HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Bottom-Up

Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Hansoh’s performance in 2023 beat expectations, which was mainly driven by collaboration revenue. Revenue proportion of innovative drug business made breakthrough and has become the major performance driver.</li>
<li>Ameile’s future revenue growth is critical to Hansoh, but it faces increasing competition. EGFR/c-MET BsAb represents the future trend. If HS-20117 is successful, then the story of EGFR would continue.</li>
<li>In 2024, Hansoh is expected to receive an upfront payment of US$185 million from GSK. According to the management, revenue is expected to have double digit growth this year.</li>
</ul>


Hansoh’s performance in 2023 beat expectations, which was mainly driven by collaboration revenue. Revenue proportion of innovative drug business made breakthrough and has become the major performance driver.
Ameile’s future revenue growth is critical to Hansoh, but it faces increasing competition. EGFR/c-MET BsAb represents the future trend. If HS-20117 is successful, then the story of EGFR would continue.
In 2024, Hansoh is expected to receive an upfront payment of US$185 million from GSK. According to the management, revenue is expected to have double digit growth this year.


Hansoh Pharmaceutical (3692.HK) - Growth Would Remain Strong in 2024, but Ameile Is Facing Headwinds

Sino Biopharmaceutical / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The biggest changes in 2023 medical insurance catalog are the lifting of payment restrictions on TCM injections, which would drive rapid sales growth in the hospital market this year.</li>
<li>GLP-1s are not flawless, and patients will lose not only fat but also muscle during weight-loss process. Then, another noteworthy opportunity has emerged - reduce fat and increase muscle.</li>
<li>In 2024, Sino Biopharm is expected to achieve single-digit revenue growth. Deficiencies in corporate governance are one reason why the market is reluctant to offer Sino Biopharm high valuation.</li>
</ul>


The biggest changes in 2023 medical insurance catalog are the lifting of payment restrictions on TCM injections, which would drive rapid sales growth in the hospital market this year.
GLP-1s are not flawless, and patients will lose not only fat but also muscle during weight-loss process. Then, another noteworthy opportunity has emerged - reduce fat and increase muscle.
In 2024, Sino Biopharm is expected to achieve single-digit revenue growth. Deficiencies in corporate governance are one reason why the market is reluctant to offer Sino Biopharm high valuation.


China Healthcare Weekly (Apr.6) - Boom of TCM Injections Is Coming, Defects in GLP-1s, Sino Biopharm

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hansoh-pharmaceutical-group-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23675:1" rel="noopener">Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group (3692 HK)</a> reported a whopping 55% YoY net profit growth to RMB3 billion on just 13% YoY revenue growth to RMB6 billion in 2H23.</li>
<li>Revenue from innovative drugs zoomed 52% YoY to RMB4 billion and its proportion to total revenue increased to 73% in 2H23 from 54% in 2H22 and 62% in 1H23.</li>
<li>Although Hansoh is not expected to receive marketing approval for any in-house innovative product in 2024, existing portfolio of innovative drugs will continue to drive the growth of the company.</li>
</ul>



Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group (3692 HK) reported a whopping 55% YoY net profit growth to RMB3 billion on just 13% YoY revenue growth to RMB6 billion in 2H23.
Revenue from innovative drugs zoomed 52% YoY to RMB4 billion and its proportion to total revenue increased to 73% in 2H23 from 54% in 2H22 and 62% in 1H23.
Although Hansoh is not expected to receive marketing approval for any in-house innovative product in 2024, existing portfolio of innovative drugs will continue to drive the growth of the company.


Hansoh Pharmaceutical (3692 HK): Performance Improves in 2H23; Innovative Drugs to Continue to Roar

CSPC Pharmaceutical Group / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cspc-pharmaceutical-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:229:1" rel="noopener">CSPC Pharmaceutical Group (1093 HK)</a> reported steady growth in finished drugs in 2023. New products including Mingfule, Yilouda, and Anfulike achieved rapid sales ramp-up due to inclusion in the NRDL.</li>
<li>The company expects to launch 50 innovative drugs in the next five years, which will provide continuous momentum. The company further aims for 17 common generic launches during 2024–2025.</li>
<li>CSPC Pharmaceutical shares are trading at a P/E of 11.3x, lowest level seen in last five years, and cheaper than peers. Dividend yield remains attractive at 4%+.</li>
</ul>



CSPC Pharmaceutical Group (1093 HK) reported steady growth in finished drugs in 2023. New products including Mingfule, Yilouda, and Anfulike achieved rapid sales ramp-up due to inclusion in the NRDL.
The company expects to launch 50 innovative drugs in the next five years, which will provide continuous momentum. The company further aims for 17 common generic launches during 2024–2025.
CSPC Pharmaceutical shares are trading at a P/E of 11.3x, lowest level seen in last five years, and cheaper than peers. Dividend yield remains attractive at 4%+.


