IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ioof-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" rel="noopener">IOOF Holdings (IFL AU)</a> shares rose 11% in the final minutes of trade, fueled by media reports suggesting that Bain was in the advanced stages of making a buyout offer.</li>
<li>The presence of several substantial shareholders necessitates an attractive takeover premium. Takeover interest is unsurprising as Insignia trades at a material discount to peers.</li>
<li>We use several methods to triangulate the likely offer, which suggests a price range of A$3.44-5.50 per share, with an average of A$4.67, a 37.4% premium to the last close.</li>
</ul>



IOOF Holdings (IFL AU) shares rose 11% in the final minutes of trade, fueled by media reports suggesting that Bain was in the advanced stages of making a buyout offer.
The presence of several substantial shareholders necessitates an attractive takeover premium. Takeover interest is unsurprising as Insignia trades at a material discount to peers.
We use several methods to triangulate the likely offer, which suggests a price range of A$3.44-5.50 per share, with an average of A$4.67, a 37.4% premium to the last close.


Insignia Financial (IFL AU): Bain Contemplating a Privatisation Bid

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Nov 1st (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD24.5bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Aristocrat Leisure, Woolworths, Brambles, Xero.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Nov 1st (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD24.5bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Aristocrat Leisure, Woolworths, Brambles, Xero.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Nov 1st): Aristocrat Leisure, Woolworths, Brambles, Xero

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Oct 25th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD24.6bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Coles, Viva Energy, Nick Scali, Guzman Y Gomez, Mineral Resources, BHP, Goodman, Wisetech Global.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Oct 25th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD24.6bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Coles, Viva Energy, Nick Scali, Guzman Y Gomez, Mineral Resources, BHP, Goodman, Wisetech Global.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Oct 25th): Coles, Viva Energy, Nick Scali, Guzman Y Gomez

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/platinum-asset-management" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:914:1" rel="noopener">Platinum Asset Management (PTM AU)</a> confirmed it received a non-binding indicative proposal from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/regal-partners-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29119:1" rel="noopener">Regal Partners (RPL AU)</a> at 0.274 RPL shares per PTM share + special dividend of A$0.24.</li>
<li>The implied offer price of A$1.14 per share based on Regal’s undisturbed price of A$3.30 per share is a 15.6% premium to the undisturbed price of A$0.99 (16 September).</li>
<li>Despite the modest takeover premium, the offer is attractive compared to historical and peer multiples. Expect the Board to engage to facilitate an improved binding proposal.</li>
</ul>



Platinum Asset Management (PTM AU) confirmed it received a non-binding indicative proposal from Regal Partners (RPL AU) at 0.274 RPL shares per PTM share + special dividend of A$0.24.
The implied offer price of A$1.14 per share based on Regal’s undisturbed price of A$3.30 per share is a 15.6% premium to the undisturbed price of A$0.99 (16 September).
Despite the modest takeover premium, the offer is attractive compared to historical and peer multiples. Expect the Board to engage to facilitate an improved binding proposal.


Platinum Investment Mgmt (PTM AU): Regal Partners’ Indicative Offer

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Aug 2nd (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD20.4bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Westgold Resourc, Seek, Paladin Energy, Fortescue, ANZ, Altium.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Aug 2nd (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD20.4bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Westgold Resourc, Seek, Paladin Energy, Fortescue, ANZ, Altium.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Aug 2nd): Westgold Resourc, Seek, Paladin Energy, Fortescue, ANZ, Altium

Australia

Insignia Financial Ltd operates as a financial services company. The Company provides clients with a range of products and services including financial advisory, investment management, real estate, and trustee services. Insignia Financial serves customers worldwide.

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Insignia Financial (IFL AU)