconomic headwinds, Q3 results from the large medtech companies showed some encouraging signs including healthy procedure volume growth depicting recovery in the medtech sector globally.
Amidst fear of recession, most of these companies reported healthy system placement and no order cancellation. Diabetes, with a large underpenetrated addressable population, remains one of the most resilient segments.
Financial performances of APAC medtech companies are expected to be driven by healthy global procedure volume growth and Fx, partially offset by macroeconomic headwinds including inflation and supply constraints.


Global Medtech Trends: Readouts from Early Birds of Q3 Earnings Season- Positives and Negatives

Fundamental Short Selling Research

Eric Fernandez, CFA

TwoRiversAnalytics

<ul>
<li>This model looks for slowing growth, margin declines, sales and/or earnings disappointments, troubling working capital trends, poor estimate trends or lowered guidance, among other characteristics.</li>
<li>The key judgement is whether a slowdown is temporary or the beginning of a trend.  These shorts tend to have high valuations and betas.  Multiple compression accelerates the stock’s decline.</li>
<li>Today we are flagging MercadoLibre, Outset Med, Universal Display, Dexcom</li>
</ul>


This model looks for slowing growth, margin declines, sales and/or earnings disappointments, troubling working capital trends, poor estimate trends or lowered guidance, among other characteristics.
The key judgement is whether a slowdown is temporary or the beginning of a trend.  These shorts tend to have high valuations and betas.  Multiple compression accelerates the stock’s decline.
Today we are flagging MercadoLibre, Outset Med, Universal Display, Dexcom


Breaking Growth Short Candidates: MercadoLibre, Outset Med, Universal Display, Dexcom

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/phc-holdings-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34198:1" rel="noopener">PHC Holdings (6523 JP)</a> is a diversified healthcare company, which serves ~$25 billion broader end-market, of which global glucose monitoring is the largest end-market.</li>
<li>The company’s diabetes management business is the highest margin earning segment and is poised to grow through expanding presence in continuous glucose monitoring system.</li>
<li>PHC can be an early investment idea as a passive play on the fastest growing segment of the global diabetes management segment ahead of its global launch of next-generation CGM.</li>
</ul>



PHC Holdings (6523 JP) is a diversified healthcare company, which serves ~$25 billion broader end-market, of which global glucose monitoring is the largest end-market.
The company’s diabetes management business is the highest margin earning segment and is poised to grow through expanding presence in continuous glucose monitoring system.
PHC can be an early investment idea as a passive play on the fastest growing segment of the global diabetes management segment ahead of its global launch of next-generation CGM.


PHC Holdings (6523 JP): Eyeing a Bigger Pie of Global Diabetes Management Solution

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/abbott-laboratories" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11987:1" rel="noopener">Abbott Laboratories (ABT US)</a> Q4 revenue and adjusted EPS beat consensus. Global COVID-19 testing-related sales were $2.3 billion, ahead of consensus of $1.3 billion.</li>
<li>Management provided conservative guidance for 2022 COVID-19 testing revenue of $2.5 billion, which is expected to be updated on a quarterly basis.</li>
<li>Abbott expects its medical devices business on a normal run rate in H2 2022. However, its diabetes care portfolio remained resilient and grew faster than the nearest competitor.</li>
</ul>



Abbott Laboratories (ABT US) Q4 revenue and adjusted EPS beat consensus. Global COVID-19 testing-related sales were $2.3 billion, ahead of consensus of $1.3 billion.
Management provided conservative guidance for 2022 COVID-19 testing revenue of $2.5 billion, which is expected to be updated on a quarterly basis.
Abbott expects its medical devices business on a normal run rate in H2 2022. However, its diabetes care portfolio remained resilient and grew faster than the nearest competitor.


Abbott Laboratories (ABT US): Q42021 Review- Conservative Guidance Leaves Room For Upside Potential

United States

DexCom Inc. is a medical device company focused on the design and development of continuous glucose monitoring systems for people with diabetes.  The Company has developed a small implantable device that continuously measures glucose levels in subcutaneous tissue just under the skin, and a small external receiver to which the sensor transmits glucose levels at specified intervals.

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Dexcom Inc (DXCM US)

DexCom Inc.: Initiation of Coverage – Business Strategy & Key Drivers

This is our first report on medical device major, DexCom. Although DexCom anticipates that these primary care connections will be crucial to its...

Baptista Research

Global Medtech Trends: Readouts from Early Birds of Q3 Earnings Season- Positives and Negatives

Q3 results of large U.S. medtech companies recorded procedure volume growth. However, macroeconomic headwinds are expected to prevail. Similar...

Tina Banerjee

Breaking Growth Short Candidates: MercadoLibre, Outset Med, Universal Display, Dexcom

Breaking Growth stocks combine declining fundamentals with a multiple compression. This week we flag: MercadoLibre, Outset Med, Universal Display,...

Eric Fernandez, CFA

PHC Holdings (6523 JP): Eyeing a Bigger Pie of Global Diabetes Management Solution

Ahead of the global launch on Senseonics’ next-generation implantable CGM in Q2 2022, we are bullish on the long-term growth prospect of PHC.

Tina Banerjee

Abbott Laboratories (ABT US): Q42021 Review- Conservative Guidance Leaves Room For Upside Potential

Strong base business, conservative 2022 guidance leaving room for upside potential, cadence of new product launches, and resilient pockets of...

Tina Banerjee

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