ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/grab-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26950:1" rel="noopener">Grab Holdings (GRAB US)</a> 4Q2022 numbers late last week made encouraging reading with revenues exceeding expectations significantly despite slow GMV growth in the quarter, as it maintained regional category leadership.</li>
<li>The company saw continued improvement in segment-adjusted EBITDA margins in 4Q2022 versus 3Q2022 for both mobility and deliveries, with the latter making significant progress towards steady-state margins. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/grab-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26950:1" rel="noopener">Grab</a>'s relatively high regional cost remains a drag but should stabilise here and outside this, it looks to be firmly on track to accelerate profitably. </li>
</ul>



Grab Holdings (GRAB US) 4Q2022 numbers late last week made encouraging reading with revenues exceeding expectations significantly despite slow GMV growth in the quarter, as it maintained regional category leadership.
The company saw continued improvement in segment-adjusted EBITDA margins in 4Q2022 versus 3Q2022 for both mobility and deliveries, with the latter making significant progress towards steady-state margins. 

Grab's relatively high regional cost remains a drag but should stabilise here and outside this, it looks to be firmly on track to accelerate profitably. 


Grab (GRAB US) - Moving Towards Steady State

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

<ul>
<li>Grab reported 4Q2022 results yesterday. Q4 revenue more than quadrupled to $502m (vs consensus $403.48) while reported a negative adjusted EBITDA of $111m (vs consensus $137m) vs $305m in 4Q2021.</li>
<li>Deliveries business went on to report positive adjusted EBITDA driven by improvement in take rate coupled with reduction in total incentives.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/grab-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26950:1" rel="noopener">Grab Holdings (GRAB US)</a> share price dropped 8.29% at the end of yesterday’s trade despite the company accelerating its profit timeline to breakeven in 4Q2023 vs 2H2024 previously.</li>
</ul>


Grab reported 4Q2022 results yesterday. Q4 revenue more than quadrupled to $502m (vs consensus $403.48) while reported a negative adjusted EBITDA of $111m (vs consensus $137m) vs $305m in 4Q2021.
Deliveries business went on to report positive adjusted EBITDA driven by improvement in take rate coupled with reduction in total incentives.

Grab Holdings (GRAB US) share price dropped 8.29% at the end of yesterday’s trade despite the company accelerating its profit timeline to breakeven in 4Q2023 vs 2H2024 previously.


Grab Follows Suit with GoTo and Accelerates Profitability Timeline

GoTo Gojek Tokopedia Tbk PT / Equity Bottom-Up

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<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/goto-gojek-tokopedia" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25976:1" rel="noopener">GoTo (GOTO IJ)</a>  announced last week that it is accelerating its profit targets and aims to achieve positive adjusted EBITDA by 4QFY2023, advanced by five quarters.</li>
<li>The company also expects Group’s contribution margin to become positive within the first quarter of 2023 accelerated by four quarters compared to the company’s previous guidance.</li>
<li>Having analyzed the company’s revenue and cost base, we think this is too much to ask for as aggressive cost cutting would lead to giving up future growth opportunities.</li>
</ul>



GoTo (GOTO IJ)  announced last week that it is accelerating its profit targets and aims to achieve positive adjusted EBITDA by 4QFY2023, advanced by five quarters.
The company also expects Group’s contribution margin to become positive within the first quarter of 2023 accelerated by four quarters compared to the company’s previous guidance.
Having analyzed the company’s revenue and cost base, we think this is too much to ask for as aggressive cost cutting would lead to giving up future growth opportunities.


GoTo Accelerates Profitability Timeline but We Are Not Yet Convinced

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Ethan Aw

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

TVS Supply Chain Solutions / Equity Capital Markets

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<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tvs-supply-chain-solutions" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36778:1" rel="noopener">TVS Supply Chain Solutions (1915741D IN)</a> is looking to raise about US$500m in its upcoming India IPO.</li>
<li>TVS SCS is an Indian supply chain logistics solution provider which also has global capabilities and network across the value chain with cross deployment abilities, according to RedSeer. </li>
<li>TVS SCS has seen its revenue grow as both its operating segments registered decent growth during the track record period. However, its profitability might have been a result of COVID-19. </li>
</ul>



TVS Supply Chain Solutions (1915741D IN) is looking to raise about US$500m in its upcoming India IPO.
TVS SCS is an Indian supply chain logistics solution provider which also has global capabilities and network across the value chain with cross deployment abilities, according to RedSeer. 
TVS SCS has seen its revenue grow as both its operating segments registered decent growth during the track record period. However, its profitability might have been a result of COVID-19. 


TVS Supply Chain Solutions Pre-IPO - Profitability Might Have Been COVID-Driven

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rakuten-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35638:1" rel="noopener">Rakuten Bank</a>, the online banking arm of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rakuten-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31:1" rel="noopener">Rakuten Inc (4755 JP)</a>, aims to raise around US$500m (estimated) in its Japan listing in April 2023. </li>
<li>RB is the largest internet bank in Japan, by number of accounts. As of Mar 2023, it had 13.39m deposit accounts with a total deposit base of JPY8.6tn. </li>
<li>In this note we take an early look at the IPO and talk about the not-so-positive aspects of its past performance.</li>
</ul>



Rakuten Bank, the online banking arm of Rakuten Inc (4755 JP), aims to raise around US$500m (estimated) in its Japan listing in April 2023. 
RB is the largest internet bank in Japan, by number of accounts. As of Mar 2023, it had 13.39m deposit accounts with a total deposit base of JPY8.6tn. 
In this note we take an early look at the IPO and talk about the not-so-positive aspects of its past performance.


Rakuten Bank IPO Early Look - The Negatives - Is Already Slowing Down

Singapore

Grab Holdings Limited operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, develops delivery management, mobility, financial services, and enterprise software solutions. Grab Holdings serves customers worldwide.

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Grab Holdings (GRAB US)

Grab (GRAB US) - Moving Towards Steady State

Grab's 4Q2022 numbers late last week made encouraging reading with revenues exceeding expectations significantly despite slow GMV growth in the...

Angus Mackintosh

Grab Follows Suit with GoTo and Accelerates Profitability Timeline

Grab reported 4Q22 earnings and brought forward breakeven timeline to 4Q2023 from 2H2024 earlier similar to its competitor GoTo. The company is...

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

GoTo Accelerates Profitability Timeline but We Are Not Yet Convinced

GoTo announced last week that it is accelerating its profit targets to achieve positive adjusted EBITDA by 4QFY2023. We think aggressive cost...

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

TVS Supply Chain Solutions Pre-IPO - Profitability Might Have Been COVID-Driven

TVS Supply Chain Solutions (1915741D IN) is looking to raise about US$500m in its upcoming India IPO. TVS SCS is an Indian supply chain logistics...

Ethan Aw

Rakuten Bank IPO Early Look - The Negatives - Is Already Slowing Down

Rakuten Bank, the online banking arm of Rakuten Inc (4755 JP), aims to raise around US$500m in its Japan listing in April 2023. In this note, we...

Sumeet Singh

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