External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>With Q2 being one of the weakest quarters for the industry, neither is there any real sequential improvement seen in B2C demand environment, nor any sign of further deceleration.</li><li>On the other hand, demand momentum in B2B portfolio has sustained.</li><li>However, challenges witnessed in the past 12 months is expected to near its end (inflation, fan rating change). </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

With Q2 being one of the weakest quarters for the industry, neither is there any real sequential improvement seen in B2C demand environment, nor any sign of further deceleration.On the other hand, demand momentum in B2B portfolio has sustained.However, challenges witnessed in the past 12 months is expected to near its end (inflation, fan rating change). Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Consumer Durables: Unchanged demand trend, margin likely bottoming out

<ul><li>In Q1FY24, the HSIE CD index revenue (ex-OEM) grew by 11% YoY (+9% four-year CAGR)</li><li>The growth was largely led by C&amp;W categories, which grew by 29% YoY (18% four-year CAGR), given sustained momentum in domestic infra/industrial and export tailwinds</li><li>Ex of C&amp;W, performance remained weak, given (1) high inflation impacting demand and (2) erratic weather impacting the sale of cooling products in April-May (June saw some recovery)</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

In Q1FY24, the HSIE CD index revenue (ex-OEM) grew by 11% YoY (+9% four-year CAGR)The growth was largely led by C&amp;W categories, which grew by 29% YoY (18% four-year CAGR), given sustained momentum in domestic infra/industrial and export tailwindsEx of C&amp;W, performance remained weak, given (1) high inflation impacting demand and (2) erratic weather impacting the sale of cooling products in April-May (June saw some recovery)Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Consumer Durables: Recovery visible on growth and margin

<ul><li>Hindustan Unilever: HUL’s revenue growth of 6% YoY was below our expectations (HSIE: 9%), as inventory de-stocking by trade (1-3 days) in anticipation of price cuts led to a 3% volume growth (2% four-year CAGR, HSIE 6%)</li><li>Home care &amp; BPC saw mid-single-digit volume growth while F&amp;R volumes were flat</li><li>Benefits of GM expansion (+255bps YoY) were largely offset by (1) higher A&amp;P spends (2) capability building (restructuring in HFD portfolio) and (3) an increase in royalty rate which limited EBITDAM expansion to 55bps</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Hindustan Unilever: HUL’s revenue growth of 6% YoY was below our expectations (HSIE: 9%), as inventory de-stocking by trade (1-3 days) in anticipation of price cuts led to a 3% volume growth (2% four-year CAGR, HSIE 6%)Home care &amp; BPC saw mid-single-digit volume growth while F&amp;R volumes were flatBenefits of GM expansion (+255bps YoY) were largely offset by (1) higher A&amp;P spends (2) capability building (restructuring in HFD portfolio) and (3) an increase in royalty rate which limited EBITDAM expansion to 55bpsContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Hindustan Unilever, Infosys

<ul><li>Unseasonal rains disrupt sale of summer products, aggregate revenue YoY/four-year CAGR at 6/8%: Our appliances coverage universe is expected to deliver revenue YoY/four-year CAGR (ex-Butterfly/Sunflame acquisition) of 6/8% in Q1FY24 (vs 63/10% in Q1FY23 and 5/11% in Q4FY23)</li><li>The demand environment continues to remain volatile given rating change (fans and RAC), softness in consumer sentiment (largely bottom of the pyramid), and pricing actions</li><li>In addition to this, unseasonal rains during peak summer months disrupted sales of cooling products (room AC, air coolers, fans, etc.)</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Unseasonal rains disrupt sale of summer products, aggregate revenue YoY/four-year CAGR at 6/8%: Our appliances coverage universe is expected to deliver revenue YoY/four-year CAGR (ex-Butterfly/Sunflame acquisition) of 6/8% in Q1FY24 (vs 63/10% in Q1FY23 and 5/11% in Q4FY23)The demand environment continues to remain volatile given rating change (fans and RAC), softness in consumer sentiment (largely bottom of the pyramid), and pricing actionsIn addition to this, unseasonal rains during peak summer months disrupted sales of cooling products (room AC, air coolers, fans, etc.)Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Consumer Durables - Unseasonal Rains Add to a Volatile Demand Environment

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>We interacted with the management of Havells India (Havells) and remained confident in healthy growth for its core categories along with improving margin print</li><li>Sustained investments (manufacturing, distribution, marketing, etc.) are maintaining their market competitiveness across categories B-C demand is slow but B-B is largely compensating</li><li>A weak summer season will have its bearing on Lloyd and the fan business in the near term</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We interacted with the management of Havells India (Havells) and remained confident in healthy growth for its core categories along with improving margin printSustained investments (manufacturing, distribution, marketing, etc.) are maintaining their market competitiveness across categories B-C demand is slow but B-B is largely compensatingA weak summer season will have its bearing on Lloyd and the fan business in the near termContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Havells India - Core Remains Healthy Focus on Competitiveness. Maintain ADD

India

Havells India Limited manufactures electrical products. The Company's products include building circuit protection equipment, industrial switchgears, energy meters, cables & wires, modular switches, fans and lighting products.

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Havells India (HAVL IN)

Consumer Durables: Unchanged demand trend, margin likely bottoming out

With Q2 being one of the weakest quarters for the industry, neither is there any real sequential improvement seen in B2C demand environment, nor...

HDFC Securities

Consumer Durables: Recovery visible on growth and margin

The growth was largely led by C&W categories, which grew by 29% YoY (18% four-year CAGR), given sustained momentum in domestic infra/industrial and...

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: Hindustan Unilever, Infosys

HUL’s revenue growth of 6% YoY was below our expectations (HSIE: 9%), as inventory de-stocking by trade (1-3 days) in anticipation of price cuts...

HDFC Securities

Consumer Durables - Unseasonal Rains Add to a Volatile Demand Environment

The demand environment continues to remain volatile given rating change (fans and RAC), softness in consumer sentiment (largely bottom of the...

HDFC Securities

Havells India - Core Remains Healthy Focus on Competitiveness. Maintain ADD

We interacted with the management of Havells India (Havells) and remained confident in healthy growth for its core categories along with improving...

HDFC Securities

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