IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

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Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chip-eng-seng-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6441:1" rel="noopener">Chip Eng Seng Corp (CHIP SP)</a> disclosed a revised conditional VGO from the Tangs at S$0.75, a 4.2% premium to the previous offer of S$0.72. The offer is final.</li>
<li>The offeror (47.27% of outstanding shares) and immediate family represent 50.49% of outstanding shares or 48.63% of diluted shares, which is just shy of the 50%+ minimum acceptance condition. </li>
<li>The bump was to increase the chances of privatisation rather than hitting the 50%+ minimum acceptance condition. At the last close, the gross spread is 1.4%. </li>
</ul>



Chip Eng Seng Corp (CHIP SP) disclosed a revised conditional VGO from the Tangs at S$0.75, a 4.2% premium to the previous offer of S$0.72. The offer is final.
The offeror (47.27% of outstanding shares) and immediate family represent 50.49% of outstanding shares or 48.63% of diluted shares, which is just shy of the 50%+ minimum acceptance condition. 
The bump was to increase the chances of privatisation rather than hitting the 50%+ minimum acceptance condition. At the last close, the gross spread is 1.4%. 


Chip Eng Seng (CHIP SP)’s Revised S$0.75 VGO from the Tangs

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chip-eng-seng-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6441:1" rel="noopener">Chip Eng Seng Corp (CHIP SP)</a> disclosed a conditional VGO from the Tangs at S$0.720, a 6.7% premium to the undisturbed price (6 September). The price is not declared final. </li>
<li>Irrevocables and family represent 41.44% of outstanding shares. The VGO has a 50%+ minimum acceptance condition which requires around a 15% minorities acceptance rate.</li>
<li>While the last close is in line with the offer, it is attractive in the context of historical prices/multiples. Therefore, there is a good chance of hitting the 50% threshold.</li>
</ul>



Chip Eng Seng Corp (CHIP SP) disclosed a conditional VGO from the Tangs at S$0.720, a 6.7% premium to the undisturbed price (6 September). The price is not declared final. 
Irrevocables and family represent 41.44% of outstanding shares. The VGO has a 50%+ minimum acceptance condition which requires around a 15% minorities acceptance rate.
While the last close is in line with the offer, it is attractive in the context of historical prices/multiples. Therefore, there is a good chance of hitting the 50% threshold.


Chip Eng Seng (CHIP SP)’s S$0.72 VGO from the Tangs

Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia), SCCM Asia Research

SCCM Asia Research

Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia)

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<h2>Singapore</h2><h3><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ascott-residence-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6560" rel="noopener">Ascott Residence Trust (ART SP)</a> acquires student accommodation property in Texas for US$70m; 5.1% EBITDA yield</h3><ul><li>ART has entered into a conditional sale and purchase agreement to acquire a student accommodation property located in Texas, USA for US$70m (~S$93.8m). Based on the independent valuation, the property is valued at US$72.0m (~S$96.5m). The property is a freehold, off-campus facility with 1,005 beds and serves Texas Tech University and is 100% leased for the 2021 academic year. Texas Tech University has over 40,000 students</li><li>On a pro forma basis, the acquisition is expected to contribute additional EBITDA of US$3.6m (~S$4.8m), translating to an expected EBITDA yield of 5.1%, and increase distributable income by S$3.3m for FY20, translating to an increase in pro forma distribution per stapled security of ~1.5%</li><li>Completion is subject to and conditional upon, the fulfilment of the conditions precedent in the Sale and Purchase Agreement and is expected to take place on or around 21Sep. ART proposes to finance the total acquisition costs from the private placement to raise gross proceeds of ~S$150.0m and debt financing. Following completion of the acquisition, ART’s aggregate leverage would remain at 35.9%.</li></ul>

SingaporeAscott Residence Trust (ART SP) acquires student accommodation property in Texas for US$70m; 5.1% EBITDA yieldART has entered into a conditional sale and purchase agreement to acquire a student accommodation property located in Texas, USA for US$70m (~S$93.8m). Based on the independent valuation, the property is valued at US$72.0m (~S$96.5m). The property is a freehold, off-campus facility with 1,005 beds and serves Texas Tech University and is 100% leased for the 2021 academic year. Texas Tech University has over 40,000 studentsOn a pro forma basis, the acquisition is expected to contribute additional EBITDA of US$3.6m (~S$4.8m), translating to an expected EBITDA yield of 5.1%, and increase distributable income by S$3.3m for FY20, translating to an increase in pro forma distribution per stapled security of ~1.5%Completion is subject to and conditional upon, the fulfilment of the conditions precedent in the Sale and Purchase Agreement and is expected to take place on or around 21Sep. ART proposes to finance the total acquisition costs from the private placement to raise gross proceeds of ~S$150.0m and debt financing. Following completion of the acquisition, ART’s aggregate leverage would remain at 35.9%.

