India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Sree Capital

Sreemant Dudhoria,CFA

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Fundamental Research on Listed Indian Companies

Sree Capital

Sree Capital is a platform to share fundamental research on listed Indian companies. We do this research for our own investment

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hero-motocorp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2391:1" rel="noopener">Hero Motocorp (HMCL IN)</a>’s April Slump: Operational, Not Structural Temporary plant shutdowns dragged volumes; normalization expected. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bajaj-auto-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3613:1" rel="noopener">Bajaj Auto Ltd (BJAUT IN)</a> : Domestic Drag, Exports Hold Up.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tvs-motor-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16123:1" rel="noopener">TVS Motor (TVSL IN)</a> : Momentum + Execution = Strong across domestic, exports, and EVs. Growth outperformance could justify its valuation premium — but how long can it hold?</li>
<li>
Demand Tailwinds Strengthen into May : Favorable marriage seasonality, recovering rural sentiment, and lean channel inventory suggest a stronger May — key for stocks at current levels.</li>
</ul>



Hero Motocorp (HMCL IN)’s April Slump: Operational, Not Structural Temporary plant shutdowns dragged volumes; normalization expected. Bajaj Auto Ltd (BJAUT IN) : Domestic Drag, Exports Hold Up.

TVS Motor (TVSL IN) : Momentum + Execution = Strong across domestic, exports, and EVs. Growth outperformance could justify its valuation premium — but how long can it hold?

Demand Tailwinds Strengthen into May : Favorable marriage seasonality, recovering rural sentiment, and lean channel inventory suggest a stronger May — key for stocks at current levels.


Two-Wheeler Sales – April 2025; Divergent Trends. Top Takeaways

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

<ul>
<li>Automobile industry is expected to witness a mixed performance in FY25 Volume growth, with robust growth in tractors, moderate increases in 2W’s and PV’s, and a slight decline in CV’s</li>
<li>Favorable farmer sentiment driving tractor demand and substantial export opportunities for 2W’s are key growth triggers anticipated.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/escorts-kubota-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6773:1" rel="noopener">Escorts Kubota Limited (ESCORTS IN)</a> with a revenue share of 80% from tractor business, foresees significant growth driven by a robust domestic market and double-digit growth in their export business. </li>
</ul>


Automobile industry is expected to witness a mixed performance in FY25 Volume growth, with robust growth in tractors, moderate increases in 2W’s and PV’s, and a slight decline in CV’s
Favorable farmer sentiment driving tractor demand and substantial export opportunities for 2W’s are key growth triggers anticipated.

Escorts Kubota Limited (ESCORTS IN) with a revenue share of 80% from tractor business, foresees significant growth driven by a robust domestic market and double-digit growth in their export business. 


Automobile Industry FY25: Expectations for Different Verticals

<ul>
<li>The Indian two-wheeler industry experienced subdued performance in February 2025, with listed companies reporting modest domestic sales figures. Exports were the only bright spot.</li>
<li>This insight provides a detailed analysis of sales performance of key players- <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hero-motocorp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2391:1" rel="noopener">Hero Motocorp (HMCL IN)</a>,<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bajaj-auto-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3613:1" rel="noopener">Bajaj Auto Ltd (BJAUT IN)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tvs-motor-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16123:1" rel="noopener">TVS Motor (TVSL IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eicher-motors-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18316:1" rel="noopener">Eicher Motors (EIM IN)</a>.</li>
<li>Although companies have indicated an improvement in the domestic market following the festival of Holi, it remains to be seen how the demand scenario unfolds.</li>
</ul>


The Indian two-wheeler industry experienced subdued performance in February 2025, with listed companies reporting modest domestic sales figures. Exports were the only bright spot.
This insight provides a detailed analysis of sales performance of key players- Hero Motocorp (HMCL IN),Bajaj Auto Ltd (BJAUT IN) , TVS Motor (TVSL IN) and Eicher Motors (EIM IN).
Although companies have indicated an improvement in the domestic market following the festival of Holi, it remains to be seen how the demand scenario unfolds.


Weak Domestic Consumer Sentiment Impacts Two-Wheeler Sales in India

<ul>
<li>The Indian commercial vehicle industry witnessed a subdued performance in February 2025, with listed companies reporting modest sales figures.</li>
<li>This insight provides detailed analysis of sales performance of key players-<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-motors-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:216:1" rel="noopener">Tata Motors Ltd (TTMT IN)</a>,<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mahindra-mahindra-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16441:1" rel="noopener">Mahindra &amp; Mahindra (MM IN)</a>,<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ashok-leyland-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20104:1" rel="noopener">Ashok Leyland (AL IN)</a>,<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eicher-motors-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18316:1" rel="noopener">Eicher Motors (EIM IN)&amp; </a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/maruti-suzuki-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:733:1" rel="noopener">Maruti Suzuki India (MSIL IN).</a>
</li>
<li>Industry reports and management insights indicate that the commercial vehicle market is expected to remain largely stable in FY2025, with hopes for positive growth in FY2026.</li>
</ul>


The Indian commercial vehicle industry witnessed a subdued performance in February 2025, with listed companies reporting modest sales figures.
This insight provides detailed analysis of sales performance of key players-Tata Motors Ltd (TTMT IN),Mahindra &amp; Mahindra (MM IN),Ashok Leyland (AL IN),Eicher Motors (EIM IN)&amp; Maruti Suzuki India (MSIL IN).

