Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The December 2024 index review results for the BSE Sensex and BSE 100 Indices were announced after the close on Friday 22nd November 2024.</li>
<li>On the same day, the Bombay Stock Exchange announced several new names will be added to the Futures and Options (F&amp;O) segment resulting in multiple surprises among the index changes.</li>
<li>There will be one change for BSE Sensex and six changes for BSE 100 during the December 2024 index rebal event.</li>
</ul>


The December 2024 index review results for the BSE Sensex and BSE 100 Indices were announced after the close on Friday 22nd November 2024.
On the same day, the Bombay Stock Exchange announced several new names will be added to the Futures and Options (F&amp;O) segment resulting in multiple surprises among the index changes.
There will be one change for BSE Sensex and six changes for BSE 100 during the December 2024 index rebal event.


Quiddity BSE Dec 24 Rebal: Big Wins for Zomato & Jiofin as New F&O Inclusions Trigger Surprises

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Following SEBI's review of eligibility criteria for entry/exit of stocks in the derivatives segment, there could be 18 deletions/79 inclusions in the F&amp;O segment over the next 6 months.</li>
<li>The introduction of some stocks in the F&amp;O segment could lead to their inclusion in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-bse-sensex-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31494:1" rel="noopener">SENSEX</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-bank-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26811:1" rel="noopener">Nifty Bank</a> and CNXIT indices and weight changes in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">Nifty Next50</a>.</li>
<li>The inclusion of stocks in indices with a fixed number of constituents will result in deletion of some stocks from these indices. There should be methodology changes too.</li>
</ul>


Following SEBI's review of eligibility criteria for entry/exit of stocks in the derivatives segment, there could be 18 deletions/79 inclusions in the F&amp;O segment over the next 6 months.
The introduction of some stocks in the F&amp;O segment could lead to their inclusion in the NIFTY, SENSEX, Nifty Bank and CNXIT indices and weight changes in the Nifty Next50.
The inclusion of stocks in indices with a fixed number of constituents will result in deletion of some stocks from these indices. There should be methodology changes too.


India: Index Implications of Additions to the F&O Segment

Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Credit metrics continue to improve, with NPLs down to INR404bn in 1Q25 from INR458bn YoY and from INR407bn QoQ</li>
<li>Net loan growth continues to rise by about INR1tr each quarter, with net loans at INR9,465bn in 1Q25 up from INR8,554bn YoY and INR9,318bn QoQ</li>
<li>There are pressures on costs and margins, so the story is not all perfect, with NIM pressure potentially to reverse as LDR expands</li>
</ul>


Credit metrics continue to improve, with NPLs down to INR404bn in 1Q25 from INR458bn YoY and from INR407bn QoQ
Net loan growth continues to rise by about INR1tr each quarter, with net loans at INR9,465bn in 1Q25 up from INR8,554bn YoY and INR9,318bn QoQ
There are pressures on costs and margins, so the story is not all perfect, with NIM pressure potentially to reverse as LDR expands


Canara Bank - Bad Debt Charges Down in the Quarter, Net Loan Growth Nearly INR1tr YoY in 1Q25

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Beat the Street

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Reliance Retail Ventures will launch Shein in India, four years after its ban</li>
<li>Indian Railways plans 10,000 non-AC coaches by 2025-26 to alleviate overcrowding issues</li>
<li>The coal sector achieved a notable 10.2% growth in May, leading key infrastructure industries</li>
</ul>


Reliance Retail Ventures will launch Shein in India, four years after its ban
Indian Railways plans 10,000 non-AC coaches by 2025-26 to alleviate overcrowding issues
The coal sector achieved a notable 10.2% growth in May, leading key infrastructure industries


#25 India Insight: LIC Stake in IDFC, INOX Wind Soars 13%, Reliance Retail to Launch Shein IPO

<ul>
<li>JSW launches coated steel product to substitute imports which has market of INR 2200 crore</li>
<li>Adani may tie up with Japan for renewable energy post-meeting between officials</li>
<li>FII short position highest before election results; India Q4 GDP beat analyst estimates</li>
</ul>


JSW launches coated steel product to substitute imports which has market of INR 2200 crore
Adani may tie up with Japan for renewable energy post-meeting between officials
FII short position highest before election results; India Q4 GDP beat analyst estimates


#5 India Insights: JSW Steel New Product, Adani-Japan May Tie Up, FII Shorts, India GDP

India

IDFC First Bank Limited provides a full range of commercial banking services for retail and institutional customers. The Bank offers fixed deposits, debit cards, savings account, cash management, and other services. IDFC Bank serves its customers in India.

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IDFC First Bank Limited (IDFCFB IN)

Quiddity BSE Dec 24 Rebal: Big Wins for Zomato & Jiofin as New F&O Inclusions Trigger Surprises

We estimate one-way flows of US$285mn and US$324mn for SENSEX and BSE 100 index rebalance events in December 2024. The Inclusion/Exclusion events...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

India: Index Implications of Additions to the F&O Segment

With 79 stocks potentially added to the FnO market in the next few months, there will be a lot of changes for the NIFTY, NEXT50, NSEBANK, CNXIT,...

Brian Freitas

Canara Bank - Bad Debt Charges Down in the Quarter, Net Loan Growth Nearly INR1tr YoY in 1Q25

Canara Bank continues to see improvements in credit metrics. Less focus on MSMEs and more on retail can support this. LDR contract QoQ may reverse...

Daniel Tabbush

#25 India Insight: LIC Stake in IDFC, INOX Wind Soars 13%, Reliance Retail to Launch Shein IPO

Reliance Retail Ventures to bring back Shein in India, Indian Railways to add 10,000 non-AC coaches, coal sector sees 10.2% growth in May.

Sudarshan Bhandari

#5 India Insights: JSW Steel New Product, Adani-Japan May Tie Up, FII Shorts, India GDP

India Insights : JSW introduces coated steel product to reduce imports, Adani considers partnership with Japan for renewable energy, FII short...

Sudarshan Bhandari

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Quiddity BSE Dec 24 Rebal: Big Wins for Zomato & Jiofin as New F&O Inclusions Trigger Surprises

We estimate one-way flows of US$285mn and US$324mn for SENSEX and BSE 100 index rebalance events in December 2024. The Inclusion/Exclusion events...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

India: Index Implications of Additions to the F&O Segment

With 79 stocks potentially added to the FnO market in the next few months, there will be a lot of changes for the NIFTY, NEXT50, NSEBANK, CNXIT,...

Brian Freitas

Canara Bank - Bad Debt Charges Down in the Quarter, Net Loan Growth Nearly INR1tr YoY in 1Q25

Canara Bank continues to see improvements in credit metrics. Less focus on MSMEs and more on retail can support this. LDR contract QoQ may reverse...

Daniel Tabbush

#25 India Insight: LIC Stake in IDFC, INOX Wind Soars 13%, Reliance Retail to Launch Shein IPO

​Reliance Retail Ventures to bring back Shein in India, Indian Railways to add 10,000 non-AC coaches, coal sector sees 10.2% growth in May.

Sudarshan Bhandari

#5 India Insights: JSW Steel New Product, Adani-Japan May Tie Up, FII Shorts, India GDP

​India Insights : JSW introduces coated steel product to reduce imports, Adani considers partnership with Japan for renewable energy, FII short...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Reliance Retail Ventures to bring back Shein in India, Indian Railways to add 10,000 non-AC coaches, coal sector sees 10.2% growth in May.

India Insights : JSW introduces coated steel product to reduce imports, Adani considers partnership with Japan for renewable energy, FII short...