<h2>Singapore</h2>
<h3>SREITs results in a glance (see detailed spreadsheet and calendar attached)</h3>
<table class="table table-striped">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td style="width: 141.25pt;">
<p> </p>
</td>
<td style="width: 141.2pt;">
<p>SPHREIT</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 141.25pt;">
<p>Period</p>
</td>
<td style="width: 141.2pt;">
<p>3Q21</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 141.25pt;">
<p>Gross Revenue (S$ m)</p>
</td>
<td style="width: 141.2pt;">
<p>69.6 (+82.8% YoY)</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 141.25pt;">
<p>NPI (S$ m)</p>
</td>
<td style="width: 141.2pt;">
<p>Not Disclosed</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 141.25pt;">
<p>DPU (S$ c)</p>
</td>
<td style="width: 141.2pt;">
<p>1.38 (+176.0% YoY)</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 141.25pt;">
<p>NAV per Unit (S$)</p>
</td>
<td style="width: 141.2pt;">
<p>Not Disclosed</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 141.25pt;">
<p>P/B (x)</p>
</td>
<td style="width: 141.2pt;">
<p>1.02 (Based on 2Q21 NAV)</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 141.25pt;">
<p>Occupancy (%)</p>
</td>
<td style="width: 141.2pt;">
<p>98.4</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 141.25pt;">
<p>Reversion (%)</p>
</td>
<td style="width: 141.2pt;">
<p>Not Disclosed</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 141.25pt;">
<p>Gearing (%)</p>
</td>
<td style="width: 141.2pt;">
<p>Not Disclosed</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 141.25pt;">
<p>Cost of Debt (%)</p>
</td>
<td style="width: 141.2pt;">
<p>1.86</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 141.25pt;">
<p>1 Yr Fwd Yield (%)</p>
</td>
<td style="width: 141.2pt;">
<p>5.62</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 141.25pt;">
<p>Debt Hedged (%)</p>
</td>
<td style="width: 141.2pt;">
<p>58</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 141.25pt;">
<p>Target Price</p>
</td>
<td style="width: 141.2pt;">
<p>NA</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 141.25pt;">
<p>Rating</p>
</td>
<td style="width: 141.2pt;">
<p>NA</p>
</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>

Singapore
SREITs results in a glance (see detailed spreadsheet and calendar attached)




 


SPHREIT




Period


3Q21




Gross Revenue (S$ m)


69.6 (+82.8% YoY)




NPI (S$ m)


Not Disclosed




DPU (S$ c)


1.38 (+176.0% YoY)




NAV per Unit (S$)


Not Disclosed




P/B (x)


1.02 (Based on 2Q21 NAV)




Occupancy (%)


98.4




Reversion (%)


Not Disclosed




Gearing (%)


Not Disclosed




Cost of Debt (%)


1.86




1 Yr Fwd Yield (%)


5.62




Debt Hedged (%)


