Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>With no stocks in inclusion or deletion zone, we do not expect any constituent changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH INDEX)</a> in December.</li>
<li>Capping changes will result in a one-way turnover of 2.16% and that will result in a round-trip trade of US$556m.</li>
<li>The impact of capping changes has doubled over the last month and there will be more changes from now till the official capping is done on 28 November.</li>
</ul>


With no stocks in inclusion or deletion zone, we do not expect any constituent changes for the Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH INDEX) in December.
Capping changes will result in a one-way turnover of 2.16% and that will result in a round-trip trade of US$556m.
The impact of capping changes has doubled over the last month and there will be more changes from now till the official capping is done on 28 November.


HSTECH Index Rebalance Preview: Round-Trip Trade of US$556m in December

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Sep 29th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Wuxi Bio, Xpeng, Mnso, Bidu, Meituan, China Mobile, Baba.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Sep 29th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in Wuxi Bio, Xpeng, Mnso, Bidu, Meituan, China Mobile, Baba.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Wuxi Bio, Xpeng, Mnso, Bidu, Meituan, China Mobile, Baba

Cheng Shin Rubber Ind Co., Ltd. / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/philippines-stock-exchange-psei-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22912:1" rel="noopener">Philippines Stock Exchange PSEi Index (PCOMP INDEX)</a> rebalance was implemented last week and there were interesting moves at the close on implementation day.</li>
<li>The focus this week will be on pre-positioning for a global index rebalance where the review period commences next week.</li>
<li>Units outstanding on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-msci-emerging-markets-223f5da3-7054-4e4f-bc55-b7f0852c2581" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31998:1" rel="noopener">iShares Emerging Markets (EMXC US)</a> are at a new high while there continue to be redemptions in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-msci-emerging-markets" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:438:1" rel="noopener">iShares Emerging Markets (EEM US)</a>. </li>
</ul>


The Philippines Stock Exchange PSEi Index (PCOMP INDEX) rebalance was implemented last week and there were interesting moves at the close on implementation day.
The focus this week will be on pre-positioning for a global index rebalance where the review period commences next week.
Units outstanding on iShares Emerging Markets (EMXC US) are at a new high while there continue to be redemptions in iShares Emerging Markets (EEM US). 


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: Taiwan Div+, Nifty50, Cainiao IPO, Delta Electronics

Event-Driven

Cainiao Smart Logistics Network / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cainiao-smart-logistics-network-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36859:1" rel="noopener">Cainiao Smart Logistics (1437124D HK)</a> has filed an application proof to list on the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-exchanges-clearing" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:490:1" rel="noopener">HKEX (388 HK)</a> and could raise US$1bn at a valuation between US$15bn-20bn.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cainiao-smart-logistics-network-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36859:1" rel="noopener">Cainiao Smart Logistics (1437124D HK)</a> could get Fast Entry to the HSCI and be included in Southbound Stock Connect once the price stabilisation period is complete.</li>
<li>Inclusion in other indices will take longer with the highest probability of index inclusion in June. Earlier inclusion will depend on the IPO timing, size and allocation to strategic/cornerstone investors.</li>
</ul>



Cainiao Smart Logistics (1437124D HK) has filed an application proof to list on the HKEX (388 HK) and could raise US$1bn at a valuation between US$15bn-20bn.

Cainiao Smart Logistics (1437124D HK) could get Fast Entry to the HSCI and be included in Southbound Stock Connect once the price stabilisation period is complete.
Inclusion in other indices will take longer with the highest probability of index inclusion in June. Earlier inclusion will depend on the IPO timing, size and allocation to strategic/cornerstone investors.


<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Sep 22nd.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Tencent, Baba, CCB, China Mobile, AIA, Innovent Bio, Beigene.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Sep 22nd.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in Tencent, Baba, CCB, China Mobile, AIA, Innovent Bio, Beigene.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Tencent, Baba, CCB, China Mobile, AIA, Innovent Bio, Beigene

Hong Kong

Hong Kong Exchanges & Clearing Limited owns and operates the stock exchange, futures exchange, and their related clearing houses in Hong Kong.  The Company provides the trading platforms for a range of cash and derivatives products and the facilities for processing trades.

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HKEX (388 HK)

HSTECH Index Rebalance Preview: Round-Trip Trade of US$556m in December

No constituent changes expected in December. Capping changes will result in a one-way turnover of 2.16% (double from a month ago) and that will...

Brian Freitas

HK Short Interest Weekly: Wuxi Bio, Xpeng, Mnso, Bidu, Meituan, China Mobile, Baba

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Sep 29th and highlight short interest changes in Wuxi Bio, Xpeng, Mnso,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: Taiwan Div+, Nifty50, Cainiao IPO, Delta Electronics

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

Cainiao IPO: Index Inclusion Timeline

Cainiao has filed an application proof and could list later this year/early next yr. HSCI Fast Entry and addition to Stock Connect possible soon...

Brian Freitas

HK Short Interest Weekly: Tencent, Baba, CCB, China Mobile, AIA, Innovent Bio, Beigene

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Sep 22nd and highlight short interest changes in Tencent, Baba, CCB, China...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)