Equity Analyst - Asia Consumer Sector, Investory

Devi Subhakesan

Equity Analyst - Asia Consumer Sector

ASIA CONSUMER: INSIGHTS AND INVESTMENT IDEAS

Investory

Investory is a Singapore-based boutique independent equity research firm founded in January 2017 with a primary focus on consumption themes across Asia-Pacific.

We aim to generate investible ideas based on consumption trends and outlook. We screen our ideas on several parameters - product potential, long-term growth and management commitment being the most critical.  We follow a fundamental analysis approach in our stock selection process and are not restricted by market cap.

We aspire to grow into a leading source of unbiased research, free of conflict of interest, for investors yearning for independent and disciplined analysis. 

We also undertake bespoke research mandates to support our Institutional clients’ investment needs.

Our team comprises of professionals with extensive experience in the Asian equity markets, in areas ranging from research, servicing institutional clients and investment management.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Toyota Kirloskar, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyota-motor-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:73:1" rel="noopener">Toyota Motor</a>'s 89%-owned India JV, recorded a 65% rise in revenues and 240% jump in profits to around USD575 million in FY2024 following 48% increase in units sold.</li>
<li>The company has continued to maintain its strong growth momentum in FY2025 YTD, with wholesale volumes up 36% YoY.</li>
<li>Successful launch of rebadged Suzuki models, ramped-up production and customer-friendly initiatives have supported Toyota's accelerated volume growth in India.</li>
</ul>


Toyota Kirloskar, Toyota Motor's 89%-owned India JV, recorded a 65% rise in revenues and 240% jump in profits to around USD575 million in FY2024 following 48% increase in units sold.
The company has continued to maintain its strong growth momentum in FY2025 YTD, with wholesale volumes up 36% YoY.
Successful launch of rebadged Suzuki models, ramped-up production and customer-friendly initiatives have supported Toyota's accelerated volume growth in India.


Toyota Motor (7203 JP): Scripting an India Success Story with Suzuki Tie Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyundai-motor-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40900:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Motor India</a> reported an 8% decline in monthly dispatch volumes ahead of India's festive season, coinciding with a sharp increase in shipments by competitors in the SUV space.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mahindra-mahindra-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16441:1" rel="noopener">Mahindra &amp; Mahindra (MM IN)</a> , Toyota Kirloskar Motor ( <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyota-motor-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:73:1" rel="noopener">Toyota Motor (7203 JP)</a> JV), and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kia-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:156:1" rel="noopener">Kia Corp (000270 KS)</a> each posted high double-digit volume growth in August.</li>
<li>Overall, India's domestic Passenger Vehicle sales growth for the April-August period has slowed year-on-year after two years of strong post-COVID momentum.</li>
</ul>



Hyundai Motor India reported an 8% decline in monthly dispatch volumes ahead of India's festive season, coinciding with a sharp increase in shipments by competitors in the SUV space.

Mahindra &amp; Mahindra (MM IN) , Toyota Kirloskar Motor ( Toyota Motor (7203 JP) JV), and Kia Corp (000270 KS) each posted high double-digit volume growth in August.
Overall, India's domestic Passenger Vehicle sales growth for the April-August period has slowed year-on-year after two years of strong post-COVID momentum.


Hyundai Motor India: Feeling the Heat as SUV Rivals Surge

<ul>
<li>Recent media reports on declining passenger vehicle (PV) sales in India for August are based on wholesale data and reflect expected weakness due to high dealer inventory levels.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyundai-motor-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40900:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Motor India (1342Z IN)</a>'s  dispatches dropped by 8% in August, yet the company remains strong in the SUV segment, with the Creta, launched in January 2024, driving growth.</li>
<li>Outlook for the passenger vehicle segment is cautiously optimistic, supported by monsoon impact, festive season, new product launches, but challenges like heavy rainfall, high inventory levels, and economic uncertainties persist.</li>
</ul>


Recent media reports on declining passenger vehicle (PV) sales in India for August are based on wholesale data and reflect expected weakness due to high dealer inventory levels.

Hyundai Motor India (1342Z IN)'s  dispatches dropped by 8% in August, yet the company remains strong in the SUV segment, with the Creta, launched in January 2024, driving growth.
Outlook for the passenger vehicle segment is cautiously optimistic, supported by monsoon impact, festive season, new product launches, but challenges like heavy rainfall, high inventory levels, and economic uncertainties persist.


India Autos: Expected Weak Wholesale Data. Hyundai Dispatches Drop in August

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Equity Capital Markets

Hyundai Motor India  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Our base case valuation of Hyundai Motor India is market cap of US$18.6 billion, based on P/E of 24.4x our estimated net profit of 64.1 billion INR in FY25. </li>
<li>There have been some increasing concerns about Hyundai Motor India paying out higher royalty to its parent Hyundai Motor and dividend to shareholders, which could lower profit.</li>
<li>According to a recent article by livemint, the expected valuation of Hyundai Motor India has fallen to about USD16 billion to USD20 billion.</li>
</ul>


Our base case valuation of Hyundai Motor India is market cap of US$18.6 billion, based on P/E of 24.4x our estimated net profit of 64.1 billion INR in FY25. 
There have been some increasing concerns about Hyundai Motor India paying out higher royalty to its parent Hyundai Motor and dividend to shareholders, which could lower profit.
According to a recent article by livemint, the expected valuation of Hyundai Motor India has fallen to about USD16 billion to USD20 billion.


Hyundai Motor India IPO Valuation Analysis

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hero-fincorp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43860:1" rel="noopener">Hero FinCorp</a> (HF) is looking to raise around US$438m in its upcoming India IPO.</li>
<li>HF is a non-deposit taking NBFC. It offers a suite of financial products catering primarily to the retail segment and the MSME customer segment in India.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



Hero FinCorp (HF) is looking to raise around US$438m in its upcoming India IPO.
HF is a non-deposit taking NBFC. It offers a suite of financial products catering primarily to the retail segment and the MSME customer segment in India.
In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.


Hero Fincorp Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Still Has Issues to Contend With

South Korea

Hyundai Motor India Limited (HMIL) designs and manufactures automobiles. The Company offers cars, vans, sedans, and sport utility vehicles along with financing, leasing, and maintenance services. HMIL serves customers globally.

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Hyundai Motor India (HYUNDAI IN)

Toyota Motor (7203 JP): Scripting an India Success Story with Suzuki Tie Up

Fuelled by successful launch of rebadged Suzuki models,Toyota recorded highest ever revenues and profits in its India venture in FY2024. Growth...

Devi Subhakesan

Hyundai Motor India: Feeling the Heat as SUV Rivals Surge

Intensifying competition in the SUV segment and sluggish demand in the hatchback segment has led to slowing sales volumes YTD. Market response to...

Devi Subhakesan

India Autos: Expected Weak Wholesale Data. Hyundai Dispatches Drop in August

Hyundai Motor India's dispatches dropped by 8% in August, yet it remains strong in the SUV segment. Slipped to third place in retail market share...

Devi Subhakesan

Hyundai Motor India IPO Valuation Analysis

Our base case valuation of Hyundai Motor India is market cap of US$18.6 billion, based on P/E of 24.4x our estimated net profit of 64.1 billion INR...

Douglas Kim

Hero Fincorp Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Still Has Issues to Contend With

Hero FinCorp (HF) is looking to raise around US$438m in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.

Sumeet Singh

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