Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>News Intel may be looking to restructure and even sell its fab business, a slight negative for Japanese SPE suppliers.</li>
<li>Japan upping defence budget to a record high a positive for related names, including KHI which has been excessively weak on the news it fabricated data for marine engine business.</li>
<li>Nikkei Inc. is expected to announce results for 30th September rebalance today or tomorrow which may see big buying for the likes of Ryohin Keikaku, NRI and possibly one other.</li>
</ul>


News Intel may be looking to restructure and even sell its fab business, a slight negative for Japanese SPE suppliers.
Japan upping defence budget to a record high a positive for related names, including KHI which has been excessively weak on the news it fabricated data for marine engine business.
Nikkei Inc. is expected to announce results for 30th September rebalance today or tomorrow which may see big buying for the likes of Ryohin Keikaku, NRI and possibly one other.


Japan Morning Connection: Record Defense Budget and Nikkei Rebalance Set to Boost Related Stocks

<ul>
<li>Tech weakness in Japan to continue, following the profit taking lead out of the US with NVDA numbers on Wednesday.</li>
<li>Defence related may get a lift after yesterdays weakness, with Middle East tensions rising, Japan warding off a Chinese spy plane and ex-Defence Minister announcing candidacy for LDP leader.</li>
<li>Typhoon Shanshan is expected in Kyushu. Resulting weakness on related names is usually short-lived and largely retail investor driven, making reverse positioning into the moves the more attractive tactic.</li>
</ul>


Tech weakness in Japan to continue, following the profit taking lead out of the US with NVDA numbers on Wednesday.
Defence related may get a lift after yesterdays weakness, with Middle East tensions rising, Japan warding off a Chinese spy plane and ex-Defence Minister announcing candidacy for LDP leader.
Typhoon Shanshan is expected in Kyushu. Resulting weakness on related names is usually short-lived and largely retail investor driven, making reverse positioning into the moves the more attractive tactic.


Japan Morning Connection: Further Sector Rotation on the Cards as Risk-Off Mood for Tech Continues

<ul>
<li>Plenty of names which continue to look oversold in the recent volatility after posting better than expected numbers yesterday including <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sony-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:563" rel="noopener">Sony Corp (6758 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lasertec-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4126" rel="noopener">Lasertec Corp (6920 JP)</a>.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/puma-se" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21697" rel="noopener">Puma (PUM GR)</a> -12.6% after 2Q numbers and guidance missed, setting a negative tone for sportswear including <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asics-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16287" rel="noopener">ASICS Corp (7936 JP)</a> which has been in play after strong earnings and recent large share placement.</li>
<li>Numbers for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shiseido-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5718" rel="noopener">Shiseido Company (4911 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kose-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18009" rel="noopener">Kose Corp (4922 JP)</a> point to diverging paths, which looks conducive for the 4922-4911 pair setup.</li>
</ul>


Plenty of names which continue to look oversold in the recent volatility after posting better than expected numbers yesterday including Sony Corp (6758 JP) and Lasertec Corp (6920 JP).

Puma (PUM GR) -12.6% after 2Q numbers and guidance missed, setting a negative tone for sportswear including ASICS Corp (7936 JP) which has been in play after strong earnings and recent large share placement.
Numbers for Shiseido Company (4911 JP) and Kose Corp (4922 JP) point to diverging paths, which looks conducive for the 4922-4911 pair setup.


Japan Morning Connection: 6758 JP, 6920 JP, 7936 JP

<ul>
<li>DOW +0.59%, Russell -1.06%, SPX -1.39%, Nasdaq -2.77%, SOX -6.81% as investors shifted from growth to value stocks. UST10 was flat at 4.16%, and the yen strengthened to Y156.18.</li>
<li>Commodities were mixed with copper -0.3%, nickel -0.83%, and Brent +1.72%. Energy and consumer staples rose, with VSF +13.6% after Essilor Luxottica agreed to buy Supreme. US homebuilders lost ground. </li>
<li>Tech stocks fell sharply after ASML's earnings missed estimates and news of potential US export restrictions to China. Focus on SPE names with high China exposure as shorts.</li>
</ul>


DOW +0.59%, Russell -1.06%, SPX -1.39%, Nasdaq -2.77%, SOX -6.81% as investors shifted from growth to value stocks. UST10 was flat at 4.16%, and the yen strengthened to Y156.18.
Commodities were mixed with copper -0.3%, nickel -0.83%, and Brent +1.72%. Energy and consumer staples rose, with VSF +13.6% after Essilor Luxottica agreed to buy Supreme. US homebuilders lost ground. 
Tech stocks fell sharply after ASML's earnings missed estimates and news of potential US export restrictions to China. Focus on SPE names with high China exposure as shorts.


