External broker reports(aggregated public sources), BRI Danareksa Research

BRI Danareksa Research

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

As a one-stop financial solution with the vision to be the most valuable securities house, BRI Danareksa Sekuritas (BRIDS) has maintained an excellent track record and extensive experience in the capital market as an underwriter, broker, and financial advisor for individual, institutional, foreign and domestic, private and government clients. Established in 1992, PT Danareksa Sekuritas is a securities company that performs activities as a securities broker, underwriter, or arranger and financial advisor.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Investors’ concerns was triggered by MSCI’s announcement that it is conducting a consultation to review a possible change in foreign inclusion factor (FIF) to possibly include KSEI data which would exclude shares held by corporate and “others” from the free-float.</li><li>MSCI has outlined two scenarios under this proposed method, which may effectively result in lower weighting for Indonesian stocks in MSCI EM Index.</li><li>Despite the overhang from MSCI index review, foreign investors flow sustained a positive flow during the week, with US$333mn of inflow, putting Indonesia among the few markets with positive flow for the second consecutive week.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Investors’ concerns was triggered by MSCI’s announcement that it is conducting a consultation to review a possible change in foreign inclusion factor (FIF) to possibly include KSEI data which would exclude shares held by corporate and “others” from the free-float.MSCI has outlined two scenarios under this proposed method, which may effectively result in lower weighting for Indonesian stocks in MSCI EM Index.Despite the overhang from MSCI index review, foreign investors flow sustained a positive flow during the week, with US$333mn of inflow, putting Indonesia among the few markets with positive flow for the second consecutive week.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

BRIDS Market Pulse : Chart of the Week – JCI Market Capitalization

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>The 2026 budget balances fiscal prudence with acceleration growth, prioritizing 8 national agendas, aiming for 5.4% GDP growth.</li><li>Revenue target projects 9.8% growth, driven by higher tax collections requiring improvement in tax collection and reforms.</li><li>The fiscal plan moderates deficit to 2.48% in 2026, controlling debt supply while conservative yield assumptions provide fiscal buffer.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The 2026 budget balances fiscal prudence with acceleration growth, prioritizing 8 national agendas, aiming for 5.4% GDP growth.Revenue target projects 9.8% growth, driven by higher tax collections requiring improvement in tax collection and reforms.The fiscal plan moderates deficit to 2.48% in 2026, controlling debt supply while conservative yield assumptions provide fiscal buffer.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Macro Strategy: The 2026 Proposed Budget: Building Up Momentum

<ul><li>JCI finished the week flat (-0.1% w-w), underperforming most of the EM peers.</li><li>Despite positive surprise from 2Q25 GDP numbers, Consumers (-3.7% w-w) and Telco (-0.8%) sectors dragged down the index, offsetting the slight outperformance in Banks(+0.4%), along with correction in large-cap illiquid and conglo stocks (DCII, BRPT, TPIA).</li><li>Foreign funds flow improved to neutral (+US$8mn) compared to outflows in majority of the ASEAN EM peers, with reversal of flows into BBCA and BMRI. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

JCI finished the week flat (-0.1% w-w), underperforming most of the EM peers.Despite positive surprise from 2Q25 GDP numbers, Consumers (-3.7% w-w) and Telco (-0.8%) sectors dragged down the index, offsetting the slight outperformance in Banks(+0.4%), along with correction in large-cap illiquid and conglo stocks (DCII, BRPT, TPIA).Foreign funds flow improved to neutral (+US$8mn) compared to outflows in majority of the ASEAN EM peers, with reversal of flows into BBCA and BMRI. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

BRIDS Market Pulse: Chart of the Week – JCI P/E Band (10-Year)

<ul>
<li>Positive momentum continues as bond yields fell on global trends, driven by rate cut expectations and more dovish policy shifts.</li>
<li>Rapid yield declines risk reversal as inflation pressures and lesser easing prospects may widen Fed-market gap, increasing volatility ahead.</li>
<li>2Q25 GDP beat expectations, but mixed indicators persist, we expect several factors to signal stronger growth momentum in 2H.</li>
</ul>
Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.


Positive momentum continues as bond yields fell on global trends, driven by rate cut expectations and more dovish policy shifts.
Rapid yield declines risk reversal as inflation pressures and lesser easing prospects may widen Fed-market gap, increasing volatility ahead.
2Q25 GDP beat expectations, but mixed indicators persist, we expect several factors to signal stronger growth momentum in 2H.

Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

<ul><li>Market review: Foreign funds outflow reaccelerated with -US$142mn, largely in big banks (BBCA -US$127mn and BMRI US$65mn), bringing YTD outflow to US$3.8bn.</li><li>Despite this, JCI managed to close flattish (- 0.1% w-w), supported by TLKM (+6% w-w), GOTO (12%) partly offsetting underperformance by the large-cap banks (BMRI -3% and BBCA -2%).</li><li>Our preliminary recap on 2Q25 results indicated that ~55% of companies under our coverage met earnings expectation, while 31% fell short and only 14% beat expectation.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Market review: Foreign funds outflow reaccelerated with -US$142mn, largely in big banks (BBCA -US$127mn and BMRI US$65mn), bringing YTD outflow to US$3.8bn.Despite this, JCI managed to close flattish (- 0.1% w-w), supported by TLKM (+6% w-w), GOTO (12%) partly offsetting underperformance by the large-cap banks (BMRI -3% and BBCA -2%).Our preliminary recap on 2Q25 results indicated that ~55% of companies under our coverage met earnings expectation, while 31% fell short and only 14% beat expectation.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

BRIDS Market Pulse: Chart of the Week – Domestic Funds’ Positioning in Key Sector

Indonesia

PT GoTo Gojek Tokopedia Tbk operates as an e-commerce platform. The Company offers mobility, food delivery, logistics, e-commerce, and financial technology solutions. GoTo Gojek Tokopedia serves customers in Indonesia.

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GoTo Gojek Tokopedia Tbk PT (GOTO IJ)

BRIDS Market Pulse : Chart of the Week – JCI Market Capitalization

MSCI has outlined two scenarios under this proposed method, which may effectively result in lower weighting for Indonesian stocks in MSCI EM Index.

BRI Danareksa Research

Macro Strategy: The 2026 Proposed Budget: Building Up Momentum

The 2026 budget balances fiscal prudence with acceleration growth, prioritizing 8 national agendas, aiming for 5.4% GDP growth.

BRI Danareksa Research

BRIDS Market Pulse: Chart of the Week – JCI P/E Band (10-Year)

MSCI’s Aug25 review announced the inclusion of DSSA and CUAN into the index, with exclusion of ADRO (into MSCI Small Cap).

BRI Danareksa Research

Macro Strategy: Riding The Tailwinds

Positive momentum continues as bond yields fell on global trends, driven by rate cut expectations and more dovish policy shifts.

BRI Danareksa Research

BRIDS Market Pulse: Chart of the Week – Domestic Funds’ Positioning in Key Sector

Market review: Foreign funds outflow reaccelerated with -US$142mn, largely in big banks (BBCA -US$127mn and BMRI US$65mn), bringing YTD outflow to...

BRI Danareksa Research

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