Financials & FinTech research, Galliano’s Financials Research

Victor Galliano

Financials & FinTech research

Financials & FinTech, EM & Developed Markets

Galliano’s Financials Research

Galliano's Financials Research provides fundamental research in Emerging Markets financials, including FinTech, as well as financials in select Developed Markets.

The investment style applied is generally value oriented, although Growth At Reasonable Price (GARP) strategies can also be used where appropriate. 

Our investment research approach aim is often contrarian, looking to capitalise on overly sceptical or optimistic consensus views. In terms of valuation techniques, the focus is on PBV ratio to ROE, PE multiples and dividend yield, as well as the application of PEG ratios and, where appropriate, Sum of the Parts (SOTP) valuations.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Our negative recommendations from December – especially Paytm – worked better than our positive ones, given 1Q22 market conditions; we see much value in payment companies but we remain selective</li>
<li>Based on our screens, we continue to favour Mastercard in the megacaps, we stick with PagSeguro and Getnet, adding Nexi which looks very oversold, despite its fundamental headwinds</li>
<li>We take Paytm off the sell list, but we remain negative on DLocal on its very demanding valuations, and we add Kakao Pay to the negative list</li>
</ul>


Our negative recommendations from December – especially Paytm – worked better than our positive ones, given 1Q22 market conditions; we see much value in payment companies but we remain selective
Based on our screens, we continue to favour Mastercard in the megacaps, we stick with PagSeguro and Getnet, adding Nexi which looks very oversold, despite its fundamental headwinds
We take Paytm off the sell list, but we remain negative on DLocal on its very demanding valuations, and we add Kakao Pay to the negative list


Payment Companies – Thoughts on Screen Snapshots 1Q22

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Navi Technologies (NT) aims to raise around US$500m in its India listing. NT was started by Sachin Bansal, co-founder of Flipkart which was sold to Walmart in 2018.</li>
<li>NT is a technology-driven financial products and services company. The company was only incorporated in 2018, it offers personal loans, home loans, general insurance and mutual funds. </li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>


Navi Technologies (NT) aims to raise around US$500m in its India listing. NT was started by Sachin Bansal, co-founder of Flipkart which was sold to Walmart in 2018.
NT is a technology-driven financial products and services company. The company was only incorporated in 2018, it offers personal loans, home loans, general insurance and mutual funds. 
In this note, we will talk about the positive aspects of the deal.


Navi Technologies Pre-IPO - The Positives - Sold the First for US$20bn, Now Building One Without VCs

<ul>
<li>Kookmin Bank Trust Department is looking to raise up to US$321m via selling 3.9% of Samsung SDS.</li>
<li>The deal appears to be very well flagged as the ultimate sellers are the Samsung family.</li>
<li>In this note, we will run the deal through our ECM framework and talk about the recent updates.</li>
</ul>


Kookmin Bank Trust Department is looking to raise up to US$321m via selling 3.9% of Samsung SDS.
The deal appears to be very well flagged as the ultimate sellers are the Samsung family.
In this note, we will run the deal through our ECM framework and talk about the recent updates.


Samsung SDS Placement - Deal Is Very Well Flagged and the Stock Is Cheap, but It's a Tough One

<ul>
<li>Temasek aims to raise around US$450m+ via selling 1.7% of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/celltrion-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:991:1" rel="noopener">Celltrion Inc (068270 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/celltrion-healthcare" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23641:1" rel="noopener">Celltrion Healthcare (091990 KS)</a> each.</li>
<li>We have looked at its two previous sell downs in 2018 and 2020.</li>
<li>In this note, we will run the deal through our ECM framework and talk about the recent updates.</li>
</ul>


Temasek aims to raise around US$450m+ via selling 1.7% of Celltrion Inc (068270 KS) and Celltrion Healthcare (091990 KS) each.
We have looked at its two previous sell downs in 2018 and 2020.
In this note, we will run the deal through our ECM framework and talk about the recent updates.


Celltrion and Celltrion Health Placement - Past Deals Have Been Mixed

Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>KOSPI 200 IT sector index rebalances twice a year in June and December. The effective date for the upcoming rebalancing is June 10.</li>
<li>The IT sector has a high degree of price cointegration of the stocks within the sector. Therefore, the impact/price correlation is robust despite a smaller impact size.</li>
<li>At this point, the following three stocks deserve our attention: Samsung SDI, Kakao Pay, and LG Corp. We can expect a passive inflow of +0.15x for these highly liquid names.</li>
</ul>


KOSPI 200 IT sector index rebalances twice a year in June and December. The effective date for the upcoming rebalancing is June 10.
The IT sector has a high degree of price cointegration of the stocks within the sector. Therefore, the impact/price correlation is robust despite a smaller impact size.
At this point, the following three stocks deserve our attention: Samsung SDI, Kakao Pay, and LG Corp. We can expect a passive inflow of +0.15x for these highly liquid names.


KOSPI 200 IT (TIGER ETF) Rebalancing Preview

South Korea

Kakao Pay Corp. operates financial businesses. The Company provides online payment, currency encryption, and other services. Kakao Pay conducts businesses in South Korea.

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Kakaopay (377300 KS)

Payment Companies – Thoughts on Screen Snapshots 1Q22

We favour Mastercard, PagSeguro and Getnet, adding Nexi which looks very oversold; we take Paytm off the sell list, but stay negative on DLocal due...

Victor Galliano

Navi Technologies Pre-IPO - The Positives - Sold the First for US$20bn, Now Building One Without VCs

Navi Technologies (NT) aims to raise around US$500m in its India listing. NT was started by Sachin Bansal, co-founder of Flipkart which was sold to...

Sumeet Singh

Samsung SDS Placement - Deal Is Very Well Flagged and the Stock Is Cheap, but It's a Tough One

Kookmin Bank Trust Department is looking to raise up to US$321m via selling 3.9% of Samsung SDS. The deal appears to be very well flagged.

Sumeet Singh

Celltrion and Celltrion Health Placement - Past Deals Have Been Mixed

Temasek aims to raise around US$450m+ via selling 1.7% of Celltrion Inc (068270 KS) and Celltrion Healthcare (091990 KS) each.

Sumeet Singh

KOSPI 200 IT (TIGER ETF) Rebalancing Preview

This post previews the upcoming rebalancing of the KOSPI 200 IT Sector Index (TIGER ETF), whose effective date is June 10.

Sanghyun Park

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