Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
Kum Yang and Youlchon Chemical are within the borderline for inclusion, whereas Hwaseung Enterprise and K Car are in the deletion zone.</li>
<li>Since the review period has reached 75%, it seems reasonable to consider a somewhat aggressive buildup for them.</li>
<li>We can also consider setting up preemptive positions only for Kum Yang and Hwaseung Enterprise and then sequentially look for entry opportunities for Youlchon and K Car later on.</li>
</ul>



Kum Yang and Youlchon Chemical are within the borderline for inclusion, whereas Hwaseung Enterprise and K Car are in the deletion zone.
Since the review period has reached 75%, it seems reasonable to consider a somewhat aggressive buildup for them.
We can also consider setting up preemptive positions only for Kum Yang and Hwaseung Enterprise and then sequentially look for entry opportunities for Youlchon and K Car later on.


Names for a Preemptive Long Short Setup for KOSPI 200 June Rebalancing

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We are negative on Feng Tay Enterprise's share price in the next 6-12 months mainly due to inventory/margin concerns at its largest customer Nike combined with unattractive valuations.</li>
<li>In the next several months, we think there is a higher probability of Feng Tay's share price underperforming versus Nike.</li>
<li>Feng Tay Enterprise is one of the largest global OEM/ODM companies that specializes the design and manufacturing of footwear. Nike is one of the largest customers of Feng Tay Enterprise. </li>
</ul>


We are negative on Feng Tay Enterprise's share price in the next 6-12 months mainly due to inventory/margin concerns at its largest customer Nike combined with unattractive valuations.
In the next several months, we think there is a higher probability of Feng Tay's share price underperforming versus Nike.
Feng Tay Enterprise is one of the largest global OEM/ODM companies that specializes the design and manufacturing of footwear. Nike is one of the largest customers of Feng Tay Enterprise. 


Feng Tay Enterprise: Risks from Higher Inventory at Nike & Unattractive Valuations

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>There will be 2 additions and 2 deletions for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange Kospi 200 Index (KOSPI2 INDEX)</a> at the June rebalance that will be implemented on 8 June.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kum-yang-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10364:1" rel="noopener">Kum Yang (001570 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cosmochemical-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3747:1" rel="noopener">Cosmochemical (005420 KS)</a>, both high probability names, are inclusions while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hwaseung-enterprise-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35611:1" rel="noopener">Hwaseung Enterprise (241590 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dongwon-industries-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1783:1" rel="noopener">Dongwon Industries (006040 KS)</a> are deletions.</li>
<li>Not surpisingly, there is almost no short interest on the adds. Short interest on the deletes is higher and rising. Expect short covering on the deletes prior to implementation.</li>
</ul>


There will be 2 additions and 2 deletions for the Korea Stock Exchange Kospi 200 Index (KOSPI2 INDEX) at the June rebalance that will be implemented on 8 June.

Kum Yang (001570 KS) and Cosmochemical (005420 KS), both high probability names, are inclusions while Hwaseung Enterprise (241590 KS) and Dongwon Industries (006040 KS) are deletions.
Not surpisingly, there is almost no short interest on the adds. Short interest on the deletes is higher and rising. Expect short covering on the deletes prior to implementation.


KOSPI200 Index Rebalance: Two Sets of Changes

<ul>
<li>Korea Exchange announced the KOSPI 200 and KOSDAQ 150 indices constituents changes today. </li>
<li>Kum Yang (001570 KS) and Cosmochemical (005420 KS) were included in the KOSPI 200. Dongwon Industries (006040 KS) and Hwaseung Enterprise (241590 KS) were excluded in KOSPI 200 index.</li>
<li>We expect continued underperformance of Kumyang and Cosmo Chemical as many investors will now start to sell these stocks based on "buy on rumor, sell on news" strategy.</li>
</ul>


Korea Exchange announced the KOSPI 200 and KOSDAQ 150 indices constituents changes today. 
Kum Yang (001570 KS) and Cosmochemical (005420 KS) were included in the KOSPI 200. Dongwon Industries (006040 KS) and Hwaseung Enterprise (241590 KS) were excluded in KOSPI 200 index.
We expect continued underperformance of Kumyang and Cosmo Chemical as many investors will now start to sell these stocks based on "buy on rumor, sell on news" strategy.


Trading Strategy Post KRX Rebalance Announcement of KOSPI 200 and KOSDAQ 150

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we discuss the potential inclusions and exclusions that the locals are highlighting for the KOSPI 200 and KOSDAQ 150 rebalance in May 2023. </li>
<li>The top five best performing stocks YTD that are expected to be included in either KOSPI200 and KOSDAQ150 include Rainbow Robotics, Kumyang, Cosmo Chemical, Yunsung F&amp;C, and Posco M Tech.</li>
<li>In the coming weeks, there is a higher probability these five stocks underperform the market on average as many investors sell the news on them getting included in these indices. </li>
</ul>


In this insight, we discuss the potential inclusions and exclusions that the locals are highlighting for the KOSPI 200 and KOSDAQ 150 rebalance in May 2023. 
The top five best performing stocks YTD that are expected to be included in either KOSPI200 and KOSDAQ150 include Rainbow Robotics, Kumyang, Cosmo Chemical, Yunsung F&amp;C, and Posco M Tech.
In the coming weeks, there is a higher probability these five stocks underperform the market on average as many investors sell the news on them getting included in these indices. 


Potential Inclusions & Exclusions for KOSPI 200 and KOSDAQ 150 in May 2023 Highlighted by Locals

South Korea

Hwaseung Enterprise Co., Ltd. manufactures athletic shoes through Original Development Manufacturing(ODM) and Original Equipment Manufacturing(OEM). The Company supplies its products to Adidas and Reebok.

Hwaseung Enterprise (241590 KS)

Names for a Preemptive Long Short Setup for KOSPI 200 June Rebalancing

Despite controversies, KRX will fast-track Ecopro Materials into KOSPI 200 during the December 15th regular rebalancing, removing K Car. An...

Sanghyun Park

Feng Tay Enterprise: Risks from Higher Inventory at Nike & Unattractive Valuations

We are negative on Feng Tay Enterprise's share price in the next 6-12 months mainly due to inventory/margin concerns at its largest customer Nike...

Douglas Kim

KOSPI200 Index Rebalance: Two Sets of Changes

Kumyang & CosmoChem will be added to the KOSPI200 in June. Both stocks ran up a lot and are now correcting - they become short sell eligible from...

Brian Freitas

Trading Strategy Post KRX Rebalance Announcement of KOSPI 200 and KOSDAQ 150

Korea Exchange announced the KOSPI 200 and KOSDAQ 150 indices constituents changes today. We expect continued underperformance of Kumyang and Cosmo...

Douglas Kim

Potential Inclusions & Exclusions for KOSPI 200 and KOSDAQ 150 in May 2023 Highlighted by Locals

In this insight, we discuss the potential inclusions and exclusions that the locals are highlighting for the KOSPI 200 and KOSDAQ 150 rebalance in...

Douglas Kim