Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Leonard Law, CFA

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

In this month’s “In-Focus” section, we provide an update on recent events in Indonesia that we believe will have an impact on offshore investor confidence. Among these are negative developments at the governmental level regarding the policing of corruption. We also feature a case study on the recent bond default by Delta Merlin Dunia, which highlights the problems inherent in governance with Indonesian corporates, particularly private firms. We believe that at the regulatory and corporate level there is often a capricious approach to governance, which is encouraged by a benign judicial system. The Asia Monthly focuses on providing updates on recent events, information on new issues and spread movements, as well as summarising our top picks and discussing specific areas of interest in the “In-Focus” section. The Asia Monthly is intended to broaden investors' understanding of the Asian USD high-yield market.

  In this month’s “In-Focus” section, we provide an update on recent events in Indonesia that we believe will have an impact on offshore investor confidence. Among these are negative developments at the governmental level regarding the policing of corruption. We also feature a case study on the recent bond default by Delta Merlin Dunia, which highlights the problems inherent in governance with Indonesian corporates, particularly private firms. We believe that at the regulatory and corporate level there is often a capricious approach to governance, which is encouraged by a benign judicial system.   The Asia Monthly focuses on providing updates on recent events, information on new issues and spread movements, as well as summarising our top picks and discussing specific areas of interest in the “In-Focus” section. The Asia Monthly is intended to broaden investors' understanding of the Asian USD high-yield market. 

Asia HY Monthly - Corporate Governance And Corruption In Indonesia - Lucror Analytics

The Asia HY Trade Recommendations report for October includes a summary of our recommendations, as well as our high-conviction ideas. We also provide relative-value charts and lists of the bonds in the Lucror Asia HY index.

  The Asia HY Trade Recommendations report for October includes a summary of our recommendations, as well as our high-conviction ideas. We also provide relative-value charts and lists of the bonds in the Lucror Asia HY index. 

Asia HY Trade Recommendations - October 2019 - Lucror Analytics

Equity Research Analyst, Maritime sector, Drewry Maritime Financial Research

Ankush Kathuria CFA, FRM

Equity Research Analyst, Maritime sector

Maritime Sector, Equity & Credit Research

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

With no ties to other players in the shipping, finance or banking world, we provide a uniquely impartial view of the markets and companies we cover. Our parent organization, Drewry is a leading independent provider of research services to the maritime and shipping industry, employing over 100 professionals across an international network of offices in London, Delhi, Singapore and Shanghai. Combining our market-leading resources with seasoned sector expertise DFRS offers a highly differentiated and comprehensive range of investment and financial research services to lenders and prospective investors in publicly listed maritime and shipping companies. The full service of reports, supporting resources and sector orientated webinars provides our clients with the most complete picture of the organisations under coverage as is possible. We have been charting and analysing the world’s maritime markets for more than 40 years. This unrivalled intelligence and understanding provides the foundation of our research service. Our analysts have access to one of the most up-to-date, comprehensive and reliable sources of market insight and research data available today. We look at globally listed companies within the following sectors: Port Operators, Container Shipping, Container Manufacturing & Leasing, LNG Shipping, Dry Bulk Shipping and Tanker Shipping. Combine in-depth sector expertise with financial analysis focusing on over 50 stocks globally.

Equity Bottom-Up

ICTSI’s profitability eased off a record high as container volume growth affirmed the low-risk expansion strategy. Throughput growth has been resilient despite the raging US-China trade war; robust Philippines local economy will drive future growth. Meanwhile, revenue yield has been strong and we remain positive about the outlook as higher tariffs will continue to drive improvements in FY19, driven by strong throughput growth and tariff hikes at key terminals. Meanwhile, Asia-focused growth has delivered a strong bottom line and the company is now passing on the baton to the South Americas to take the lead as the next chapter in ICTSI’s growth story unfolds. Mexico expansion plan and the acquisition of Libra Rio are primed to position the company for long-term growth. ICTSI’s strong gateway terminal profile is expected to provide a shield to the slowdown which is marring the transhipment business. ICTSI’s stock surged over 40% since January 2019 as the company outperformed its anticipated growth and market has since priced in the company’s growth expectation. The stock currently trades 7.9x EV/EBITDA lower than its five-year average and below its peers’ average of 11.6x. Being an emerging market play, we rate the stock as Medium risk.

