Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Focus solely on the local government debt swap which is bigger than expected</li>
<li>There is nothing new in policy direction but promises of more to come</li>
<li>The market action around the press conference shows the potential for upside surprises</li>
</ul>


Focus solely on the local government debt swap which is bigger than expected
There is nothing new in policy direction but promises of more to come
The market action around the press conference shows the potential for upside surprises


Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Hong Kong markets continue to outperform this year with the HSCEI up 30% year to date.  Market breadth continues to be healthy with 80% of stocks over &gt; 200 DMA.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xpeng-inc-4cc65854-d10c-4d20-bf7e-ca0e016715ff" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33772:1" rel="noopener">XPeng (9868 HK)</a> announced its new hybrid technology which gives vehicles a range of more than 870 miles (1400 Kms).  The company has delivered more than 120k vehicles YTD.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-merchants-securities-co-4f5d644c-0051-426f-9706-eaa74b0ba280" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22738:1" rel="noopener">China Merchants Securities Co Ltd (H) (6099 HK)</a> benefits from increased market turnover.   <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yum-china-holdings-inc-0533692c-6dae-4014-baa1-ed0b050638f2" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29259:1" rel="noopener">Yum China Holdings (9987 HK)</a> beat consensus for 3Q24 earnings and will continue its buyback program.</li>
</ul>


Hong Kong markets continue to outperform this year with the HSCEI up 30% year to date.  Market breadth continues to be healthy with 80% of stocks over &gt; 200 DMA.

XPeng (9868 HK) announced its new hybrid technology which gives vehicles a range of more than 870 miles (1400 Kms).  The company has delivered more than 120k vehicles YTD.

China Merchants Securities Co Ltd (H) (6099 HK) benefits from increased market turnover.   Yum China Holdings (9987 HK) beat consensus for 3Q24 earnings and will continue its buyback program.


The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (November 7)

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Eternal Beauty Holdings / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eternal-beauty-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43725:1" rel="noopener">Eternal Beauty Holdings </a>(EB) is looking to raise about US$200m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>Eternal Beauty is the largest brand management company of perfumes in the combined markets of Mainland China, Hong Kong and Macau, in terms of retail sales in 2023.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



Eternal Beauty Holdings (EB) is looking to raise about US$200m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
Eternal Beauty is the largest brand management company of perfumes in the combined markets of Mainland China, Hong Kong and Macau, in terms of retail sales in 2023.
In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.


Eternal Beauty Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Core Offering Hasn’t Been Growing

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

<ul>
<li>Green Tea’s future performance growth is uncertain due to increasing competition, changes in consumer tastes, lack of a secondary growth curve, unsatisfactory table turnover rate and the old menu.</li>
<li>Simply opening more restaurants cannot break through development bottlenecks.Whether shares would perform well after IPO depends on if Green Tea is able to deliver persuasive/sustainable growth story to the market.</li>
<li>The moat of Green Tea is still “fragile”. We think the valuation of Green Tea should be between <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haidilao-international-holding" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27044:1" rel="noopener">Haidilao (6862 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jiumaojiu-international-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28293:1" rel="noopener">Jiumaojiu (9922 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ajisen-china-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:990:1" rel="noopener">Ajisen (538 HK)</a>.</li>
</ul>


Green Tea’s future performance growth is uncertain due to increasing competition, changes in consumer tastes, lack of a secondary growth curve, unsatisfactory table turnover rate and the old menu.
Simply opening more restaurants cannot break through development bottlenecks.Whether shares would perform well after IPO depends on if Green Tea is able to deliver persuasive/sustainable growth story to the market.
The moat of Green Tea is still “fragile”. We think the valuation of Green Tea should be between Haidilao (6862 HK) and Jiumaojiu (9922 HK), Ajisen (538 HK).


Pre-IPO Green Tea Group - Lack of an Attractive "Growth Story"

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of October 25th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Alibaba, Tencent, Xiaomi, Geely Automobile, SMIC, Cosco Shipping.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of October 25th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Alibaba, Tencent, Xiaomi, Geely Automobile, SMIC, Cosco Shipping.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Oct 25th): Alibaba, Tencent, Xiaomi, Geely Automobile, SMIC, Cosco Shipping

China

Haidilao International Holding Ltd. operates Chinese cuisine restaurant brand focusing on hot pot cuisine. The Company provides hot pots, soup bases, dipping sauces, drinks, prepared food, and other products. Haidilao International Holding opens restaurants in Taiwan, Hong Kong, Singapore, South Korea, Japan, and the United States.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Haidilao International Holding (6862 HK)

NPC/MoF Press Conference- First Take

Local government debt swap surpasses expectations, but promises of more to come is giving some investors fatigue. Market action is promising

Rikki Malik

The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (November 7)

Hong Kong markets are among the top performers this year. Short selling has declined as Southbound buying increases. Xpeng introduced a new hybrid...

David Mudd

Eternal Beauty Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Core Offering Hasn’t Been Growing

Eternal Beauty Holdings (EB) is looking to raise about US$200m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive...

Sumeet Singh

Pre-IPO Green Tea Group - Lack of an Attractive "Growth Story"

Green Tea faces uncertain future growth due to competition/changing tastes/operational challenges.Valuation should be between Haidilao and...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Oct 25th): Alibaba, Tencent, Xiaomi, Geely Automobile, SMIC, Cosco Shipping

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Alibaba, Tencent, Xiaomi, Geely Automobile, SMIC, Cosco...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

NPC/MoF Press Conference- First Take

​Local government debt swap surpasses expectations, but promises of more to come is giving some investors fatigue. Market action is promising

Rikki Malik

The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (November 7)

Hong Kong markets are among the top performers this year. Short selling has declined as Southbound buying increases. Xpeng introduced a new hybrid...

David Mudd

Eternal Beauty Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Core Offering Hasn’t Been Growing

Eternal Beauty Holdings (EB) is looking to raise about US$200m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive...

Sumeet Singh

Pre-IPO Green Tea Group - Lack of an Attractive "Growth Story"

​Green Tea faces uncertain future growth due to competition/changing tastes/operational challenges.Valuation should be between Haidilao and...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Oct 25th): Alibaba, Tencent, Xiaomi, Geely Automobile, SMIC, Cosco Shipping

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Alibaba, Tencent, Xiaomi, Geely Automobile, SMIC, Cosco...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Local government debt swap surpasses expectations, but promises of more to come is giving some investors fatigue. Market action is promising

Green Tea faces uncertain future growth due to competition/changing tastes/operational challenges.Valuation should be between Haidilao and...