58




Target Price


NA




Rating


NA





ASEAN Builder's Scoop (13Jul21) - SPHREIT No Mention of Rebates

<h2>Singapore</h2><h3><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mapletree-logistics-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16035" rel="noopener">Mapletree Logistics Trust (MLT SP)</a> looks to acquire a Changi logistics property for S$24.5m; Stabilized NPI yield of ~6.2% </h3><ul><li>MLT has been granted an option to acquire 9 Changi South Street 2 from RSH Holdings for a purchase price of S$24.5m (vs. independent valuation of S$24.6m as at 25Jun21). The property, a purpose-built facility comprising a part 3-storey, part 4-storey temperature-controlled warehouse with ancillary office and other amenities, has a GFA of 11,506sqm. It is located at a prime location and a relatively long remaining land tenure of ~33.3 years. The property is also adjacent to its existing property at 15 Changi South Street 2, thus presenting the opportunity for potential economies of scale</li><li>Its favourable location should attract demand from industries involved in high-value and time-sensitive goods such as electronics and pharmaceutical, as well as e-commerce firms and third-party logistics players (“3PLs”) looking to expand in the Changi South/East region. The Property will be sold with vacant possession and the Manager is in talks with an international 3PL to lease it as the anchor tenant</li><li>The Proposed Acquisition is subject to, among others, approval from JTC Corporation and exercise of the OTP by MLT. The total purchase consideration of S$27.2m (including transaction costs of c.S$2.7m) will be funded by debt and is expected to be completed by 3QFY21/22</li><li>Upon completion, MLT’s aggregate leverage ratio will be ~38.5%, while MLT’s total portfolio will comprise 164 properties with total AUM of S$10.8bn. The proposed acquisition is expected to generate a stabilised NPI yield of ~6.2% based on the purchase price and initial land premium, and it is also expected to be DPU accretive.</li></ul>

SingaporeMapletree Logistics Trust (MLT SP) looks to acquire a Changi logistics property for S$24.5m; Stabilized NPI yield of ~6.2% MLT has been granted an option to acquire 9 Changi South Street 2 from RSH Holdings for a purchase price of S$24.5m (vs. independent valuation of S$24.6m as at 25Jun21). The property, a purpose-built facility comprising a part 3-storey, part 4-storey temperature-controlled warehouse with ancillary office and other amenities, has a GFA of 11,506sqm. It is located at a prime location and a relatively long remaining land tenure of ~33.3 years. The property is also adjacent to its existing property at 15 Changi South Street 2, thus presenting the opportunity for potential economies of scaleIts favourable location should attract demand from industries involved in high-value and time-sensitive goods such as electronics and pharmaceutical, as well as e-commerce firms and third-party logistics players (“3PLs”) looking to expand in the Changi South/East region. The Property will be sold with vacant possession and the Manager is in talks with an international 3PL to lease it as the anchor tenantThe Proposed Acquisition is subject to, among others, approval from JTC Corporation and exercise of the OTP by MLT. The total purchase consideration of S$27.2m (including transaction costs of c.S$2.7m) will be funded by debt and is expected to be completed by 3QFY21/22Upon completion, MLT’s aggregate leverage ratio will be ~38.5%, while MLT’s total portfolio will comprise 164 properties with total AUM of S$10.8bn. The proposed acquisition is expected to generate a stabilised NPI yield of ~6.2% based on the purchase price and initial land premium, and it is also expected to be DPU accretive.

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (12Jul21) - MLT Acquires Changi Logistics at 6.2% Yield

Singapore

Fragrance Group Limited, through its subsidiaries, conducts activities in property development and hotel operations.  The Company develops and sells residential and commercial properties, including low to medium-rise private apartments and hotels.  Fragrance Group also invests in and manages hotel properties targeted a cost-conscious business and leisure travelers.

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Fragrance (FRAG SP)

Chip Eng Seng (CHIP SP)’s Revised S$0.75 VGO from the Tangs

The bump was to increase the chances of privatisation rather than hitting the 50%+ minimum acceptance condition. At the last close, the gross...

Arun George

Chip Eng Seng (CHIP SP)’s S$0.72 VGO from the Tangs

The price is not declared final. There is a good chance of hitting the 50% minimum acceptance threshold. Not worth chasing through terms in hopes...

Arun George

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (9Sep21)

ART acquires Texas student housing asset; AAREIT conducting due diligence on AUS asset; FRAG applies for delisting; LPKR increases FY21 mktg sales...

SCCM Asia Research

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (13Jul21) - SPHREIT No Mention of Rebates

SPHREIT no mention of rebates; CAPL opens RC the Bund Shanghai; LMRT extends mall closure in Medan; SLI plans for 3bn shares follow-on offer; 2Q21...

SCCM Asia Research

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (12Jul21) - MLT Acquires Changi Logistics at 6.2% Yield

MLT acquires Changi logistics at 6.2% yield; FRAG privatization offer; Selo Group enters Malaysian market; AWC bets on tourism rebound; BI to...

SCCM Asia Research

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