Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We interact with local business owners and our channels in Srinagar, Jammu and Kashmir with an objective to understand the current sentiment on the ground. </li>
<li>Srinagar, Kashmir's summer capital, remains strategically vital in the current conflict as a military hub and political flashpoint between India and Pakistan.</li>
<li>Local business owners are hopeful that the escalating conflict and the media attention surrounding it will ease by the 10th of May.</li>
</ul>


We interact with local business owners and our channels in Srinagar, Jammu and Kashmir with an objective to understand the current sentiment on the ground. 
Srinagar, Kashmir's summer capital, remains strategically vital in the current conflict as a military hub and political flashpoint between India and Pakistan.
Local business owners are hopeful that the escalating conflict and the media attention surrounding it will ease by the 10th of May.


Telegram from Srinagar | Operation Sindoor - On Ground Update

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eicher-motors-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18316:1" rel="noopener">Eicher Motors (EIM IN)</a>, through its brand Royal Enfield, is experiencing strong export performance driven by strategic global expansion in the middleweight motorcycle segment. </li>
<li>The unit in Thailand, serves as a key manufacturing hub, with a CKD assembly facility supporting both local and Asia-Pacific markets.</li>
<li>Royal Enfield's focus on retro design and competitive pricing attracts customers in Europe and Brazil, filling a niche left by premium brands.</li>
</ul>



Eicher Motors (EIM IN), through its brand Royal Enfield, is experiencing strong export performance driven by strategic global expansion in the middleweight motorcycle segment. 
The unit in Thailand, serves as a key manufacturing hub, with a CKD assembly facility supporting both local and Asia-Pacific markets.
Royal Enfield's focus on retro design and competitive pricing attracts customers in Europe and Brazil, filling a niche left by premium brands.


Eicher Motors (EIM IN) | Why Exports Are on Fire

Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>The global auto industry faces significant tariff exposure. Option implied volatility offers a forward-looking assessment of risk.</li>
<li>Chinese car makers started to increase in implied volatility more than the other markets at the beginning of February. They now show the highest risk.</li>
<li>Recent implied volatility trends, asymmetric pricing (skew), and the term structure all seem to indicate that the Indian auto sector is the least exposed to international trade relations.</li>
</ul>


The global auto industry faces significant tariff exposure. Option implied volatility offers a forward-looking assessment of risk.
Chinese car makers started to increase in implied volatility more than the other markets at the beginning of February. They now show the highest risk.
Recent implied volatility trends, asymmetric pricing (skew), and the term structure all seem to indicate that the Indian auto sector is the least exposed to international trade relations.


EQD | Volatile Roads: Unveiling Risk in the Asian Auto Industry Through the Options Market

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hero-motocorp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2391:1" rel="noopener">Hero Motocorp (HMCL IN)</a>  &amp; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/harley-davidson-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4386:1" rel="noopener">Harley Davidson (HOG US)</a> launched their collaborative creation, the Harley-Davidson X440, in India.</li>
<li>While this is a step in the right and anticipated direction, there are potentially grave mistakes that need to be corrected.</li>
<li>For HOG, there is more to lose than to gain from this development. Additionally, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eicher-motors-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18316:1" rel="noopener">Eicher Motors (EIM IN)</a> moat around the brand and a strong riding culture is likely underrated.</li>
</ul>



Hero Motocorp (HMCL IN)  &amp; Harley Davidson (HOG US) launched their collaborative creation, the Harley-Davidson X440, in India.
While this is a step in the right and anticipated direction, there are potentially grave mistakes that need to be corrected.
For HOG, there is more to lose than to gain from this development. Additionally, Eicher Motors (EIM IN) moat around the brand and a strong riding culture is likely underrated.


Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Bajaj Auto will take majority control of KTM AG by buying out its Austrian partner in Pierer Bajaj AG and injecting €800 million to close KTM’s court-approved restructuring.</li>
<li>The deal rescues a flagship European brand from insolvency, safeguards KTM’s supply chain, and vaults Bajaj into the global premium-sport segment as an OEM rather than a contract partner.</li>
<li>Bajaj’s pivot from passive investor to turnaround owner adds earnings volatility near-term, but long-term it secures technology, brand equity, and a bigger share of high-margin 400-1,000 cc bikes.</li>
</ul>


Bajaj Auto will take majority control of KTM AG by buying out its Austrian partner in Pierer Bajaj AG and injecting €800 million to close KTM’s court-approved restructuring.
The deal rescues a flagship European brand from insolvency, safeguards KTM’s supply chain, and vaults Bajaj into the global premium-sport segment as an OEM rather than a contract partner.
Bajaj’s pivot from passive investor to turnaround owner adds earnings volatility near-term, but long-term it secures technology, brand equity, and a bigger share of high-margin 400-1,000 cc bikes.


Event Driven: Bajaj Auto Acquired Majority Control of Austrian KTM

India

Eicher Motors Ltd. manufactures light commercial vehicles which are sold domestically and are also exported to other countries. Eicher Motors also manufactures two-wheelers and automotive gears.

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Eicher Motors (EIM IN)

Telegram from Srinagar | Operation Sindoor - On Ground Update

Local business owners in Srinagar, Kashmir are hopeful for easing tensions by May 10 amidst the ongoing conflict between India and Pakistan.

Pranav Bhavsar