Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There will be 16 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a> at the next rebalance to be implemented at the close on 11 December.</li>
<li>Making use of their discretionary powers, the index committee has not added <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wonik-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6485:1" rel="noopener">Wonik Holdings Co., Ltd (030530 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samhyun-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40872:1" rel="noopener">Samhyun (437730 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fadu-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39896:1" rel="noopener">Fadu (440110 KS)</a> to the index.</li>
<li>The adds have outperformed the deletes and the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index</a> over the last 6 months and there has been a short-term move higher too. Watch out for short covering.</li>
</ul>


There will be 16 changes for the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX) at the next rebalance to be implemented at the close on 11 December.
Making use of their discretionary powers, the index committee has not added Wonik Holdings Co., Ltd (030530 KS), Samhyun (437730 KS) and Fadu (440110 KS) to the index.
The adds have outperformed the deletes and the KOSDAQ 150 Index over the last 6 months and there has been a short-term move higher too. Watch out for short covering.


KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance: 16 Changes a Side; Fadu a Casualty Yet Again

<ul>
<li>With the review period for the December rebalance complete, we highlight 17 potential changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a>. </li>
<li>The estimated impact on the potential inclusions ranges from 0.1-3.2 days of ADV while the impact on the potential deletions varies from 0.7-11.2 days of ADV.</li>
<li>The forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes over the last 6 months with a big move higher in the last couple of months. Trim positions into strength.</li>
</ul>


With the review period for the December rebalance complete, we highlight 17 potential changes for the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX). 
The estimated impact on the potential inclusions ranges from 0.1-3.2 days of ADV while the impact on the potential deletions varies from 0.7-11.2 days of ADV.
The forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes over the last 6 months with a big move higher in the last couple of months. Trim positions into strength.


KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: Large Number of Changes Likely in December; Huge Outperformance

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Aug 30th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD5.1bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Samsung Electronics, Hlb, Yuhan.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Aug 30th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD5.1bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Samsung Electronics, Hlb, Yuhan.


KRX Short Interest Weekly (Aug 30th): Samsung Electronics, Hlb, Yuhan

Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

<ul>
<li>KRX announced KOSDAQ Global rebalancing. Annually in June, effective date follows June options expiry. Passive flow trading on Thursday, the 13th. 49 companies designated, with nine excluded and eleven added.</li>
<li>Predicting passive capital movement is challenging, but attention must be given to price impacts because reshuffle predictability is low, lacking preemptive trading setups.</li>
<li>We must anticipate the SSF reshuffle in August, likely including new KOSDAQ Global constituents. KRX plans to list SSFs for all remaining constituents, potentially advancing setup timing for price increases.</li>
</ul>


KRX announced KOSDAQ Global rebalancing. Annually in June, effective date follows June options expiry. Passive flow trading on Thursday, the 13th. 49 companies designated, with nine excluded and eleven added.
Predicting passive capital movement is challenging, but attention must be given to price impacts because reshuffle predictability is low, lacking preemptive trading setups.
We must anticipate the SSF reshuffle in August, likely including new KOSDAQ Global constituents. KRX plans to list SSFs for all remaining constituents, potentially advancing setup timing for price increases.


KOSDAQ Global Rebalancing This Week: Trading Considerations

Event-Driven

Daejoo Electronic Materials / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The possibility of experiencing a CFD margin call is a genuine and persistent concern. Even a small trigger causes selling pressure to intensify and results in a rapid downward trend.</li>
<li>The counter that the local market is closely monitoring is JPM. The selling pressure from the JPM counter since May 8th has exhibited an abnormal pattern. </li>
<li>Eight names are screened. They are KOSPI 200/KOSDAQ 150 constituents with JPM's net selling volume to SO being 0.2% or higher, and a margin-equity ratio of 3% or higher.</li>
</ul>


The possibility of experiencing a CFD margin call is a genuine and persistent concern. Even a small trigger causes selling pressure to intensify and results in a rapid downward trend.
The counter that the local market is closely monitoring is JPM. The selling pressure from the JPM counter since May 8th has exhibited an abnormal pattern. 
Eight names are screened. They are KOSPI 200/KOSDAQ 150 constituents with JPM's net selling volume to SO being 0.2% or higher, and a margin-equity ratio of 3% or higher.


The Core of CFD Margin Call Risk May Lie in the JPM Counter, Not SG: Potentially Infected Names

South Korea

INTOPS Co., Ltd. manufactures telecommunication equipment, plastic injection and mold, and computer peripherals.  The Company's products include assembly parts for cellular phones, printers, cordless and caller ID telephones, and various plastic parts.

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Intops Co Ltd (049070 KS)

KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance: 16 Changes a Side; Fadu a Casualty Yet Again

There are 16 changes a side for the KOSDAQ150 in Dec. The index committee has decided not to add Fadu for yet another review. Short interest is...

Brian Freitas

KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: Large Number of Changes Likely in December; Huge Outperformance

There could be 17 changes for the KOSDAQ150 Index in Dec. Use of discretion could lead to fewer changes. The forecast adds have hugely outperformed...

Brian Freitas

KRX Short Interest Weekly (Aug 30th): Samsung Electronics, Hlb, Yuhan

We analyzed KRX short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Samsung Electronics, Hlb, Yuhan.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

KOSDAQ Global Rebalancing This Week: Trading Considerations

This post outlines today's announcement of the KOSDAQ Global Index rebalancing results and explores trading implications.

Sanghyun Park

The Core of CFD Margin Call Risk May Lie in the JPM Counter, Not SG: Potentially Infected Names

This core of CFD margin call risk may lie in the JPM counter, not SG. This post presents eight names that are targetable for short-selling.

Sanghyun Park

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