Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kalbe-farma-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6303:1" rel="noopener">Kalbe Farma (KLBF IJ)</a> revealed an indicative set of 2022 numbers, which fell slightly short of estimates due to product mix changes and inflationary pressure from higher input costs.</li>
<li>Management guidance for 2023 looks more positive and implies stable margins in the coming year, with strong momentum across prescription drugs, consumer health, nutritionals, and logistics and less inflationary pressure.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kalbe-farma-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6303:1" rel="noopener">Kalbe Farma</a> looks interesting with more positive expectations for earnings growth in 2023, coupled with valuations below its 5-year average forward PER.</li>
</ul>

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kalbe-farma-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6303:1" rel="noopener">Kalbe Farma (KLBF IJ)</a> remains an interesting proxy for the deepening penetration of healthcare and greater health consciousness in Indonesia through its prescription drugs, consumer health and nutritional products.</li>
<li>The company continues to expand its scope if pharmaceutical products into areas such as oncology and biosimilar drugs, as well as growing its exposure BPJS with carefully selected unbranded generics. </li>
<li>Its distribution and logistics business continues to be a growth driver, it onboards new third-party principals. Valuations below 5-year historical average on a PER basis despite higher projected growth ahead. </li>
</ul>

<section class="figure"><section class="figure"><div class="content-highlight"><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kalbe-farma-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6303:1" rel="noopener">Kalbe Farma (KLBF IJ)</a> is South-East Asia's largest pharmaceutical company, with the majority of its sales in Indonesia. The company booked a respectable and resilient set of 1H2021 results with sales rising supported by organic volume growth. After the recent correction , we see this as a key process to rising levels of health-conscious in Indonesia.</p></div></section><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kalbe-farma-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6303:1" rel="noopener">Kalbe Farma (KLBF IJ)</a> saw a solid performance from its prescription pharmaceuticals division, with sales growth of +5.4% YoY in 1H2021.</p>
<p>The company's nutritionals division saw a slight drop of -0.5% in sales in 1H2021, mainly due to a change in products mix towards slightly more affordable products , which bodes well for future growth and its ESG credentials.</p>
<p>As a core part of the company's ESG initiative, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kalbe-farma-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6303:1" rel="noopener">Kalbe Farma (KLBF IJ)</a> is proactively extending access to healthcare through a number of different strategies.</p></section><section class="figure"></section><section class="figure"></section><section class="figure"><section class="figure"><p>The company expects continuing improvement in 2H2021, which will support sales growth of +7-10% for FY2021, with EPS growth of +7-10%, and a dividend payout ratio of 45-55%.</p>
<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kalbe-farma-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6303:1" rel="noopener">Kalbe Farma (KLBF IJ)</a> currently trades in 22.9x FY21E PER and 20.9x FY22E PER versus its 5-year average forward PER of 26.3x forward PER, making it look attractive at current levels. </p></section></section>

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kalbe-farma-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6303:1" rel="noopener">Kalbe Farma (KLBF IJ)</a> results reflected its resilience in the face of inflationary pressure, with decent growth across all four core divisions with some manageable margin pressure.</li>
<li>The company raised prices by +3-5% in 1H2022 to offset raw material price increases and may increase a further +1%-3% in 2H2022 in a selective fashion to maintain margins. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kalbe-farma-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6303:1" rel="noopener">Kalbe Farma</a> remains confident in the guidance of +11%-15% growth in sales and EPS for FY2022E and remains an interesting play on increasing health consciousness in Indonesia on attractive valuations.</li>
</ul>

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

Aequitas Research

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy (CMD), a producer of dairy and consumer foods, aims to raise up to US$263m in its Indonesian IPO.</li>
<li>It is a market leader in the overall yogurt sub-category as well as in the spoonable and drinking yogurt segments with a market share of 53.2%, 71.9% and 50.3%, respectively. </li>
<li>In our previous notes, links <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/cisarua-mountain-dairy-cimory-ipo-the-negatives-losing-market-share-margin-sustainability" target="_blank" rel="noopener">here</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/cisarua-mountain-dairy-cimory-ipo-the-negatives-losing-market-share-margin-sustainability" target="_blank" rel="noopener">here</a>,  we spoke about the various aspects of the deal. In we will do a peer comparison and talk about valuations.</li>
</ul>

Indonesia

No authorization provided.

PT Kalbe Farma Tbk produces and develops pharmaceutical products for human and animal healthcare.  Through its subsidiaries, the Company also operates in the pharmaceutical, health food, and packaging industries.

ADTV (USDm)	0.00
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
P/B	0.00
EV/EBITDA	0.00
EV/Sales	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Kalbe Farma - KLBF IJ