CEO, CIO, ClearMacro

Mike Simcock

CEO, CIO

Strategic & Tactical Asset Allocation Global Macro

ClearMacro

CIO, & CEO ClearMacro Ltd
An institutional investor with over 25 years experience, laterly having spent 10 years at GIC Singapore SWF. Managng Director, managing Global Macro, FIxed Income (Europe) and Global Credit businesses.
Passionate about utilising technology to enhance portfolio idea generation across global, multi-asset classes and optimisation of the investment process.

Macroeconomics

We're awash in concerns over inflation - the Economist last week, and multiple speakers at the 2nd Independent Research Conference where we moderated a panel on asset allocation. Ignore them.  Our analysis suggests a low near term probability of sustained inflationary concerns in core markets. However, if you disagree, steer clear of linkers and commodity futures as your inflation hedge. You'll likely lose money. We recommend equities for this role, which are currently pricing in cyclical inflation lows.  In EM, we see the trend moving in the opposite direction, as inflationary pressures top out on the back of recovery in real exchange rates.  Longer term, the outlook for inflation in core economies will move up as policy makers are forced to ease more aggressively to drive it into a 2-4% range.  Not necessarily a bad thing for risk assets.

We're awash in concerns over inflation - the Economist last week, and multiple speakers at the 2nd Independent Research Conference where we moderated a panel on asset allocation. Ignore them.  Our analysis suggests a low near term probability of sustained inflationary concerns in core markets. However, if you disagree, steer clear of linkers and commodity futures as your inflation hedge. You'll likely lose money. We recommend equities for this role, which are currently pricing in cyclical inflation lows.  In EM, we see the trend moving in the opposite direction, as inflationary pressures top out on the back of recovery in real exchange rates.  Longer term, the outlook for inflation in core economies will move up as policy makers are forced to ease more aggressively to drive it into a 2-4% range.  Not necessarily a bad thing for risk assets.

Information Technology Consultant

Ishita Jain

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

From retail deliveries to agriculture, drones have pervaded our day to day lives in a manner never envisaged before. Reserved only for the military just a few years ago, drones are quickly becoming favorites in many industries due to their low cost, ease of operation and effectiveness in carrying out otherwise manual tasks. This article sets out to introduce the industry and offer some ideas on how to invest in it.

From retail deliveries to agriculture, drones have pervaded our day to day lives in a manner never envisaged before. Reserved only for the military just a few years ago, drones are quickly becoming favorites in many industries due to their low cost, ease of operation and effectiveness in carrying out otherwise manual tasks. This article sets out to introduce the industry and offer some ideas on how to invest in it.

Leading Independent Investment Research, Morningstar, Inc.

Morningstar

Leading Independent Investment Research

Morningstar, Inc.

Morningstar, Inc. is a leading provider of independent investment research in North America, Europe, Australia, and Asia. We offer an extensive line of products and services for individual investors, financial advisors, asset managers, and retirement plan providers and sponsors. 

Morningstar provides data on more than 500,000 investment offerings, including stocks, mutual funds, and similar vehicles, along with real-time global market data on more than 16 million equities, indexes, futures, options, commodities, and precious metals, in addition to foreign exchange and Treasury markets. Morningstar also offers investment management services through its investment advisory subsidiaries, with more than $180 billion in assets under advisement or management as of June 30, 2015. We have operations in 27 countries.

