Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS. US Stocks continue relentless run; Consumer Confidence hits 2 year high; New Resolve from China to help the economy; Alphabet reports strong earnings; MSFT AI biz growing </li>
<li>JAPAN. NKY Futures -0.3% Discount to Cash; USDJPY 140.9; Earnings in full swing:  Otsuka HD beats; Shimano Misses;   Broker Changes: Nintendo cut to Sell at UBS</li>
<li>NUGGET. Globally competitive wages - An National Security Issue. More evidence emerges: Now out of Vietnam </li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS. US Stocks continue relentless run; Consumer Confidence hits 2 year high; New Resolve from China to help the economy; Alphabet reports strong earnings; MSFT AI biz growing 
JAPAN. NKY Futures -0.3% Discount to Cash; USDJPY 140.9; Earnings in full swing:  Otsuka HD beats; Shimano Misses;   Broker Changes: Nintendo cut to Sell at UBS
NUGGET. Globally competitive wages - An National Security Issue. More evidence emerges: Now out of Vietnam 


Ohayo Japan| US Consumer Confidence; China Resolve Fuels Stocks; NUGGET:IT Talent Issue - A Priority

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS. SPX eakes out gains despite weak ISM Manufacutring in light trading ahead of July 4th Independence Day Holiday; TESLA +6.9% on big 2Q delivery numbers </li>
<li>JAPAN. NKY Futs -0.4% vs Cash; JPYUSD 144.7; Strong BOJ Tankan print drives NKY to new highs;  JP land prices continue to rise; Support for JP foundry goals from IBM</li>
<li>NUGGET.  Japan's passing of the GX Promotion Law enables the issuance of ¥20 trillion in bonds and promotes ¥150 trillion of decarbonization investment over the next decade. Investment opportunities abound!</li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS. SPX eakes out gains despite weak ISM Manufacutring in light trading ahead of July 4th Independence Day Holiday; TESLA +6.9% on big 2Q delivery numbers 
JAPAN. NKY Futs -0.4% vs Cash; JPYUSD 144.7; Strong BOJ Tankan print drives NKY to new highs;  JP land prices continue to rise; Support for JP foundry goals from IBM
NUGGET.  Japan's passing of the GX Promotion Law enables the issuance of ¥20 trillion in bonds and promotes ¥150 trillion of decarbonization investment over the next decade. Investment opportunities abound!


Ohayo Japan| SPX Gains Despite Weak Factory PMI; NUGGET: Japan's GX Promotion Law - Opportunity !

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS.  SPX -0.5% with most Sector in the Red; Residential Construction STRONG; China Rate Cut disappoints; TESLA +5.3% bags Rivian for Charging Network.</li>
<li>JAPAN. NKY Futs -0.9% vs Cash; Blackrock's Fink say Japan benefitting from China Flight; Labor market loosing as JP workers shying away from liftime employment; Yamato HD exits mail delivery</li>
<li>NUGGET. Nintendo(7974) - Doing a Disney..using its IP…Now Mario out, Rumour are "Legend of Zelda" Movie in the works.. </li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS.  SPX -0.5% with most Sector in the Red; Residential Construction STRONG; China Rate Cut disappoints; TESLA +5.3% bags Rivian for Charging Network.
JAPAN. NKY Futs -0.9% vs Cash; Blackrock's Fink say Japan benefitting from China Flight; Labor market loosing as JP workers shying away from liftime employment; Yamato HD exits mail delivery
NUGGET. Nintendo(7974) - Doing a Disney..using its IP…Now Mario out, Rumour are "Legend of Zelda" Movie in the works.. 


Ohayo Japan| US Back to an Equity Sell Off; NUGGET: Nintendo(7974) - Set to Track Disney's Success ?