Industry reports and management insights indicate that the commercial vehicle market is expected to remain largely stable in FY2025, with hopes for positive growth in FY2026.


February 2025: A Challenging Month for India’s Commercial Vehicle Industry

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The Index Maintenance Sub-Committee of NSE Indices will meet on 21 February to conduct a semi-annual and quarterly review of stocks in various Nifty equity indices.</li>
<li>The changes will be announced after market close tomorrow and will be implemented at the close of trading on 28 March.</li>
<li>Based on the forecast index changes and capping changes for a few indices, the round-trip trade will be over US$2.5bn and many stocks will have over 0.5x ADV to trade.</li>
</ul>


The Index Maintenance Sub-Committee of NSE Indices will meet on 21 February to conduct a semi-annual and quarterly review of stocks in various Nifty equity indices.
The changes will be announced after market close tomorrow and will be implemented at the close of trading on 28 March.
Based on the forecast index changes and capping changes for a few indices, the round-trip trade will be over US$2.5bn and many stocks will have over 0.5x ADV to trade.


India: March Rebalance Announcement Tomorrow; Round-Trip Trade Over US$2.5bn

India

Eicher Motors Ltd. manufactures light commercial vehicles which are sold domestically and are also exported to other countries. Eicher Motors also manufactures two-wheelers and automotive gears.

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Eicher Motors (EIM IN)

Two-Wheeler Sales – April 2025; Divergent Trends. Top Takeaways

Hero Motocorp's April slump due to temporary plant shutdowns, while TVS Motor shows strong momentum and execution. Demand tailwinds expected to...

Sreemant Dudhoria,CFA

Automobile Industry FY25: Expectations for Different Verticals

Mixed performance expected in FY25 for automobile industry with strong growth in tractors, moderate increases in 2W’s and PV’s, and slight decline...

Nimish Maheshwari

Weak Domestic Consumer Sentiment Impacts Two-Wheeler Sales in India

Indian two-wheeler industry sees subdued performance in Feb 2025, with exports shining. Detailed analysis of key players' sales provided. Domestic...

Sreemant Dudhoria,CFA

February 2025: A Challenging Month for India’s Commercial Vehicle Industry

Indian commercial vehicle industry had a subdued performance in Feb-25, with all listed companies reporting flat or negative growth. Analysis and...

Sreemant Dudhoria,CFA

India: March Rebalance Announcement Tomorrow; Round-Trip Trade Over US$2.5bn

The March changes for the Nifty indices will be announced tomorrow. There are changes forecast for most indices with large AUM. Round-trip trade...

Brian Freitas

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

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Two-Wheeler Sales – April 2025; Divergent Trends. Top Takeaways

​Hero Motocorp's April slump due to temporary plant shutdowns, while TVS Motor shows strong momentum and execution. Demand tailwinds expected to...

Sreemant Dudhoria,CFA

Automobile Industry FY25: Expectations for Different Verticals

​Mixed performance expected in FY25 for automobile industry with strong growth in tractors, moderate increases in 2W’s and PV’s, and slight decline...

Nimish Maheshwari

Weak Domestic Consumer Sentiment Impacts Two-Wheeler Sales in India

​Indian two-wheeler industry sees subdued performance in Feb 2025, with exports shining. Detailed analysis of key players' sales provided. Domestic...

Sreemant Dudhoria,CFA

February 2025: A Challenging Month for India’s Commercial Vehicle Industry

​Indian commercial vehicle industry had a subdued performance in Feb-25, with all listed companies reporting flat or negative growth. Analysis and...

Sreemant Dudhoria,CFA

India: March Rebalance Announcement Tomorrow; Round-Trip Trade Over US$2.5bn

The March changes for the Nifty indices will be announced tomorrow. There are changes forecast for most indices with large AUM. Round-trip trade...

Brian Freitas

Hero Motocorp's April slump due to temporary plant shutdowns, while TVS Motor shows strong momentum and execution. Demand tailwinds expected to...

Mixed performance expected in FY25 for automobile industry with strong growth in tractors, moderate increases in 2W’s and PV’s, and slight decline...

Indian two-wheeler industry sees subdued performance in Feb 2025, with exports shining. Detailed analysis of key players' sales provided. Domestic...

Indian commercial vehicle industry had a subdued performance in Feb-25, with all listed companies reporting flat or negative growth. Analysis and...