Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swiggy-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35630:1" rel="noopener">Swiggy (SWIGGY IN)</a> listed in November 2024 and around 85% of the shares outstanding (US$7.6bn) will unlock on 13 May.</li>
<li>Nearly 80% of the shares that unlock are held by pre-IPO PE/VC investors and they are 100% in the money in most cases. Expect the selldown to commence soon.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swiggy-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35630:1" rel="noopener">Swiggy (SWIGGY IN)</a> should be added to one global index in June, while inclusion in the other global index will require a small price increase or selling from PE/VC investors.</li>
</ul>



Swiggy (SWIGGY IN) listed in November 2024 and around 85% of the shares outstanding (US$7.6bn) will unlock on 13 May.
Nearly 80% of the shares that unlock are held by pre-IPO PE/VC investors and they are 100% in the money in most cases. Expect the selldown to commence soon.

Swiggy (SWIGGY IN) should be added to one global index in June, while inclusion in the other global index will require a small price increase or selling from PE/VC investors.


Swiggy (SWIGGY IN): US$7.6bn Lock-Up Expiry & Index Inclusion

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

LG Electronics India / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lg-electronics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8814:1" rel="noopener">LG Electronics (066570 KS)</a> is looking to raise US$1.5bn+ via part-selling its stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lg-electronics-india" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44148:1" rel="noopener">LG Electronics India</a>.</li>
<li>LG Electronics India (LGEI) was the market leader in India in major home appliances and consumer electronics (excluding mobile phones) in terms of volume in 1Q25, as per Redseer Report.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance and undertaken a peer comparison in our previous note. In this note, we talk about valuations.</li>
</ul>



LG Electronics (066570 KS) is looking to raise US$1.5bn+ via part-selling its stake in LG Electronics India.
LG Electronics India (LGEI) was the market leader in India in major home appliances and consumer electronics (excluding mobile phones) in terms of volume in 1Q25, as per Redseer Report.
We have looked at the company’s past performance and undertaken a peer comparison in our previous note. In this note, we talk about valuations.


LG Electronics India Pre-IPO - Thoughts on Valuation

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lg-electronics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8814:1" rel="noopener">LG Electronics (066570 KS)</a> is looking to raise US$1.5bn+ via part-selling its stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lg-electronics-india" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44148:1" rel="noopener">LG Electronics India</a>.</li>
<li>LG Electronics India (LGEI) was the market leader in India in major home appliances and consumer electronics (excluding mobile phones) in terms of volume in 1Q25, as per Redseer Report.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous note. In this note, we undertake a peer comparison.</li>
</ul>



LG Electronics (066570 KS) is looking to raise US$1.5bn+ via part-selling its stake in LG Electronics India.
LG Electronics India (LGEI) was the market leader in India in major home appliances and consumer electronics (excluding mobile phones) in terms of volume in 1Q25, as per Redseer Report.
We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous note. In this note, we undertake a peer comparison.


LG Electronics India Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison - Largest but One of the Slowest

Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven), MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven)

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index</a> had rallied quite hard the week before last week, then stalled last week, however its looks like maybe is changing in its trend structure, maybe a breakout...</li>
<li>However the breakout may have to wait a bit more, as the NIFTY is overbought WEEKLY according to our model: before the uptrend resumes, there will be a pullback.</li>
<li>Last: as written by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/companies/acegama-advisors" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="companies:30807" rel="noopener">AceGama Advisors</a> the WEEKLY options expiry will be moved from Thursday to Monday, starting in April 2025, impacting the market. Read their insight for detailed analysis.</li>
</ul>


The NIFTY Index had rallied quite hard the week before last week, then stalled last week, however its looks like maybe is changing in its trend structure, maybe a breakout...
However the breakout may have to wait a bit more, as the NIFTY is overbought WEEKLY according to our model: before the uptrend resumes, there will be a pullback.
Last: as written by AceGama Advisors the WEEKLY options expiry will be moved from Thursday to Monday, starting in April 2025, impacting the market. Read their insight for detailed analysis.