ICTSI’s profitability eased off a record high as container volume growth affirmed the low-risk expansion strategy. Throughput growth has been resilient despite the raging US-China trade war; robust Philippines local economy will drive future growth. Meanwhile, revenue yield has been strong and we remain positive about the outlook as higher tariffs will continue to drive improvements in FY19, driven by strong throughput growth and tariff hikes at key terminals. Meanwhile, Asia-focused growth has delivered a strong bottom line and the company is now passing on the baton to the South Americas to take the lead as the next chapter in ICTSI’s growth story unfolds. Mexico expansion plan and the acquisition of Libra Rio are primed to position the company for long-term growth. ICTSI’s strong gateway terminal profile is expected to provide a shield to the slowdown which is marring the transhipment business. ICTSI’s stock surged over 40% since January 2019 as the company outperformed its anticipated growth and market has since priced in the company’s growth expectation. The stock currently trades 7.9x EV/EBITDA lower than its five-year average and below its peers’ average of 11.6x. Being an emerging market play, we rate the stock as Medium risk.

ICTSI: South America Growth Push Done to a Turn

In this month’s In-Focus, we provide an update on the Macau gaming sector, including our market outlook, concession renewals and a peer comparison of the four companies under our coverage. The Asia Monthly focuses on providing updates on recent events, information on new issues and spread movements, as well as summarising our top picks, and discussing specific areas of interest in the “In-Focus” section. The Asia Monthly is intended to broaden investors' understanding of the Asian USD high-yield market.

   In this month’s In-Focus, we provide an update on the Macau gaming sector, including our market outlook, concession renewals and a peer comparison of the four companies under our coverage.    The Asia Monthly focuses on providing updates on recent events, information on new issues and spread movements, as well as summarising our top picks, and discussing specific areas of interest in the “In-Focus” section. The Asia Monthly is intended to broaden investors' understanding of the Asian USD high-yield market. 

Asia HY Monthly - Macau Gaming Update - Lucror Analytics

The Asia HY Trade Recommendations report for September includes a summary of our recommendations, as well as our high-conviction ideas. We also provide relative-value charts and lists of the bonds in the Lucror Asia HY index.

   The Asia HY Trade Recommendations report for September includes a summary of our recommendations, as well as our high-conviction ideas. We also provide relative-value charts and lists of the bonds in the Lucror Asia HY index. 

Asia HY Trade Recommendations - September 2019 - Lucror Analytics

Philippines

International Container Terminal Services, Inc. provides containerized cargo handling services. The Company also manages and operates the Manila International Container Terminal and port.

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ICTSI (ICT PM)

Asia HY Monthly - Corporate Governance And Corruption In Indonesia - Lucror Analytics

In this month’s “In-Focus” section, we provide an update on recent events in Indonesia that we believe will have an impact on offshore investor...

Lucror Analytics

Asia HY Trade Recommendations - October 2019 - Lucror Analytics

The Asia HY Trade Recommendations report for October includes a summary of our recommendations, as well as our high-conviction ideas. We also...

Lucror Analytics

ICTSI: South America Growth Push Done to a Turn

ICTSI’s profitability eased off a record high as container volume growth affirmed the low-risk expansion strategy. Throughput growth has been...

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

Asia HY Monthly - Macau Gaming Update - Lucror Analytics

In this month’s In-Focus, we provide an update on the Macau gaming sector, including our market outlook, concession renewals and a peer...

Lucror Analytics

Asia HY Trade Recommendations - September 2019 - Lucror Analytics

The Asia HY Trade Recommendations report for September includes a summary of our recommendations, as well as our high-conviction ideas. We also...

Lucror Analytics

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