Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of June 9th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$265.3 million, led by financials, consumer discretionary, industrials sectors, and offset by information technology, materials.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Midea, China Pacific Insurance, Advanced Micro, Huatai Securities, Zhejiang Dahua Technology, Anhui Conch Cement, East Money Information, Asr Microelectronics, Wuliangye.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of June 9th.
We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$265.3 million, led by financials, consumer discretionary, industrials sectors, and offset by information technology, materials.
We highlight flows for Midea, China Pacific Insurance, Advanced Micro, Huatai Securities, Zhejiang Dahua Technology, Anhui Conch Cement, East Money Information, Asr Microelectronics, Wuliangye.


Northbound Flows (Jun 9th): Midea, China Pacific Insurance, Advanced Micro, Huatai Securities, Dahua

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 5 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-stock-exchange-sse-50-a-share-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31073:1" rel="noopener">SSE50 Index</a> that will be implemented at the close on 9 June. There is over 1x ADV to sell on a few deletions.</li>
<li>We estimate a one-way turnover of 5.3% at the June rebalance leading to a one-way trade of CNY 3.84bn. Index arb activity could add to the impact on the stocks.</li>
<li>The adds outperformed the deletes from February to April but have given up a lot of the outperformance over the last month.</li>
</ul>


There are 5 changes for the SSE50 Index that will be implemented at the close on 9 June. There is over 1x ADV to sell on a few deletions.
We estimate a one-way turnover of 5.3% at the June rebalance leading to a one-way trade of CNY 3.84bn. Index arb activity could add to the impact on the stocks.
The adds outperformed the deletes from February to April but have given up a lot of the outperformance over the last month.


SSE50 Index Rebalance: 5 Changes as Adds Give Up Recent Gains

Beijing Kingsoft Office Softwa / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>With 2 trading days left in the review period, we see 7 potential adds/5 potential deletes in June. However, there can be a maximum of 5 changes at a rebalance.</li>
<li>We estimate one-way turnover of 5.58% at the June rebalance leading to a one-way trade of CNY 4.22bn. Index arb balances could increase the impact on the stocks.</li>
<li>The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes over the last couple of months and have underperformed over the last week.</li>
</ul>


With 2 trading days left in the review period, we see 7 potential adds/5 potential deletes in June. However, there can be a maximum of 5 changes at a rebalance.
We estimate one-way turnover of 5.58% at the June rebalance leading to a one-way trade of CNY 4.22bn. Index arb balances could increase the impact on the stocks.
The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes over the last couple of months and have underperformed over the last week.


SSE50 Index Rebalance Preview: Five Changes Coming Up in June

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 117.4% as of Apr 7th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 3.5ppt week on week, led by communication services, health care, real estate and offset by utilities.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Vanke, China Rail Group, Huatai Securities, Yankuang Energy, CRRC, CICC, GWM.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 117.4% as of Apr 7th.
The average A-H premium changed by 3.5ppt week on week, led by communication services, health care, real estate and offset by utilities.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Vanke, China Rail Group, Huatai Securities, Yankuang Energy, CRRC, CICC, GWM.


A-H Premium Weekly (Apr 7th): China Vanke, China Rail Group, Huatai Securities, Yankuang Energy

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 111.9% as of Mar 3rd.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 0.3ppt week on week, led by communication services, consumer discretionary, financials and offset by real estate, information technology, industrials.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Xinjiang Goldwind, ZTE, China Southern, CRRC, GWM, China Telecom, CCCC, China Oilfield.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 111.9% as of Mar 3rd.
The average A-H premium changed by 0.3ppt week on week, led by communication services, consumer discretionary, financials and offset by real estate, information technology, industrials.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Xinjiang Goldwind, ZTE, China Southern, CRRC, GWM, China Telecom, CCCC, China Oilfield.


A-H Premium Weekly (Mar 3rd): Xinjiang Goldwind, ZTE, China Southern, CRRC, GWM, China Telecom

China

Huatai Securities Co., Ltd. provides financial company. The Company provides securities brokerage services, research consulting services, investment banking and direct investment services, fixed-income services and asset management services.

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Huatai Securities Co Ltd (A) (601688 CH)

Northbound Flows (Jun 9th): Midea, China Pacific Insurance, Advanced Micro, Huatai Securities, Dahua

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for last week and highlight flows for Midea, China Pacific Insurance, Advanced Micro, Huatai...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

SSE50 Index Rebalance: 5 Changes as Adds Give Up Recent Gains

There are 5 changes for the SSE50 Index in June. The adds outperformed from Feb-April but have underperformed since then. The Anhui Conch Cement...

Brian Freitas

SSE50 Index Rebalance Preview: Five Changes Coming Up in June

There will be 5 changes in June. Estimated 1-way turnover is 5.58% leading to a 1-way trade of CNY 4.22bn. The adds have outperformed the deletes...

Brian Freitas

A-H Premium Weekly (Apr 7th): China Vanke, China Rail Group, Huatai Securities, Yankuang Energy

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Vanke, China Rail Group, Huatai Securities, Yankuang...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Mar 3rd): Xinjiang Goldwind, ZTE, China Southern, CRRC, GWM, China Telecom

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Xinjiang Goldwind, ZTE, China Southern, CRRC, GWM, China...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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