Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Event-Driven

The KRX announced the KOSDAQ 150 rebalancing results (biannually).The effective date is December 12, Friday.I put the full list of additions and deletions with volatility, price upside, and liquidity for each stock in the DETAIL section.

The KRX announced the KOSDAQ 150 rebalancing results (biannually).The effective date is December 12, Friday.I put the full list of additions and deletions with volatility, price upside, and liquidity for each stock in the DETAIL section.

KOSDAQ 150 Rebalancing Results: List, Volatility, Upside, & Liquidity

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Cross Asset Strategy

The Korea Exchange announced its KOSDAQ150 and KRX300 indices rebalances today. There were 17 new additions and 17 deletions for KOSDAQ150. Most of the stocks that were expected to be included in KOSDAQ 150 were officially included in the rebalance. However there were a few surprises. For example <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nanos-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16796:1" rel="noopener">Nanos Co Ltd (151910 KS),</a>which was one of the stocks that was expected to be included in KOSDAQ150, did not get included in this indext this time. On the other hand, the following stocks including <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sang-a-frontec-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20692:1" rel="noopener">Sang A Frontec (089980 KS)</a>, Novarex (194700 KS(, CIS (222080 KS), MedPacto (215980 KS), <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/koreacenter-com-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28329:1" rel="noopener">Koreacenter.com Co Ltd (290510 KS)</a>, and Soulbrain (357780 KS) which were not on the top of the lists of getting selected into the KOSDAQ150 index by the locals, were formally selected be part of the new KOSDAQ150 inclusions.  The Korea Exchange also made changes to the KRX300 index. Although the KRX300 index is not currently as important as KOSPI200 and KOSDAQ150 indices, it is increasingly gaining in importance among the local institutional investors. The KRX300 had 33 new additions and 35 deletions.

The Korea Exchange announced its KOSDAQ150 and KRX300 indices rebalances today. There were 17 new additions and 17 deletions for KOSDAQ150. Most of the stocks that were expected to be included in KOSDAQ 150 were officially included in the rebalance. However there were a few surprises. For example Nanos Co Ltd (151910 KS),which was one of the stocks that was expected to be included in KOSDAQ150, did not get included in this indext this time. On the other hand, the following stocks including Sang A Frontec (089980 KS), Novarex (194700 KS(, CIS (222080 KS), MedPacto (215980 KS), Koreacenter.com Co Ltd (290510 KS), and Soulbrain (357780 KS) which were not on the top of the lists of getting selected into the KOSDAQ150 index by the locals, were formally selected be part of the new KOSDAQ150 inclusions.  The Korea Exchange also made changes to the KRX300 index. Although the KRX300 index is not currently as important as KOSPI200 and KOSDAQ150 indices, it is increasingly gaining in importance among the local institutional investors. The KRX300 had 33 new additions and 35 deletions. 

KOSDAQ150 and KRX300 Indices Rebalances (Overlapping Additions & Deletions)

