Technology / Semiconductor / Internet Research

Nicolas Baratte

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>An additional 24 Equipment are added to the restriction list (negative to AMAT, KLA, LAM). No explicit restrictions on ASML or Tokyo Electron, but that’s done indirectly.</li>
<li>HBM Memory sales to China restricted (directly negative to Samsung), but restriction of DRAM Manufacturing Equipment sales is long-term positive to Micron, Samsung, SK Hynix. </li>
<li>140 Chinese firms added to the Entity List, including all China’s Semi Production Equipment makers (Naura, AMEC, Piotech, SiCarrier). </li>
</ul>


An additional 24 Equipment are added to the restriction list (negative to AMAT, KLA, LAM). No explicit restrictions on ASML or Tokyo Electron, but that’s done indirectly.
HBM Memory sales to China restricted (directly negative to Samsung), but restriction of DRAM Manufacturing Equipment sales is long-term positive to Micron, Samsung, SK Hynix. 
140 Chinese firms added to the Entity List, including all China’s Semi Production Equipment makers (Naura, AMEC, Piotech, SiCarrier). 


US Restriction on Semi Export to China Negative for All Equipment Makers, Naura, AMEC, ASML, TEL

Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>US semi-cap names continuing to jump on looser US restrictions than expected.</li>
<li>See attached table for short interest levels for Japan SPE plays.</li>
<li>Gelsinger out and uncertainty up, although JP suppliers will see minimal reaction.</li>
</ul>


US semi-cap names continuing to jump on looser US restrictions than expected.
See attached table for short interest levels for Japan SPE plays.
Gelsinger out and uncertainty up, although JP suppliers will see minimal reaction.


Japan Morning Connection: Brief Respite for SPE Before Trump Likely Ratchets Higher from Jan

<ul>
<li>Nidec may be back in focus on a lifeline for SMCI and heating issues for NVDA.</li>
<li>Tesla and power-semis are both up on the self-driving U-turn.</li>
<li>No bid for JP SPE's recently, although Lasertec may still have further to fall.</li>
</ul>


Nidec may be back in focus on a lifeline for SMCI and heating issues for NVDA.
Tesla and power-semis are both up on the self-driving U-turn.
No bid for JP SPE's recently, although Lasertec may still have further to fall.


Japan Morning Connection: JP Set for a More Upbeat Start After Tech Rebound

<ul>
<li>Mixed signals for JP semi's with the positive read from ASML set to be tempered by the AMAT numbers.</li>
<li>Trump cutting the $7.5k EV tax credit hitting Tesla, Rivian and power semi's.</li>
<li>Govt. names down on concerns over what Musk's DOGE means for Govt spending.</li>
</ul>


Mixed signals for JP semi's with the positive read from ASML set to be tempered by the AMAT numbers.
Trump cutting the $7.5k EV tax credit hitting Tesla, Rivian and power semi's.
Govt. names down on concerns over what Musk's DOGE means for Govt spending.


Japan Morning Connection: SPE Continues to Be Under Pressure

<ul>
<li>Trump names including banks, energy and tech rally hard, while renewables are sold heavily</li>
<li>Underperformance by semi-capex plays with high China sales may be reflected in Japan SPE today</li>
<li>Global defense rallied on the spectre of higher spend requirements for EU countries</li>
</ul>


Trump names including banks, energy and tech rally hard, while renewables are sold heavily
Underperformance by semi-capex plays with high China sales may be reflected in Japan SPE today
Global defense rallied on the spectre of higher spend requirements for EU countries


Japan Morning Connection: Trump Names Rally in the Wake of Re-Election

Japan

Lasertec Corporation develops, designs, manufactures and markets photomask inspection systems to make semiconductor devices, confocal scanning laser microscopes and liquid crystal display (LCD) inspection systems.

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Lasertec Corp (6920 JP)

US Restriction on Semi Export to China Negative for All Equipment Makers, Naura, AMEC, ASML, TEL

New restrictions on equipment sales and Entity List additions impact semiconductor industry players, with mostly negative implications as SPE...

Nicolas Baratte

Japan Morning Connection: Brief Respite for SPE Before Trump Likely Ratchets Higher from Jan

US semi-cap names continue to jump on looser restrictions. Uncertainty up with Gelsinger out, but minimal impact expected on JP suppliers. See...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: JP Set for a More Upbeat Start After Tech Rebound

Nidec may be in focus on a lifeline for SMCI and NVDA's heating issues, Tesla and power-semis up on self-driving support, no bid for JP SPE's and...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: SPE Continues to Be Under Pressure

Mixed signals for semi's with positive news from ASML while AMAT numbers dissapoint. EV tax credit cuts impact Tesla, Rivian, and power semi's....

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Trump Names Rally in the Wake of Re-Election

Trump names rally while renewables sold heavily. Underperformance by semi-capex with high China sales may reflect in Japan SPE. Global defense...

Andrew Jackson

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

US Restriction on Semi Export to China Negative for All Equipment Makers, Naura, AMEC, ASML, TEL

​New restrictions on equipment sales and Entity List additions impact semiconductor industry players, with mostly negative implications as SPE...

Nicolas Baratte

Japan Morning Connection: Brief Respite for SPE Before Trump Likely Ratchets Higher from Jan

​US semi-cap names continue to jump on looser restrictions. Uncertainty up with Gelsinger out, but minimal impact expected on JP suppliers. See...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: JP Set for a More Upbeat Start After Tech Rebound

​Nidec may be in focus on a lifeline for SMCI and NVDA's heating issues, Tesla and power-semis up on self-driving support, no bid for JP SPE's and...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: SPE Continues to Be Under Pressure

​Mixed signals for semi's with positive news from ASML while AMAT numbers dissapoint. EV tax credit cuts impact Tesla, Rivian, and power semi's....

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Trump Names Rally in the Wake of Re-Election

Trump names rally while renewables sold heavily. Underperformance by semi-capex with high China sales may reflect in Japan SPE. Global defense...

Andrew Jackson

New restrictions on equipment sales and Entity List additions impact semiconductor industry players, with mostly negative implications as SPE...

US semi-cap names continue to jump on looser restrictions. Uncertainty up with Gelsinger out, but minimal impact expected on JP suppliers. See...

Nidec may be in focus on a lifeline for SMCI and NVDA's heating issues, Tesla and power-semis up on self-driving support, no bid for JP SPE's and...

Mixed signals for semi's with positive news from ASML while AMAT numbers dissapoint. EV tax credit cuts impact Tesla, Rivian, and power semi's....