Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hero-motocorp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2391:1" rel="noopener">Hero Motocorp (HMCL IN)</a>  &amp; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/harley-davidson-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4386:1" rel="noopener">Harley Davidson (HOG US)</a> launched their collaborative creation, the Harley-Davidson X440, in India.</li>
<li>While this is a step in the right and anticipated direction, there are potentially grave mistakes that need to be corrected.</li>
<li>For HOG, there is more to lose than to gain from this development. Additionally, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eicher-motors-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18316:1" rel="noopener">Eicher Motors (EIM IN)</a> moat around the brand and a strong riding culture is likely underrated.</li>
</ul>



Hero Motocorp (HMCL IN)  &amp; Harley Davidson (HOG US) launched their collaborative creation, the Harley-Davidson X440, in India.
While this is a step in the right and anticipated direction, there are potentially grave mistakes that need to be corrected.
For HOG, there is more to lose than to gain from this development. Additionally, Eicher Motors (EIM IN) moat around the brand and a strong riding culture is likely underrated.


Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of NIFTY in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on Eternal, Hindalco Industries, Mahindra &amp; Mahindra, State Bank of India, HDFC Bank, Adani Enterprises, ICICI Bank, State Bank Of India, Hdfc Bank, Hindalco Industries.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of NIFTY in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on Eternal, Hindalco Industries, Mahindra &amp; Mahindra, State Bank of India, HDFC Bank, Adani Enterprises, ICICI Bank, State Bank Of India, Hdfc Bank, Hindalco Industries.


NIFTY Index Earning Revision (Nov): Eternal, Hindalco Industries, Mahindra & Mahindra

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Companies in India have disclosed their shareholding pattern as of end-September in October. There are companies with significant float changes from end-June and/or end-March.</li>
<li>The changes in free float could be reflected in domestic and global indices over the next few weeks and months resulting in flow from passive trackers.</li>
<li>Depending on the date that the shareholding was published, there could be 20 stocks with passive inflows from global trackers while 6 could have passive outflows in November.</li>
</ul>


Companies in India have disclosed their shareholding pattern as of end-September in October. There are companies with significant float changes from end-June and/or end-March.
The changes in free float could be reflected in domestic and global indices over the next few weeks and months resulting in flow from passive trackers.
Depending on the date that the shareholding was published, there could be 20 stocks with passive inflows from global trackers while 6 could have passive outflows in November.


India: Potential Free Float Changes & Passive Flows in November

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of NIFTY in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on Adani Enterprises, JSW Steel, ICICI Bank, Infosys, Tata Motors, HDFC Bank, Coal India, Eternal, Hdfc Bank, Icici Bank, Infosys, Tata Motors, Coal India, Jsw Steel.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of NIFTY in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on Adani Enterprises, JSW Steel, ICICI Bank, Infosys, Tata Motors, HDFC Bank, Coal India, Eternal, Hdfc Bank, Icici Bank, Infosys, Tata Motors, Coal India, Jsw Steel.


NIFTY Index Earning Revision (Oct): Adani Enterprises, JSW Steel, ICICI Bank, Infosys, Tata Motors

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Akshat Shah

APAC IPOs & Placements

Equity Capital Markets

Orkla India Ltd. / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/orkla-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45300:1" rel="noopener">Orkla India Ltd. (0752506D IN)</a> is looking to raise about US$300m in its upcoming India IPO.</li>
<li>Orkla India is a multi-category food company offering a diverse range of spices and convenience food products, catering to every meal occasion across breakfast, lunch, dinner, snacks, beverages and desserts.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the company’s historical performance.</li>
</ul>



Orkla India Ltd. (0752506D IN) is looking to raise about US$300m in its upcoming India IPO.
Orkla India is a multi-category food company offering a diverse range of spices and convenience food products, catering to every meal occasion across breakfast, lunch, dinner, snacks, beverages and desserts.
In this note, we talk about the company’s historical performance.


Orkla India Pre-IPO - Strong Market Presence, Growth Yet to Catch Up

India

Eicher Motors Ltd. manufactures light commercial vehicles which are sold domestically and are also exported to other countries. Eicher Motors also manufactures two-wheelers and automotive gears.

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Eicher Motors (EIM IN)

Hero Motocorp (HMCL IN) | The "HOG" Wash

Hero MotoCorp (HMCL IN) & Harley-Davidson (HOG US) launched the Harley-Davidson X440 in India. Though a step in the right direction, there are...

Pranav Bhavsar

NIFTY Index Earning Revision (Nov): Eternal, Hindalco Industries, Mahindra & Mahindra

We analyzed NIFTY's consensus for Nov 2025 and highlighted changes of EPS in Eternal (ETERNAL IN), Hindalco Industries (HNDL IN), Mahindra &...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

India: Potential Free Float Changes & Passive Flows in November

Changes to shareholding patterns could lead to changes in float for some stocks in local/global indices in November. Passive trackers will need to...

Brian Freitas

NIFTY Index Earning Revision (Oct): Adani Enterprises, JSW Steel, ICICI Bank, Infosys, Tata Motors

We analyzed NIFTY's consensus for Oct 2025 and highlighted changes of EPS in Adani Enterprises (ADE/S IN), JSW Steel (JSTL IN), ICICI Bank (ICICIBC...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Orkla India Pre-IPO - Strong Market Presence, Growth Yet to Catch Up

Orkla India has launched a smaller IPO of up to INR 16.6bn (US$190m) in a INR695–730 range. Anchor books open on 28th October, with the rest of the...

Akshat Shah

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