CSPC Pharmaceutical (1093 HK): Deep Value High Dividend Yield Idea; New Launches to Drive Growth

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sciclone-pharmaceuticals-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17351:1" rel="noopener">Sciclone Pharmaceuticals (6600 HK)</a> disclosed a scheme privatisation offer from GL Capital at HK$18.80 per share, a 33.9% premium to the undisturbed price (HK$14.04 on 15 March).</li>
<li>The key condition is approval by at least 75% of disinterested shareholders (&lt;10% of all disinterested shareholders rejection). The Bank of China, which holds a blocking stake, should be supportive.</li>
<li>The offer price has been declared final. It is reasonable, aligning with the all-time high and the IPO price. This is a done deal.</li>
</ul>



Sciclone Pharmaceuticals (6600 HK) disclosed a scheme privatisation offer from GL Capital at HK$18.80 per share, a 33.9% premium to the undisturbed price (HK$14.04 on 15 March).
The key condition is approval by at least 75% of disinterested shareholders (&lt;10% of all disinterested shareholders rejection). The Bank of China, which holds a blocking stake, should be supportive.
The offer price has been declared final. It is reasonable, aligning with the all-time high and the IPO price. This is a done deal.


SciClone Pharma (6600 HK): GL Capital’s Scheme Offer at HK$18.80

China

Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group Company Limited operates as a pharmaceutical company. The Company manufactures and sells anti-infectives, anti-neoplastic agents, diabetes drugs, and other products. Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group markets its products throughout China.

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Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group (3692 HK)

Hansoh Pharmaceutical (3692.HK) - Growth Would Remain Strong in 2024, but Ameile Is Facing Headwinds

Driven by collaboration revenue/breakthrough in innovative drug business, Hansoh's 2023 results beat expectations. But Ameile’s future growth...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (Apr.6) - Boom of TCM Injections Is Coming, Defects in GLP-1s, Sino Biopharm

Payment policy relaxation will drive rapid sales growth of TCM injection.GLP-1 has defects-patients will lose not only fat but also muscle. Mr...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Hansoh Pharmaceutical (3692 HK): Performance Improves in 2H23; Innovative Drugs to Continue to Roar

Hansoh Pharmaceutical reported an impressive 55% YoY net profit growth in 2H23, driven by revenue from innovative drugs, which grew 52% YoY and...

Tina Banerjee

CSPC Pharmaceutical (1093 HK): Deep Value High Dividend Yield Idea; New Launches to Drive Growth

CSPC Pharmaceutical reported steady growth in finished drugs in 2023, with new products driving sales ramp-up. The company plans to launch 50...

Tina Banerjee

SciClone Pharma (6600 HK): GL Capital’s Scheme Offer at HK$18.80

The offer price has been declared final. It is reasonable, aligning with the all-time high and the IPO price. This is a done deal.

Arun George

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Hansoh Pharmaceutical (3692.HK) - Growth Would Remain Strong in 2024, but Ameile Is Facing Headwinds

​Driven by collaboration revenue/breakthrough in innovative drug business, Hansoh's 2023 results beat expectations. But Ameile’s future growth...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (Apr.6) - Boom of TCM Injections Is Coming, Defects in GLP-1s, Sino Biopharm

Payment policy relaxation will drive rapid sales growth of TCM injection.GLP-1 has defects-patients will lose not only fat but also muscle. Mr...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Hansoh Pharmaceutical (3692 HK): Performance Improves in 2H23; Innovative Drugs to Continue to Roar

​Hansoh Pharmaceutical reported an impressive 55% YoY net profit growth in 2H23, driven by revenue from innovative drugs, which grew 52% YoY and...

Tina Banerjee

CSPC Pharmaceutical (1093 HK): Deep Value High Dividend Yield Idea; New Launches to Drive Growth

​CSPC Pharmaceutical reported steady growth in finished drugs in 2023, with new products driving sales ramp-up. The company plans to launch 50...

Tina Banerjee

SciClone Pharma (6600 HK): GL Capital’s Scheme Offer at HK$18.80

The offer price has been declared final. It is reasonable, aligning with the all-time high and the IPO price. This is a done deal.

Arun George

Driven by collaboration revenue/breakthrough in innovative drug business, Hansoh's 2023 results beat expectations. But Ameile’s future growth...

Hansoh Pharmaceutical reported an impressive 55% YoY net profit growth in 2H23, driven by revenue from innovative drugs, which grew 52% YoY and...

CSPC Pharmaceutical reported steady growth in finished drugs in 2023, with new products driving sales ramp-up. The company plans to launch 50...