Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Companies in India have disclosed their shareholding pattern as of end-September in October. There are companies with significant float changes from end-June and/or end-March.</li>
<li>The changes in free float could be reflected in domestic and global indices over the next few weeks and months resulting in flow from passive trackers.</li>
<li>Depending on the date that the shareholding was published, there could be 20 stocks with passive inflows from global trackers while 6 could have passive outflows in November.</li>
</ul>


Companies in India have disclosed their shareholding pattern as of end-September in October. There are companies with significant float changes from end-June and/or end-March.
The changes in free float could be reflected in domestic and global indices over the next few weeks and months resulting in flow from passive trackers.
Depending on the date that the shareholding was published, there could be 20 stocks with passive inflows from global trackers while 6 could have passive outflows in November.


India: Potential Free Float Changes & Passive Flows in November

Global Editor, Base Oil News

Iain Pocock

Global Editor

Global Base Oils and Lubricants Markets

Base Oil News

Base Oil News focuses on the interplay between fundamentals and prices in the global base oils and lubricants markets.

Baseoilnews.com combines daily, weekly and monthly base oils and lubes fundamentals data from every region of the world to build the most comprehensive and up-to-date global picture of the state of the market.

The data and analysis provide key tools to understand current market developments and opportunities and to anticipate how the market is likely to behave in the coming months.

Base oils producers, lube blenders and consumers can then better plan accordingly.

Baseoilnews.com analyses and publishes market news and data every day as it breaks.

Commodities

<ul><li>Asia’s Group II base oils cargo prices hold firm versus US export prices so far in Q4 2025.</li><li>Firm prices complicate arbitrage to move surplus supplies to markets like Latin America, suggesting Asia’s supply-demand fundamentals remain balanced to tight.</li><li>Asia’s Group II base oils price-premium to Singapore gasoil price stays at similar levels so far in Q4 2025 to end-Q3, even after recent rebound in crude/gasoil prices.</li></ul>

Asia’s Group II base oils cargo prices hold firm versus US export prices so far in Q4 2025.Firm prices complicate arbitrage to move surplus supplies to markets like Latin America, suggesting Asia’s supply-demand fundamentals remain balanced to tight.Asia’s Group II base oils price-premium to Singapore gasoil price stays at similar levels so far in Q4 2025 to end-Q3, even after recent rebound in crude/gasoil prices.

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 27 October

<ul><li>Asia’s Group II base oils price-premium to Singapore gasoil falls amid rebound in crude and diesel prices.</li><li>Ongoing fall in outright heavy-grade prices magnifies size of dip in heavy-grade margins.</li><li>Heavy-grade margins maintain steep, even if narrowing premium to light-grade margins.</li></ul>

Asia’s Group II base oils price-premium to Singapore gasoil falls amid rebound in crude and diesel prices.Ongoing fall in outright heavy-grade prices magnifies size of dip in heavy-grade margins.Heavy-grade margins maintain steep, even if narrowing premium to light-grade margins.

Asia base oils supply outlook: Week of 27 October

<ul><li>Asia’s base oils demand likely to stay muted amid expectations of ready availability of supply and waning consumption at year-end.</li><li>Recent volatility of crude oil prices adds to attraction of holding back.</li><li>Even so, firm China/India prices vs FOB Asia cargo prices points to ongoing buying interest in those markets.</li></ul>

Asia’s base oils demand likely to stay muted amid expectations of ready availability of supply and waning consumption at year-end.Recent volatility of crude oil prices adds to attraction of holding back.Even so, firm China/India prices vs FOB Asia cargo prices points to ongoing buying interest in those markets.

Asia base oils demand outlook: Week of 27 October

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Trump administration sanctions Russia's largest oil producers Rosneft and Lukoil effective November 21, 2025, forcing India to potentially slash Russian crude imports that currently constitute 34% of total intake.​​</li>
<li>Indian refiners face USD 3-5 billion in additional annual costs and structurally lower GRMs as they pivot to expensive Middle Eastern and US alternatives.</li>
<li>Russia's embedded role in India's energy means any shift will be costly, and margin-dilutive, setting up a 6-12 month period of procurement volatility and compressed refining spreads for Indian OMCs.​​</li>
</ul>


Trump administration sanctions Russia's largest oil producers Rosneft and Lukoil effective November 21, 2025, forcing India to potentially slash Russian crude imports that currently constitute 34% of total intake.​​
Indian refiners face USD 3-5 billion in additional annual costs and structurally lower GRMs as they pivot to expensive Middle Eastern and US alternatives.
Russia's embedded role in India's energy means any shift will be costly, and margin-dilutive, setting up a 6-12 month period of procurement volatility and compressed refining spreads for Indian OMCs.​​


Shifting Barrels: Inside India’s Painful Rebalance Away from Russian Crude

India

Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited refines crude oil and manufactures petroleum and petroleum products. The Company's products, which are sold via outlets throughout India, include lube products, lubricating oil, aviation fuel, hydraulic brake fluid, greases, liquefied petroleum gas and insecticides. The Government of India is the majority shareholder in the company.

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Hindustan Petroleum (HPCL IN)

India: Potential Free Float Changes & Passive Flows in November

Changes to shareholding patterns could lead to changes in float for some stocks in local/global indices in November. Passive trackers will need to...

Brian Freitas

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 27 October

Asia’s Group II base oils cargo prices hold firm versus US export prices so far in Q4 2025. Firm prices complicate arbitrage to move surplus...

Base Oil News

Asia base oils supply outlook: Week of 27 October

Asia’s Group II base oils price-premium to Singapore gasoil falls amid rebound in crude and diesel prices. Ongoing fall in outright heavy-grade...

Base Oil News

Asia base oils demand outlook: Week of 27 October

Asia’s base oils demand likely to stay muted amid expectations of ready availability of supply and waning consumption at year-end. Recent...

Base Oil News

Shifting Barrels: Inside India’s Painful Rebalance Away from Russian Crude

Trump sanctions on Russian oil producers Rosneft and Lukoil will force India to cut imports, leading to higher costs and lower margins as they...

Nimish Maheshwari

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

India: Potential Free Float Changes & Passive Flows in November

Changes to shareholding patterns could lead to changes in float for some stocks in local/global indices in November. Passive trackers will need to...

Brian Freitas

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 27 October

Asia’s Group II base oils cargo prices hold firm versus US export prices so far in Q4 2025. Firm prices complicate arbitrage to move surplus...

Base Oil News

Asia base oils supply outlook: Week of 27 October

Asia’s Group II base oils price-premium to Singapore gasoil falls amid rebound in crude and diesel prices. Ongoing fall in outright heavy-grade...

Base Oil News

Asia base oils demand outlook: Week of 27 October

Asia’s base oils demand likely to stay muted amid expectations of ready availability of supply and waning consumption at year-end. Recent...

Base Oil News

Shifting Barrels: Inside India’s Painful Rebalance Away from Russian Crude

​Trump sanctions on Russian oil producers Rosneft and Lukoil will force India to cut imports, leading to higher costs and lower margins as they...

Nimish Maheshwari

Trump sanctions on Russian oil producers Rosneft and Lukoil will force India to cut imports, leading to higher costs and lower margins as they...