EM - Back to the Future with the Fragile 10
In line with previous reports such as This Time Is Not Different: The Seeds of the Next Crisis Are Being Sown and Asia Calling: Dollar Rally Set to...
427 Views
The US/China Relationship: Investors Complacent Despite Irreconcilable Differences
By confronting Beijing over the US deficit in bilateral trade, President Trump has opened a Pandora’s Box of grievances concerning the broader...
232 Views
EM FX Leading a Broader USD Cycle Low in Asia
We have made a case that EM FX is kicking off a cycle that will lead a USD key low in Asia stemming largely from the leading cycle in the TRY...
229 Views
USD Short to Long Transition Cycle
DXY bear call from 101 is nearing our macro target at 88.50 where we see at least an intermediate rally cycle unfolding. DXY roadmap is outlined....
344 Views
Emerging Markets: REER View Mirror
The BIS's estimates of real effective exchange rates (REERs) have long been the gold standard for longer-run FX valuation. Our analysis of the...
375 Views