Global Editor, Base Oil News

Iain Pocock

Global Editor

Global Base Oils and Lubricants Markets

Base Oil News

Base Oil News focuses on the interplay between fundamentals and prices in the global base oils and lubricants markets.

Baseoilnews.com combines daily, weekly and monthly base oils and lubes fundamentals data from every region of the world to build the most comprehensive and up-to-date global picture of the state of the market.

The data and analysis provide key tools to understand current market developments and opportunities and to anticipate how the market is likely to behave in the coming months.

Base oils producers, lube blenders and consumers can then better plan accordingly.

Baseoilnews.com analyses and publishes market news and data every day as it breaks.

Commodities

<ul><li>US Group II base oils price-premium to vacuum gasoil trends higher in recent weeks compared with Q1 2025, even with dip in premium in mid-May.</li><li>Group II domestic/export price premium trends higher after holding in relatively narrow range from mid-Nov 2024 to end-Q1 2025.</li><li>Narrow range contrasts with steeper fall in Group II export price-premium to VGO in Q4 2023 and Q1 2024, followed by sharper recovery from end-Q1 2024.</li></ul>

US Group II base oils price-premium to vacuum gasoil trends higher in recent weeks compared with Q1 2025, even with dip in premium in mid-May.Group II domestic/export price premium trends higher after holding in relatively narrow range from mid-Nov 2024 to end-Q1 2025.Narrow range contrasts with steeper fall in Group II export price-premium to VGO in Q4 2023 and Q1 2024, followed by sharper recovery from end-Q1 2024.

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 19 May

<ul><li>Asia’s heavy-grade base oils prices hold firm versus feedstock/gasoil prices.</li><li>Asia’s Group II light-grade prices slip vs feedstock/gasoil prices faster than heavy grades and faster than Group I light grades.</li><li>Supply-demand fundamentals likely to improve for light and heavy grades in coming weeks as plant maintenance draws to a close and demand slows.</li></ul>

Asia’s heavy-grade base oils prices hold firm versus feedstock/gasoil prices.Asia’s Group II light-grade prices slip vs feedstock/gasoil prices faster than heavy grades and faster than Group I light grades.Supply-demand fundamentals likely to improve for light and heavy grades in coming weeks as plant maintenance draws to a close and demand slows.

Asia base oils supply outlook: Week of 19 May

<ul><li>Asia’s base oils demand could see earlier-than-usual seasonal slowdown in face of weak lube consumption and improving supply.</li><li>Asia’s lube demand falls at end-Q1 2025 from year-earlier levels.</li><li>Demand weakness shows signs of extending into Q2 2025 as uncertainty about US tariffs compounds signs of slowing economic growth.</li></ul>

Asia’s base oils demand could see earlier-than-usual seasonal slowdown in face of weak lube consumption and improving supply.Asia’s lube demand falls at end-Q1 2025 from year-earlier levels.Demand weakness shows signs of extending into Q2 2025 as uncertainty about US tariffs compounds signs of slowing economic growth.

Asia base oils demand outlook: Week of 19 May

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of Stock Exchange of Thailand as of May 16th. We estimate that they had an aggregated short interest worth USD2.1bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Tmbthanachart Bank, Scc, Advanced Info Service, CP ALL, Scb X.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of Stock Exchange of Thailand as of May 16th. We estimate that they had an aggregated short interest worth USD2.1bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Tmbthanachart Bank, Scc, Advanced Info Service, CP ALL, Scb X.


Thailand Short Interest Weekly (May 16th): Tmbthanachart Bank, Scc, Advanced Info Service, CP ALL

<ul><li>Global base oils prices mostly extend rise vs feedstock/competing fuel prices.</li><li>Sustained price-strength for most grades points to tight supply-demand fundamentals.</li><li>Price-strength incentivizes refiners to maintain or raise output.</li></ul>

Global base oils prices mostly extend rise vs feedstock/competing fuel prices.Sustained price-strength for most grades points to tight supply-demand fundamentals.Price-strength incentivizes refiners to maintain or raise output.

Global base oils margins outlook: Week of 12 May

Thailand

IRPC PCL produces a variety of petrochemical products including polypropylene, high density polyethylene and expandable polystyrene primarily used in packaging materials. Through its subsidiaries, the Company produces and distributes gasoline, liquefied petroleumgas (LPG), asphalt, as well as electricity and construction materials.

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IRPC PCL (IRPC TB)

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 19 May

US Group II base oils price-premium to vacuum gasoil trends higher in recent weeks compared with Q1 2025, even with dip in premium in...

Base Oil News

Asia base oils supply outlook: Week of 19 May

Asia’s heavy-grade base oils prices hold firm versus feedstock/gasoil prices. Asia’s Group II light-grade prices slip vs feedstock/gasoil prices...

Base Oil News

Asia base oils demand outlook: Week of 19 May

Asia’s base oils demand could see earlier-than-usual seasonal slowdown in face of weak lube consumption and improving supply. Asia’s lube demand...

Base Oil News

Thailand Short Interest Weekly (May 16th): Tmbthanachart Bank, Scc, Advanced Info Service, CP ALL

We analyzed SET short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Tmbthanachart Bank, Scc, Advanced Info Service,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Global base oils margins outlook: Week of 12 May

Global base oils prices mostly extend rise vs feedstock/competing fuel prices. Sustained price-strength for most grades points to tight...

Base Oil News

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