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Index Rebalance

The KRX has announced the list of inclusions and exclusions to the KOSDAQ150 Index today. The rebalance is effective after the close of trading on 10 December.There are 17 inclusions and 17 exclusions in the December 2020 review with an estimated one-way turnover of 7.71%.The inclusions and exclusions are:<table class="table table-striped">
<colgroup><col span="4"></colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td colspan="2" style="text-align: center; width: 96pt;"><h3>Additions</h3></td>
<td colspan="2" style="text-align: center; width: 96pt;"><h3>Deletions</h3></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="text-align: center;">Code</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Name</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Code</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Name</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>034950.KQ</td>
<td>Korea Ratings Corp</td>
<td>014620.KQ</td>
<td>Sung Kwang Bend Co Ltd</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>078600.KQ</td>
<td>Daejoo Electronic Materials Co Ltd</td>
<td>015750.KQ</td>
<td>Sungwoo Hitech Co Ltd</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>089980.KQ</td>
<td>Sang-A Frontec Co Ltd</td>
<td>023160.KQ</td>
<td>TK Corp</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>092190.KQ</td>
<td>Seoul Viosys Co Ltd</td>
<td>039840.KQ</td>
<td>Dio Corp</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>100130.KQ</td>
<td>Dongkuk Structures &amp; Construction Co Ltd</td>
<td>041190.KQ</td>
<td>Woori Technology Investment Co Ltd</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>101490.KQ</td>
<td>S&amp;S Tech Corp</td>
<td>041830.KQ</td>
<td>InBody Co Ltd</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>131370.KQ</td>
<td>Rsupport Co Ltd</td>
<td>043150.KQ</td>
<td>Value Added Technology Co Ltd</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>137400.KQ</td>
<td>People &amp; Technology Inc</td>
<td>047310.KQ</td>
<td>Power Logics</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>194700.KQ</td>
<td>Novarex Co Ltd</td>
<td>049950.KQ</td>
<td>MeereCompany Inc</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>204270.KQ</td>
<td>JNTC Co Ltd</td>
<td>051500.KQ</td>
<td>CJ Freshway Corp</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>222080.KQ</td>
<td>Creative &amp; Innovative System Corp</td>
<td>063570.KQ</td>
<td>Nice Total Cash Management Co Ltd</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>235980.KQ</td>
<td>MedPacto Inc</td>
<td>080160.KQ</td>
<td>Modetour Network Inc</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>290510.KQ</td>
<td>KoreaCenter Co Ltd</td>
<td>084110.KQ</td>
<td>Huons Global Co Ltd</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>290650.KQ</td>
<td>L&amp;C Bio Co Ltd</td>
<td>089600.KQ</td>
<td>Nasmedia Co Ltd</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>293490.KQ</td>
<td>Kakao Games Corp</td>
<td>115960.KQ</td>
<td>Yonwoo Co Ltd</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>294140.KQ</td>
<td>Lemon Co Ltd</td>
<td>228760.KQ</td>
<td>Genomictree Inc</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>357780.KQ</td>
<td>SoulBrain Co Ltd</td>
<td>282880.KQ</td>
<td>CowinTech Co Ltd</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>There are 11 trading days to implementation. There are 2 additions that have more than 3 days of ADV to trade while there are 9 deletions that have more than 3 days of ADV to trade. Things could get interesting over the next couple of weeks.

The KRX has announced the list of inclusions and exclusions to the KOSDAQ150 Index today. The rebalance is effective after the close of trading on 10 December.There are 17 inclusions and 17 exclusions in the December 2020 review with an estimated one-way turnover of 7.71%.The inclusions and exclusions are:



Additions
Deletions


Code
Name
Code
Name


034950.KQ
Korea Ratings Corp
014620.KQ
Sung Kwang Bend Co Ltd


078600.KQ
Daejoo Electronic Materials Co Ltd
015750.KQ
Sungwoo Hitech Co Ltd


089980.KQ
Sang-A Frontec Co Ltd
023160.KQ
TK Corp


092190.KQ
Seoul Viosys Co Ltd
039840.KQ
Dio Corp


100130.KQ
Dongkuk Structures &amp; Construction Co Ltd
041190.KQ
Woori Technology Investment Co Ltd


101490.KQ
S&amp;S Tech Corp
041830.KQ
InBody Co Ltd


131370.KQ
Rsupport Co Ltd
043150.KQ
Value Added Technology Co Ltd


137400.KQ
People &amp; Technology Inc
047310.KQ
Power Logics


194700.KQ
Novarex Co Ltd
049950.KQ
MeereCompany Inc


204270.KQ
JNTC Co Ltd
051500.KQ
CJ Freshway Corp


222080.KQ
Creative &amp; Innovative System Corp
063570.KQ
Nice Total Cash Management Co Ltd


235980.KQ
MedPacto Inc
080160.KQ
Modetour Network Inc


290510.KQ
KoreaCenter Co Ltd
084110.KQ
Huons Global Co Ltd


290650.KQ
L&amp;C Bio Co Ltd
089600.KQ
Nasmedia Co Ltd


293490.KQ
Kakao Games Corp
115960.KQ
Yonwoo Co Ltd


294140.KQ
Lemon Co Ltd
228760.KQ
Genomictree Inc


357780.KQ
SoulBrain Co Ltd
282880.KQ
CowinTech Co Ltd


There are 11 trading days to implementation. There are 2 additions that have more than 3 days of ADV to trade while there are 9 deletions that have more than 3 days of ADV to trade. Things could get interesting over the next couple of weeks.

KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance: Lots of Changes, Big Turnover, High Impact

Equity Bottom-Up

We believe now is the time to go Underweight on Kakao Corp, which has been one of the best-performing stocks in KOSPI this year.There are two major reasons why we believe investors should Underweight Kakao Corp now. First, our SoTP valuation analysis suggests Kakao Corp shares are overvalued. Second, the fact that there are now two credible vaccines against COVID-19 including those developed by Moderna and Pfizer which suggests that COVID-19 could become more manageable and less deadly around the world in 2021. One of the key reasons why Kakao Corp's shares soared this year has been due to the continued concerns about COVID-19 and the company's strengths in digital, "non-contact" business areas including online games, fintech, and other digital services. COVID-19 has actually accelerated the numerous businesses of Kakao Corp and its affiliates and pushed up its share price this year. Our base case valuation of Kakao Corp suggests an implied value of 296,066 won per share, representing an 18.2% downside risk from current levels. The SoTP valuation is broken down into the company's investments in a) public companies, b) private companies, c) Kakao Corp's core business, d) net cash and e) holdco discount.

We believe now is the time to go Underweight on Kakao Corp, which has been one of the best-performing stocks in KOSPI this year.There are two major reasons why we believe investors should Underweight Kakao Corp now. First, our SoTP valuation analysis suggests Kakao Corp shares are overvalued. Second, the fact that there are now two credible vaccines against COVID-19 including those developed by Moderna and Pfizer which suggests that COVID-19 could become more manageable and less deadly around the world in 2021. One of the key reasons why Kakao Corp's shares soared this year has been due to the continued concerns about COVID-19 and the company's strengths in digital, "non-contact" business areas including online games, fintech, and other digital services. COVID-19 has actually accelerated the numerous businesses of Kakao Corp and its affiliates and pushed up its share price this year. Our base case valuation of Kakao Corp suggests an implied value of 296,066 won per share, representing an 18.2% downside risk from current levels. The SoTP valuation is broken down into the company's investments in a) public companies, b) private companies, c) Kakao Corp's core business, d) net cash and e) holdco discount. 

Kakao Corp SoTP Valuation - Time To Go Underweight

In our view, on Monday (16 November) when Big Hit Entertainment's one-month locked-up period ended shares could be sold, we think that its share price could decline by about 5-10%+.Warner Music Group's EV/EBITDA is 22x, which is nearly 37% lower than Bit Hit's current EV/EBITDA multiple. We do not believe is much higher EV/EBITDA multiple premium for Big Hit Entertainment is appropriate versus Warner Music Group. Given the continued concerns about the selling by the institutional investors (who want to lock in their gains after the lock-up period ends), Kakao Games' share price could face continued weakness leading up to the end of the 3-months lock-up period.

In our view, on Monday (16 November) when Big Hit Entertainment's one-month locked-up period ended shares could be sold, we think that its share price could decline by about 5-10%+.Warner Music Group's EV/EBITDA is 22x, which is nearly 37% lower than Bit Hit's current EV/EBITDA multiple. We do not believe is much higher EV/EBITDA multiple premium for Big Hit Entertainment is appropriate versus Warner Music Group. Given the continued concerns about the selling by the institutional investors (who want to lock in their gains after the lock-up period ends), Kakao Games' share price could face continued weakness leading up to the end of the 3-months lock-up period. 

End of the Lock-Up Periods for Big Hit Entertainment & Kakao Games

South Korea

Kakao Games Corp. operates as a multiply platform gaming company. The Company provides mobile games, computer games, virtual reality games, and other related products. Kakao Games markets its products worldwide.

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Kakao Games (293490 KS)

KOSDAQ 150 Rebalancing Results: List, Volatility, Upside, & Liquidity

The KRX announced the KOSDAQ 150 rebalancing results. This post has the full list of additions and deletions with volatility, price upside, and...

Sanghyun Park

KOSDAQ150 and KRX300 Indices Rebalances (Overlapping Additions & Deletions)

We highlight the KOSDAQ150 and KRX300 indices rebalances. There are some interesting new names, especially among those that are over lapping in...

Douglas Kim

KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance: Lots of Changes, Big Turnover, High Impact

There are 17 changes to the KOSDAQ150 index and the turnover is estimated at 7.71%. There are a lot of stocks that have over 3 days of ADV to trade...

Brian Freitas

Kakao Corp SoTP Valuation - Time To Go Underweight

We believe now is the time to go Underweight on Kakao Corp. Our base case valuation suggests an implied value of 296,066 won per share,...

Douglas Kim

End of the Lock-Up Periods for Big Hit Entertainment & Kakao Games

In our view, on Monday (16 November) when Big Hit Entertainment's one-month locked-up period ended shares could be sold, we think that its share...

Douglas Kim

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