Download the Morningstar Fact Sheet : http://corporate.morningstar.com/US/documents/MarketingFactSheets/AboutMorningstarFactsheet.pdf

<ul><li class="p1">Based on the early read we've had of the buying and selling activity of our top managers during the fourth quarter, it appears that the ongoing trend of high-conviction purchases of firms with wide economic moats continued during the most recent period.</li><li class="p1">Even so, four of the top 10 high-conviction purchases—non-rated Ally Financial (ALLY) and wide-moat Microsoft (MSFT), VF Corp. (VFC), and Stryker (SYK)—made during the fourth quarter were also new-money buys for our top managers.</li><li class="p1">And much as we've seen during past periods, there were a fair number of outright sales in the quarter—most of which was driven by valuation as opposed to changes in opinion.</li></ul>Analysts: Greggory Warren &amp; Eric Compton

Based on the early read we've had of the buying and selling activity of our top managers during the fourth quarter, it appears that the ongoing trend of high-conviction purchases of firms with wide economic moats continued during the most recent period.Even so, four of the top 10 high-conviction purchases—non-rated Ally Financial (ALLY) and wide-moat Microsoft (MSFT), VF Corp. (VFC), and Stryker (SYK)—made during the fourth quarter were also new-money buys for our top managers.And much as we've seen during past periods, there were a fair number of outright sales in the quarter—most of which was driven by valuation as opposed to changes in opinion.Analysts: Greggory Warren &amp; Eric Compton

Our Ultimate Stock-Pickers Top 10 High-Conviction Purchases

Democratic presidential candidates' potential drug policy reforms have pressured drug stocks, and ongoing political campaigns are likely to continue to create volatility despite the Republican-majority Congress and low probability of reforms passing into law.Among all the reforms, dual-eligible legislation—offering mandatory Medicaid-level drug rebates to some Medicare Part D beneficiaries— looks the most likely, and most impactful (5% earnings cut on average).Analysts: Karen Andersen, Damien Conover &amp; Kelsey Tsai

Democratic presidential candidates' potential drug policy reforms have pressured drug stocks, and ongoing political campaigns are likely to continue to create volatility despite the Republican-majority Congress and low probability of reforms passing into law.Among all the reforms, dual-eligible legislation—offering mandatory Medicaid-level drug rebates to some Medicare Part D beneficiaries— looks the most likely, and most impactful (5% earnings cut on average).Analysts: Karen Andersen, Damien Conover &amp; Kelsey Tsai

Low Odds of U.S. Drug Pricing Reforms Create Favorable Valuations

Hao Wang, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

I see Gilead Sciences, Inc. as deep valued growth stock with very large margin of safety over the medium long term. Any sell-off along with the market or the sector in general should be a good buying opportunity. Due to lack of knowledge in pharmaceutical industry, I have only made some analysis based on general competition landscape, market growth and valuations.

I see Gilead Sciences, Inc. as deep valued growth stock with very large margin of safety over the medium long term. Any sell-off along with the market or the sector in general should be a good buying opportunity. Due to lack of knowledge in pharmaceutical industry, I have only made some analysis based on general competition landscape, market growth and valuations.

Thoughts on GILD – a Deep-Valued Growth Stock!

United States

Gilead Sciences, Inc. is a research-based biopharmaceutical company that discovers, develops, and commercializes therapeutics to advance the care of patients suffering from life-threatening diseases.  The Company's primary areas of focus include HIV/AIDS, liver disease and serious cardiovascular and respiratory conditions.

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Gilead Sciences (GILD US)

Inflation - Really?

We're awash in concerns over inflation - the Economist last week, and multiple speakers at the 2nd Independent Research Conference where...

ClearMacro

Investing in Drones

From retail deliveries to agriculture, drones have pervaded our day to day lives in a manner never envisaged before. Reserved only for the military...

Ishita Jain

Our Ultimate Stock-Pickers Top 10 High-Conviction Purchases

Based on the early read we've had of the buying and selling activity of our top managers during the fourth quarter, it appears that the ongoing...

Morningstar, Inc.

Low Odds of U.S. Drug Pricing Reforms Create Favorable Valuations

Democratic presidential candidates' potential drug policy reforms have pressured drug stocks, and ongoing political campaigns are likely to...

Morningstar, Inc.

Thoughts on GILD – a Deep-Valued Growth Stock!

I see Gilead Sciences, Inc. as deep valued growth stock with very large margin of safety over the medium long term. Any sell-off along with the...

Hao Wang, CFA

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