NIFTY Outlook: Possible Breakout as Options Expiry Moves to Monday

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">Nifty Next 50 Index</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-bank-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26811:1" rel="noopener">Nifty Bank Index</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-it-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36059:1" rel="noopener">Nifty IT Index</a>, Nifty Midcap 150 Index, Nifty100 Low Volatility30 Index and the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cpse-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28191:1" rel="noopener">CPSE ETF</a> rebalance at the close today.</li>
<li>The round-trip trade across the indices is US$2.6bn and there are 26 stocks with over 1 day of ADV to trade from passive trackers.</li>
<li>Stocks with the largest impact are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/britannia-industries-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16495:1" rel="noopener">Britannia Industries</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bharat-petroleum-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10222:1" rel="noopener">Bharat Petroleum</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adani-total-gas-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28352:1" rel="noopener">Adani Total Gas</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/indian-hotels-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5774:1" rel="noopener">Indian Hotels</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jio-financial-services-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40042:1" rel="noopener">Jio Financial</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/indian-railway-catering-and-tourism-corporation-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33951:1" rel="noopener">IRCTC</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zomato-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28820:1" rel="noopener">Zomato</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/federal-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11784:1" rel="noopener">Federal Bank</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/union-bank-of-india" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:546:1" rel="noopener">Union Bank Of India</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/crompton-greaves-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6248:1" rel="noopener">Crompton Greaves</a>.</li>
</ul>


The NIFTY Index, Nifty Next 50 Index, Nifty Bank Index, Nifty IT Index, Nifty Midcap 150 Index, Nifty100 Low Volatility30 Index and the CPSE ETF rebalance at the close today.
The round-trip trade across the indices is US$2.6bn and there are 26 stocks with over 1 day of ADV to trade from passive trackers.
Stocks with the largest impact are Britannia Industries, Bharat Petroleum, Adani Total Gas, Indian Hotels, Jio Financial, IRCTC, Zomato, Federal Bank, Union Bank Of India and Crompton Greaves.


NIFTY Indices: Flows (Post Capping) At the Close Today; Round-Trip US$2.6bn

India

Eternal Limited is an online restaurant guide and food ordering platform. The Company offers platform connects customers, restaurants, and delivery partners to search and discover restaurants, read and write customer generated reviews, order food delivery, book a table, and make payments while dining-out at restaurants. Eternal serves customers worldwide.

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Eternal (ETERNAL IN)

Swiggy (SWIGGY IN): US$7.6bn Lock-Up Expiry & Index Inclusion

There is a US$7.6bn lock-up expiry in Swiggy on 12 May - 80% of that is PE/VC, so expect selling. The stock could remain under pressure but PE/VC...

Brian Freitas

LG Electronics India Pre-IPO - Thoughts on Valuation

LG Electronics (066570 KS) is looking to raise US$1.5bn+ via part-selling its stake in LG Electronics India. In this note, we talk about valuations.

Sumeet Singh

LG Electronics India Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison - Largest but One of the Slowest

LG Electronics (066570 KS) is looking to raise US$1.5bn+ via part-selling its stake in LG Elec India. We have looked at its past performance...

Sumeet Singh

NIFTY Outlook: Possible Breakout as Options Expiry Moves to Monday

The NIFTY is showing a potential breakout, possibly the start of an uptrend, but it is OVERBOUGHT: expect a pullback before a rally. Weekly...

Nico Rosti

NIFTY Indices: Flows (Post Capping) At the Close Today; Round-Trip US$2.6bn

The March rebalance of the Nifty family of indices takes place at the close today. The round-trip trade is US$2.6bn and there are 26 stocks with...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Swiggy (SWIGGY IN): US$7.6bn Lock-Up Expiry & Index Inclusion

There is a US$7.6bn lock-up expiry in Swiggy on 12 May - 80% of that is PE/VC, so expect selling. The stock could remain under pressure but PE/VC...

Brian Freitas

LG Electronics India Pre-IPO - Thoughts on Valuation

LG Electronics (066570 KS) is looking to raise US$1.5bn+ via part-selling its stake in LG Electronics India. In this note, we talk about valuations.

Sumeet Singh

LG Electronics India Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison - Largest but One of the Slowest

LG Electronics (066570 KS) is looking to raise US$1.5bn+ via part-selling its stake in LG Elec India. We have looked at its past performance...

Sumeet Singh

NIFTY Outlook: Possible Breakout as Options Expiry Moves to Monday

The ​NIFTY is showing a potential breakout, possibly the start of an uptrend, but it is OVERBOUGHT: expect a pullback before a rally. Weekly...

Nico Rosti

NIFTY Indices: Flows (Post Capping) At the Close Today; Round-Trip US$2.6bn

The March rebalance of the Nifty family of indices takes place at the close today. The round-trip trade is US$2.6bn and there are 26 stocks with...

Brian Freitas

The NIFTY is showing a potential breakout, possibly the start of an uptrend, but it is OVERBOUGHT: expect a pullback before a rally. Weekly...