Founder-CEO & Chief Analyst, Real Estate Foresight

Robert Ciemniak

Founder-CEO & Chief Analyst

Real Estate Foresight

Since 2012, REF has been helping investors with market research, project due diligence, and strategy development. This has ranged from detailed assessments and estimates on distressed developers' project portfolios to market due diligence on specific projects to macro-level questions linked to demand for commodities. The unique combination of the housing markets and developer data from data partner China Index Academy in Beijing, primary research, and technology-powered alternative data collection from public sources result in a valuable content set used in REF analytics and reports.

Predictive Analytics for China Property

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

The weekly data from SouFun-CREIS survey on new home sales in 35 major cities for the first three weeks of July (Weeks 28-30, or July 4 - 24) shows a further slowdown in sales volume growth, bringing year-to-date year-on-year change from 40% for the Weeks 1-26 to 35.5% for the Weeks 1-30. On a 4-week rolling year-on-year basis, the growth slowed down from 21% (Weeks 23-26) to 12% (Weeks 27-30). Historically, this 4-week rolling growth rate has been a fairly good indicator of what one could…

The weekly data from SouFun-CREIS survey on new home sales in 35 major cities for the first three weeks of July (Weeks 28-30, or July 4 - 24) shows a further slowdown in sales volume growth, bringing year-to-date year-on-year change from 40% for the Weeks 1-26 to 35.5% for the Weeks 1-30. On a 4-week rolling year-on-year basis, the growth slowed down from 21% (Weeks 23-26) to 12% (Weeks 27-30). Historically, this 4-week rolling growth rate has been a fairly good indicator of what one could…

Weekly China Property Sales Data In July Points At Further National Sales Growth Slowdown

In June 2016 (latest complete data), on YTD y/y basis, residential (incl. mixed-use) land GFA acquired by 20 major developers we track based on underlying data from SouFun-CREIS, increased by 31%, compared to 40% in May. Overall land sales of residential (incl. mixed use) land GFA in 40 major cities (Tier-1 and Tier-2) increased by 2.5%, compared to 6% in May YTD y/y. Acquisitions of pure commercial land grew by 64% in June on YTD y/y basis, compared to 136% in May.

In June 2016 (latest complete data), on YTD y/y basis, residential (incl. mixed-use) land GFA acquired by 20 major developers we track based on underlying data from SouFun-CREIS, increased by 31%, compared to 40% in May. Overall land sales of residential (incl. mixed use) land GFA in 40 major cities (Tier-1 and Tier-2) increased by 2.5%, compared to 6% in May YTD y/y. Acquisitions of pure commercial land grew by 64% in June on YTD y/y basis, compared to 136% in May.

Pickup In Land Sales In China Slows Down (June Data)

We rank the housing markets in 54 major cities in China on four metrics: 12-month house price growth, 12-month rolling year-on-year Gross Floor Area (GFA) sales volume growth,  3-month sequential price growth and 3-month volume growth, with latest data for June 2016.

We rank the housing markets in 54 major cities in China on four metrics: 12-month house price growth, 12-month rolling year-on-year Gross Floor Area (GFA) sales volume growth,  3-month sequential price growth and 3-month volume growth, with latest data for June 2016.

China Property: CityScreener(TM) Ranking of Housing Markets In 54 Cities - June 2016 Data

Asia focused research insights & advisory, Asia Advisors

Vinay Patel

Asia focused research insights & advisory

Asia Advisors

Asia Advisors is an independent financial advisory and research firm working closely with corporates and institutions to provide consulting solutions & research insights. We provide advisory services including capital solutions, business strategy and investment insights.
Firm is headed by Vinay Patel who has close to two decades of experience in research and business development at large, international investment banks such as HSBC and ICICI Securities. Led research efforts in areas of Macroeconomics, Asset Allocation & Investment Strategy for close to a decade in global & domestic research teams. As a business head in Singapore, advised top global investment management firms & Portfolio managers in Asia for India related investments.
Vinay was recently joined by Swapnil Manish, an investment banker and ex-ecommerce entrepreneur with more than 12 years of experience. Swapnil was the TMT banker at BNP Paribas and was part of several large M&A and ECM transactions (Bharti-Zain, Bharti Infratel IPO, Schneider-Zicom among several others). He's also had a stint as an ecommerce entrepreneur having launched & led Mumbai's first online grocery player.

Fullerton India Credit Company Ltd, a locally registered Non-Banking Finance Company (NBFC) owned by Temasek via Fullerton Singapore, plans to issue masala bonds to international investors in order to diversify its funding sources. Masala bonds are rupee denominated offshore bonds quite similar to dim sum bonds issued by Chinese companies. After HDFC, the largest mortgage lender in India, became the first company last week to successfully place a Masala Bond issue more companies are eyeing this…

Fullerton India Credit Company Ltd, a locally registered Non-Banking Finance Company (NBFC) owned by Temasek via Fullerton Singapore, plans to issue masala bonds to international investors in order to diversify its funding sources. Masala bonds are rupee denominated offshore bonds quite similar to dim sum bonds issued by Chinese companies. After HDFC, the largest mortgage lender in India, became the first company last week to successfully place a Masala Bond issue more companies are eyeing this…

Fullerton India to Issue Masala Bonds for Local Ops; Investors in Yield Hunt Chase Cos for Issuance

For all the macroeconomic concerns about the oversupply of housing in China and government’s push for supply-side reforms, the data on 13 major cities in China suggests fastest pace of inventory clearing for those cities in at least 5 years, driven by strong sales volume growth but also by lower land sales and new starts in several major cities.

For all the macroeconomic concerns about the oversupply of housing in China and government’s push for supply-side reforms, the data on 13 major cities in China suggests fastest pace of inventory clearing for those cities in at least 5 years, driven by strong sales volume growth but also by lower land sales and new starts in several major cities.

China Property: What Oversupply? Assessing Inventory Clearing Situation In Major 13 Cities

China

Guotai Junan Securities Co.,Ltd. provides financial services. The Company offers corporate finance, fixed income securities, asset management, risk management, and other services. Guotai Junan Securities Company serves clients throughout China.

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Guotai Junan Securities (601211 CH)

Weekly China Property Sales Data In July Points At Further National Sales Growth Slowdown

The weekly data from SouFun-CREIS survey on new home sales in 35 major cities for the first three weeks of July (Weeks 28-30, or July 4 - 24) shows...

Robert Ciemniak

Pickup In Land Sales In China Slows Down (June Data)

In June 2016 (latest complete data), on YTD y/y basis, residential (incl. mixed-use) land GFA acquired by 20 major developers we track based on...

Robert Ciemniak

China Property: CityScreener(TM) Ranking of Housing Markets In 54 Cities - June 2016 Data

We rank the housing markets in 54 major cities in China on four metrics: 12-month house price growth, 12-month rolling year-on-year Gross Floor...

Robert Ciemniak

Fullerton India to Issue Masala Bonds for Local Ops; Investors in Yield Hunt Chase Cos for Issuance

Fullerton India Credit Company Ltd, a locally registered Non-Banking Finance Company (NBFC) owned by Temasek via Fullerton Singapore, plans to...

Asia Advisors

China Property: What Oversupply? Assessing Inventory Clearing Situation In Major 13 Cities

For all the macroeconomic concerns about the oversupply of housing in China and government’s push for supply-side reforms, the data on 13 major...

Robert Ciemniak

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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