Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Shanghai / Cover Story: The disrupted lifelines of the Shanghai outbreak</li><li>GDP / China’s first-quarter GDP growth beats expectations with 4.8% rise</li><li>Banking / China Merchants Bank president removed from his position</li></ul>

Shanghai / Cover Story: The disrupted lifelines of the Shanghai outbreakGDP / China’s first-quarter GDP growth beats expectations with 4.8% riseBanking / China Merchants Bank president removed from his position

CX Daily: The Disrupted Lifelines of the Shanghai Outbreak

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Financials sector allocations continue to move higher.  Average holding weights stand at 18.78%, the highest level since early 2020 and well up from the lows of 15.06% in Sep 2020</li>
<li>Indonesia, Singapore, India and Thailand were responsible for the moves higher, with China &amp; HK not participating in the upturn. </li>
<li>AIA Group Ltd is the most widely held stock.  China Merchants Bank and Bank Central Asia the key overweights. China Construction Bank and ICBC are largely avoided by Asian investors.</li>
</ul>


Financials sector allocations continue to move higher.  Average holding weights stand at 18.78%, the highest level since early 2020 and well up from the lows of 15.06% in Sep 2020
Indonesia, Singapore, India and Thailand were responsible for the moves higher, with China &amp; HK not participating in the upturn. 
AIA Group Ltd is the most widely held stock.  China Merchants Bank and Bank Central Asia the key overweights. China Construction Bank and ICBC are largely avoided by Asian investors.


Asia Ex-Japan:  Financials Recovery Leaves China Behind

<ul>
<li>China’s banks find themselves walking a tightrope amid the deepening economic warfare between Russia and the West.</li>
<li>Chinese institutions are technically able to continue engaging with sanctioned Russian entities under domestic law</li>
<li>Apart from the suspension of some ongoing dollar-denominated transactions, the sanctions have had limited impact on Chinese banks so far</li>
</ul>


China’s banks find themselves walking a tightrope amid the deepening economic warfare between Russia and the West.
Chinese institutions are technically able to continue engaging with sanctioned Russian entities under domestic law
Apart from the suspension of some ongoing dollar-denominated transactions, the sanctions have had limited impact on Chinese banks so far


Sanctions on Russia Sound Alarm for Chinese Banks

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The March rebalance of the HSI, HSCEI and HSTECH indices will use today's closing prices to cap the index constituents at 8%. This will lead to large flows.</li>
<li>The largest inflows will be on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group (9988 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com Inc. (9618 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan-dianping" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nongfu-spring" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28955:1" rel="noopener">Nongfu Spring (9633 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/li-auto-inc-3dbe6187-544f-40dd-b9f9-72fba9c0110e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33811:1" rel="noopener">Li Auto (2015 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lenovo-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13359:1" rel="noopener">Lenovo (992 HK)</a>. </li>
<li>The largest outflows will be on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hsbc-holdings-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:516:1" rel="noopener">HSBC Holdings (5 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-kuaishou-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29725:1" rel="noopener">Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-construction-bank-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45:1" rel="noopener">China Construction Bank H (939 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tongcheng-elong-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27363:1" rel="noopener">Tongcheng-Elong Holdings Ltd (780 HK)</a>.</li>
</ul>


The March rebalance of the HSI, HSCEI and HSTECH indices will use today's closing prices to cap the index constituents at 8%. This will lead to large flows.
The largest inflows will be on Alibaba Group (9988 HK), JD.com Inc. (9618 HK), Meituan (3690 HK), Nongfu Spring (9633 HK), Li Auto (2015 HK) and Lenovo (992 HK). 
The largest outflows will be on HSBC Holdings (5 HK), Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK), China Construction Bank H (939 HK) and Tongcheng-Elong Holdings Ltd (780 HK).


HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH: March Rebalance Flows Post Capping

Financials & FinTech research, Galliano’s Financials Research

Victor Galliano

Financials & FinTech research

Financials & FinTech, EM & Developed Markets

Galliano’s Financials Research

Galliano's Financials Research provides fundamental research in Emerging Markets financials, including FinTech, as well as financials in select Developed Markets.

The investment style applied is generally value oriented, although Growth At Reasonable Price (GARP) strategies can also be used where appropriate. 

Our investment research approach aim is often contrarian, looking to capitalise on overly sceptical or optimistic consensus views. In terms of valuation techniques, the focus is on PBV ratio to ROE, PE multiples and dividend yield, as well as the application of PEG ratios and, where appropriate, Sum of the Parts (SOTP) valuations.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The pilot launch of the e-CNY, China’s sovereign digital currency effectively competes with domestic mobile payment apps including Alipay, WeChat and Weixin Pay; the e-CNY registered 261m downloads in 2021</li>
<li>Seven domestic commercial banks are included as the e-CNY’s operators, all of which offer extensive branch networks and large bases of retail customers to accelerate the digital currency’s distribution</li>
<li>The e-CNY’s broader digital payments usage should erode Alipay, WeChat and Weixin Pay market shares; yet we believe that the competitive threat is seemingly well discounted in Alibaba share valuations</li>
</ul>


The pilot launch of the e-CNY, China’s sovereign digital currency effectively competes with domestic mobile payment apps including Alipay, WeChat and Weixin Pay; the e-CNY registered 261m downloads in 2021
Seven domestic commercial banks are included as the e-CNY’s operators, all of which offer extensive branch networks and large bases of retail customers to accelerate the digital currency’s distribution
The e-CNY’s broader digital payments usage should erode Alipay, WeChat and Weixin Pay market shares; yet we believe that the competitive threat is seemingly well discounted in Alibaba share valuations


China’s Central Bank Digital Currency; Is It a Major Threat to Non-Bank Digital Payment Providers?

China

Industrial and Commercial Bank of China Limited provides banking services. The Company offers deposits, loans, fund underwriting, foreign currency settlement, and other services. Industrial and Commercial Bank of China provides its services to individuals, enterprises, and other clients.

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ICBC (H) (1398 HK)

CX Daily: The Disrupted Lifelines of the Shanghai Outbreak

Cover Story: The disrupted lifelines of the Shanghai outbreak. China’s first-quarter GDP growth beats expectations with 4.8% rise

Caixin Global

Asia Ex-Japan: Financials Recovery Leaves China Behind

Financials exposure moves higher. Active weights hit their highest level since early 2020. Indonesia, Singapore and India Financials were the...

Steven Holden

Sanctions on Russia Sound Alarm for Chinese Banks

China’s banks find themselves walking a tightrope amid the deepening economic warfare between Russia and the West. Chinese institutions are...

Caixin Global

HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH: March Rebalance Flows Post Capping

The March rebalance of the Hang Seng family of indexes will use todays closing price to cap the stocks. The one-way trade across the HS, HSCEI and...

Brian Freitas

China’s Central Bank Digital Currency; Is It a Major Threat to Non-Bank Digital Payment Providers?

The digital yuan's growth in digital payments usage could erode Alipay and Tencent app market shares; yet we think the competitive threat is...

Victor Galliano

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