IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Midea Group Co Ltd A / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/midea-group-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16185:1" rel="noopener">Midea Group Co Ltd A (000333 CH)</a>, the world’s biggest home appliances maker, has filed for a H Share listing to raise US$1 billion, according to press reports.   </li>
<li>Midea is the world’s largest home appliance company in sales volume and revenue in 2022. Its subsidiary, KUKA Group, is one of the world’s “big four” industrial robotics companies.</li>
<li>The investment case rests on return to growth, margin on an upward trajectory, cash generation, strong balance sheet and undemanding valuation. </li>
</ul>



Midea Group Co Ltd A (000333 CH), the world’s biggest home appliances maker, has filed for a H Share listing to raise US$1 billion, according to press reports.   
Midea is the world’s largest home appliance company in sales volume and revenue in 2022. Its subsidiary, KUKA Group, is one of the world’s “big four” industrial robotics companies.
The investment case rests on return to growth, margin on an upward trajectory, cash generation, strong balance sheet and undemanding valuation. 


Midea Group H Share Listing: The Investment Case

Doosan Robotics  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/doosan-robotics" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36816:1" rel="noopener">Doosan Robotics (454910 KS)</a> IPO has coincided with a fortuitous rerating of peers as robotics has recently emerged as a dominant theme in the Korean stock market. </li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/doosan-robotics-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:111689" rel="noopener">Doosan Robotics IPO: The Bull Case</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/doosan-robotics-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:111820" rel="noopener">Doosan Robotics IPO: The Bear Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/doosan-robotics-ipo-valuation-insights" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:111919" rel="noopener">Doosan Robotics IPO: Valuation Insights</a>.</li>
<li>The risk is that sentiment can quickly shift the other way before the listing. Our bull-case DCF suggests that the IPO price range is, at best, fully priced. </li>
</ul>



Doosan Robotics (454910 KS) IPO has coincided with a fortuitous rerating of peers as robotics has recently emerged as a dominant theme in the Korean stock market. 
We previously discussed the IPO in Doosan Robotics IPO: The Bull Case, Doosan Robotics IPO: The Bear Case and Doosan Robotics IPO: Valuation Insights.
The risk is that sentiment can quickly shift the other way before the listing. Our bull-case DCF suggests that the IPO price range is, at best, fully priced. 


Doosan Robotics IPO: Exuberance Results in Valuation Disconnect

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/doosan-robotics" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36816:1" rel="noopener">Doosan Robotics (454910 KS)</a> is a global industrial and collaborative robotics leader. It has opened the books on an up to US$318 million IPO. </li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/doosan-robotics-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:111689" rel="noopener">Doosan Robotics IPO: The Bull Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/doosan-robotics-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:111820" rel="noopener">Doosan Robotics IPO: The Bear Case</a>. </li>
<li>In this note, we look at the syndicate's valuation methodology. Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range is unattractive, and we would pass on the IPO.</li>
</ul>



Doosan Robotics (454910 KS) is a global industrial and collaborative robotics leader. It has opened the books on an up to US$318 million IPO. 
We previously discussed the IPO in Doosan Robotics IPO: The Bull Case and Doosan Robotics IPO: The Bear Case. 
In this note, we look at the syndicate's valuation methodology. Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range is unattractive, and we would pass on the IPO.


Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

iShares MSCI ACWI ETF / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>In our latest int'l reports we have preached caution, and since January we have discussed our expectations for $93 to cap upside on the ACWI-US</li>
<li>Thus far, $93 has proven to be rock-solid resistance, and ACWI-US now displays a 4.5-month uptrend violation signaling the pullback has officially begun.</li>
<li>We would expect this pullback to continue down to $86-87 at minimum, and potentially $84 (December 2022 low). Even $75-77 (the 2022 lows) is not out of the question.</li>
</ul>


In our latest int'l reports we have preached caution, and since January we have discussed our expectations for $93 to cap upside on the ACWI-US
Thus far, $93 has proven to be rock-solid resistance, and ACWI-US now displays a 4.5-month uptrend violation signaling the pullback has officially begun.
We would expect this pullback to continue down to $86-87 at minimum, and potentially $84 (December 2022 low). Even $75-77 (the 2022 lows) is not out of the question.


MSCI ACWI Uptrend Break; Defensives to Shine; Ideas in Staples, Health Care, Telecomm, Utilities

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of January 20th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$7,139.5 million, led by information technology, industrials, materials sectors, and offset by real estate.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Kweichow Moutai, CATL, Wuliangye, Ping An Insurance, BOE.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of January 20th.
We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$7,139.5 million, led by information technology, industrials, materials sectors, and offset by real estate.
We highlight flows for Kweichow Moutai, CATL, Wuliangye, Ping An Insurance, BOE.


Northbound Flows (Jan 20th): $7.1bn Inflows Before CNY

China

Ecovacs Robotics Co., Ltd. designs and sells household maintenance technology based products. The Company offers robotic floor and window cleaners for residential and commercial applications.

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Ecovacs Robotics (603486 CH)

Doosan Robotics IPO: Exuberance Results in Valuation Disconnect

The IPO has coincided with a fortuitous rerating of peers. The risk is that sentiment can quickly shift the other way before listing. Valuation...

Arun George

Doosan Robotics IPO: Valuation Insights

The syndicate has disclosed an additional valuation methodology based on peers’ trailing P/S multiple in an updated prospectus. The P/S methodology...

Arun George

MSCI ACWI Uptrend Break; Defensives to Shine; Ideas in Staples, Health Care, Telecomm, Utilities

$93 on $ACWI has proven to be rock-solid resistance, and it now displays a 4.5-month uptrend violation signaling the pullback has officially begun....

Vermilion Research

Northbound Flows (Jan 20th): $7.1bn Inflows Before CNY

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Kweichow Moutai, Contemporary Amperex Technology,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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