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toshiba-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:637:1" rel="noopener">Toshiba Corp (6502 JP)</a> Board now recommends shareholders accept Japan Industrial Partners (JIP)’s pre-conditional tender offer of JPY4,620 per share. The Board also effectively rules out a bump.</li>
<li>The Board unconvincingly recommends the offer in part on the premise that the IFA’s DCF valuation is unrealistic due to punchy forecasts and positive feedback from stakeholders.  </li>
<li>The Board fails to consider that the peers have materially re-rated, the offer’s price ratio remains unattractive and the declining premium of the offer’s implied multiple vs peers’ multiples.</li>
</ul>



Toshiba Corp (6502 JP) Board now recommends shareholders accept Japan Industrial Partners (JIP)’s pre-conditional tender offer of JPY4,620 per share. The Board also effectively rules out a bump.
The Board unconvincingly recommends the offer in part on the premise that the IFA’s DCF valuation is unrealistic due to punchy forecasts and positive feedback from stakeholders.  
The Board fails to consider that the peers have materially re-rated, the offer’s price ratio remains unattractive and the declining premium of the offer’s implied multiple vs peers’ multiples.


Toshiba (6502 JP): Risk/Reward as Board Unconvincingly Recommends JIP’s Offer

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS. SPX +1% as Cyclicals rose on Congress Debt Limit Deal; NFP in focus &amp; implication for Fed June pause; Dollar General -20%..US consumer headwinds; Boeing scraps next-gen aircraft.</li>
<li>JAPAN. NKY Futs +0.8% Cash; Stronger Yen but expect strong equity open on US rally; Foreigners bought Equities for 9th week; Panasonic sees EV battery Sales at 2.5tril by 2030</li>
<li>NUGGET. The 2nd round of Off-shore wind auctions will conclude at the end of June. This will mark the (re) start of Japan's aggressive push for wind.</li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS. SPX +1% as Cyclicals rose on Congress Debt Limit Deal; NFP in focus &amp; implication for Fed June pause; Dollar General -20%..US consumer headwinds; Boeing scraps next-gen aircraft.
JAPAN. NKY Futs +0.8% Cash; Stronger Yen but expect strong equity open on US rally; Foreigners bought Equities for 9th week; Panasonic sees EV battery Sales at 2.5tril by 2030
NUGGET. The 2nd round of Off-shore wind auctions will conclude at the end of June. This will mark the (re) start of Japan's aggressive push for wind.


Ohayo Japan |RALLY PAUSE ?..Not; Debt Deal Spurs Tech Rebound; NUGGET: JP Off-Shore Wind-Set to BLOW

Japan

IHI Corporation manufactures heavy machinery. The Company produces aircraft jet engines, rocket propulsion systems, and ships for military and commercial use. Ishikawajima-Harima also constructs petroleum refineries and nuclear power plants.

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IHI Corp (7013 JP)

Ohayo Japan| US Consumer Confidence; China Resolve Fuels Stocks; NUGGET:IT Talent Issue - A Priority

Strong consumer confidence; Chinese govt resolve to support economy fuels stocks; NKY Futures -0.3% Discount to Cash; Earnings: Otsuka HD beats;...

Mark Chadwick

Ohayo Japan| SPX Gains Despite Weak Factory PMI; NUGGET: Japan's GX Promotion Law - Opportunity !

SPX gains ahead of 4th July holidays; NKY Futs -0.4% vs Cash; JPYUSD 144.7; Strong BOJ Tankan print drives NKY to new highs; JP land prices...

Mark Chadwick

Ohayo Japan| US Back to an Equity Sell Off; NUGGET: Nintendo(7974) - Set to Track Disney's Success ?

US Back - in the Red despite strong housing; NKY Futs -0.9% vs Cash; Blackrock's Fink say Japan benefitting from China Flight; Yamato HD exits mail...

Mark Chadwick

Toshiba (6502 JP): Risk/Reward as Board Unconvincingly Recommends JIP’s Offer

Peers have materially re-rated, the offer’s price ratio remains unattractive and the declining premium of the offer’s implied multiple vs peers’...

Arun George

Ohayo Japan |RALLY PAUSE ?..Not; Debt Deal Spurs Tech Rebound; NUGGET: JP Off-Shore Wind-Set to BLOW

Debt Deal drives SPX higher ahead of NFP. NKY Futs +0.8% Cash; Foreigners bought Equities for 9th week; Panasonic sees EV battery Sales at 2.5tril...

Mark Chadwick

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