Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

GoTo Gojek Tokopedia Tbk PT / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>GoTo pre-IPO shareholders were released from the lockup on 1st Dec 2022, which led to a 47% slide in its share price.</li>
<li>We had written about the upcoming lockup expiry in our earlier note, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/goto-ipo-lockup-expiry-us-13bn-lockup-release-or-in-other-words-the-real-ipo" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:84796" rel="noopener">GoTo IPO Lockup Expiry - US$13bn Lockup Release or in Other Words, the Real IPO</a>.</li>
<li>While the price appears to be settling down now, given the intra-day trading limits in Indonesia,  very little volumes have been transacted compared to the shares released from lockup.</li>
</ul>


GoTo pre-IPO shareholders were released from the lockup on 1st Dec 2022, which led to a 47% slide in its share price.
We had written about the upcoming lockup expiry in our earlier note, GoTo IPO Lockup Expiry - US$13bn Lockup Release or in Other Words, the Real IPO.
While the price appears to be settling down now, given the intra-day trading limits in Indonesia,  very little volumes have been transacted compared to the shares released from lockup.


GoTo IPO Lockup Expiry Follow-Up - Has Corrected but Has Traded Relatively Little Volume

Equity Capital Markets

Global Digital Niaga Tbk PT / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>PT Global Digital (BliBli) raised around US$517m in its Indonesian IPO, after using the upsize option and pricing its deal just below the top-end.</li>
<li>BliBli provides e-commerce services across Indonesia to both retail consumers and institutions.</li>
<li>In our previous notes, we have looked at the company’s past performance. In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>


PT Global Digital (BliBli) raised around US$517m in its Indonesian IPO, after using the upsize option and pricing its deal just below the top-end.
BliBli provides e-commerce services across Indonesia to both retail consumers and institutions.
In our previous notes, we have looked at the company’s past performance. In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics.


BliBli IPO Trading - Upsized, Priced near Top-End but Should Be Trading at Least 50% Lower

<ul>
<li>PT Global Digital Trade (BliBli) aims to raise up to US$530m in its Indonesian IPO.</li>
<li>BliBli provides e-commerce services across Indonesia to both retail consumers and institutions</li>
<li>In this note, we'll talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>


PT Global Digital Trade (BliBli) aims to raise up to US$530m in its Indonesian IPO.
BliBli provides e-commerce services across Indonesia to both retail consumers and institutions
In this note, we'll talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.


PT Global Digital Trade (BliBli) Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Online, Offline or Travelling to Nowhere?

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas, CrossASEAN Research

Henry Soediarko

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

Lippo Malls Indonesia Retail Trust / Equity Bottom-Up

Since the announcement of the 10% service charge withholding tax, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/10946" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10946:1">Lippo Malls Indonesia Retail Trust (LMRT SP)</a> has come off 15.8% in 10 days which caused dividend yield to spike to 10.5%. On a 3-year basis, LMRT current share price at 0.34 is still 13% higher than its low at 0.3. On a phone conversation with the CEO, Ms. Chan Lie Ling, she explained that for many years the service charge and utility recovery withholding tax have always been there but an unclear explanation led to a non-existent…

Since the announcement of the 10% service charge withholding tax, Lippo Malls Indonesia Retail Trust (LMRT SP) has come off 15.8% in 10 days which caused dividend yield to spike to 10.5%. On a 3-year basis, LMRT current share price at 0.34 is still 13% higher than its low at 0.3. On a phone conversation with the CEO, Ms. Chan Lie Ling, she explained that for many years the service charge and utility recovery withholding tax have always been there but an unclear explanation led to a non-existent…

Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Where so many of us are focused on the impact of China slowdown on its banks, it is worth highlighting the risks to Hong Kong’s banks. But what we are focused on here is their domestic lending, not the stuff booked locally but for use in China. For most, the perception is that Hong Kong banks have little risk due to a strong emphasis on mortgage lending, but we are not convinced this is holding up, and we believe it will worsen.  Of course, the new marginally higher interest costs in Hong Kong…

Where so many of us are focused on the impact of China slowdown on its banks, it is worth highlighting the risks to Hong Kong’s banks. But what we are focused on here is their domestic lending, not the stuff booked locally but for use in China. For most, the perception is that Hong Kong banks have little risk due to a strong emphasis on mortgage lending, but we are not convinced this is holding up, and we believe it will worsen.  Of course, the new marginally higher interest costs in Hong Kong…

Domestic NPLs in Hong Kong Can Surprise – Not Just Those in Neighboring China

Hong Kong

Lippo Limited, through its subsidiaries, operates food business, invests in, develops, and manages properties. The Company also provides fund management service, underwriting, insurance, corporate finance, securities broking and investment, treasury investment, and money lending.

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Lippo Ltd (226 HK)

GoTo IPO Lockup Expiry Follow-Up - Has Corrected but Has Traded Relatively Little Volume

GoTo pre-IPO shareholders were released from the lockup on 1st Dec 2022, which led to a 47% slide in its share price. While the stock has...

Sumeet Singh

BliBli IPO Trading - Upsized, Priced near Top-End but Should Be Trading at Least 50% Lower

PT Global Digital (BliBli) raised around US$517m in its Indonesian IPO, after using the upsize option and pricing its deal just below the top-end....

Sumeet Singh

PT Global Digital Trade (BliBli) Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Online, Offline or Travelling to Nowhere?

PT Global Digital Trade (BliBli) aims to raise up to US$530m in its Indonesian IPO. In this note, we talk about the not so positive aspects of the...

Sumeet Singh

Lippo Mall REIT: Downside Priced-In

Since the announcement of the 10% service charge withholding tax, Lippo Malls Indonesia Retail Trust (LMRT SP) has come off 15.8% in 10 days which...

Henry Soediarko

Domestic NPLs in Hong Kong Can Surprise – Not Just Those in Neighboring China

Where so many of us are focused on the impact of China slowdown on its banks, it is worth highlighting the risks to Hong Kong’s banks. But what we...

Daniel Tabbush

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