Japan Morning Connection – 18 July, 2024

Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

<ul>
<li>Global markets retained their positive momentum as weak U.S. economic data renewed concerns about the growth outlook.</li>
<li>Next week is set to be eventful, with the FOMC and Bank of Japan meetings on the agenda. The FOMC, expected to maintain policy rates, might offer few surprises.</li>
<li>Oil prices, after a five-day decline, rebounded as OPEC+ extended production cuts through 2025.</li>
</ul>


Global markets retained their positive momentum as weak U.S. economic data renewed concerns about the growth outlook.
Next week is set to be eventful, with the FOMC and Bank of Japan meetings on the agenda. The FOMC, expected to maintain policy rates, might offer few surprises.
Oil prices, after a five-day decline, rebounded as OPEC+ extended production cuts through 2025.


Japan Weekly | JMDC, Sanrio, Lasertec, Hakuhodo

Japan

Lasertec Corporation develops, designs, manufactures and markets photomask inspection systems to make semiconductor devices, confocal scanning laser microscopes and liquid crystal display (LCD) inspection systems.

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Lasertec Corp (6920 JP)

Japan Morning Connection: Further Sector Rotation on the Cards as Risk-Off Mood for Tech Continues

Tech weakness in Japan likely to persist. Defense stocks may see a boost amid rising tensions. Reverse position into Typhoon-related weakness.

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: 6758 JP, 6920 JP, 7936 JP

Stocks like Sony and Lasertec look oversold. Puma's poor performance sets a negative tone for sportswear plays. Shiseido and Kose show diverging...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection – 18 July, 2024

Investors shift from growth to value stocks, tech stocks fall on ASML earnings miss and US export restrictions to China, VSF surges after Essilor...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Weekly | JMDC, Sanrio, Lasertec, Hakuhodo

Global markets remain positive despite weak U.S. economic data, upcoming FOMC and Bank of Japan meetings, and rebounding oil prices due to...

Mark Chadwick

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Market Cap (USDm)

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Japan Morning Connection: Record Defense Budget and Nikkei Rebalance Set to Boost Related Stocks

​News Intel may restructure/sell fab business, negative for Japanese SPE suppliers. Japan defense budget increase positive for related names....

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Further Sector Rotation on the Cards as Risk-Off Mood for Tech Continues

​Tech weakness in Japan likely to persist. Defense stocks may see a boost amid rising tensions. Reverse position into Typhoon-related weakness.

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: 6758 JP, 6920 JP, 7936 JP

​Stocks like Sony and Lasertec look oversold. Puma's poor performance sets a negative tone for sportswear plays. Shiseido and Kose show diverging...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection – 18 July, 2024

​Investors shift from growth to value stocks, tech stocks fall on ASML earnings miss and US export restrictions to China, VSF surges after Essilor...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Weekly | JMDC, Sanrio, Lasertec, Hakuhodo

​Global markets remain positive despite weak U.S. economic data, upcoming FOMC and Bank of Japan meetings, and rebounding oil prices due to...

Mark Chadwick

News Intel may restructure/sell fab business, negative for Japanese SPE suppliers. Japan defense budget increase positive for related names....

Tech weakness in Japan likely to persist. Defense stocks may see a boost amid rising tensions. Reverse position into Typhoon-related weakness.

Stocks like Sony and Lasertec look oversold. Puma's poor performance sets a negative tone for sportswear plays. Shiseido and Kose show diverging...

Investors shift from growth to value stocks, tech stocks fall on ASML earnings miss and US export restrictions to China, VSF surges after Essilor...

Global markets remain positive despite weak U.S. economic data, upcoming FOMC and Bank of Japan meetings, and rebounding oil prices due to...