Chairman, sgtradex

Tan Chin-Hwee

Chairman

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Cameron has to take the fall as he took a huge strategic risk for partisan reasons, misreading the mood. The question is: do you as a business owner hire and invest?Uncertainty is often lumped together as risk but there is a different: risk can be measured but uncertainty cannot. Daniel Ellsberg devised the famous experiment where there are 2 jars. The first jar, you are told, contains 50 red balls and 50 black balls. The 2nd jars contain 100 red and black balls but the number of each is…

Cameron has to take the fall as he took a huge strategic risk for partisan reasons, misreading the mood. The question is: do you as a business owner hire and invest?Uncertainty is often lumped together as risk but there is a different: risk can be measured but uncertainty cannot. Daniel Ellsberg devised the famous experiment where there are 2 jars. The first jar, you are told, contains 50 red balls and 50 black balls. The 2nd jars contain 100 red and black balls but the number of each is…

Markets from Here-Uncertainty Is NOT Risk

EM PM, Ecstrat

Emad Mostaque

EM PM

Ecstrat

Ecstrat is a consultancy advising on asset allocation between global equity markets, with a focus on the intersection of governments, geopolitics, governance and markets.
 
Over the past few years and more especially since the Great Financial Crisis (GFC), investors have become more focused on short-term market movements and real-time returns and have consequently neglected the analysis of the underlying structural themes that underpin longer term performance.
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More specifically we believe that the evolution of governance-based relationships between investors, controlling shareholders, labour and the state is one of the primary determinants of both relative and absolute performance between individual equity markets.
 
We will endeavour to provide investors with some of the context surrounding governance-related issues which encompass many different disciplines including history, economics and political science, as well as the financial metrics which are the most obvious manifestation of the structural characteristics of each market.
 
We will pay particular attention to the shifts and potential inflection points for governance in individual markets as these are often the best lead indicators for both economic and market performance.

Against market expectations the British have voted to exit the European Union, a process that could take a few years. The first order impact is being felt in the Eurozone, but the shockwaves could lead to one more leg down in Emerging Markets and potentially the US this year.

Against market expectations the British have voted to exit the European Union, a process that could take a few years. The first order impact is being felt in the Eurozone, but the shockwaves could lead to one more leg down in Emerging Markets and potentially the US this year.

Information Technology Consultant

Ishita Jain

Euroclear and itBit have announced a partnership to explore the development of a clearing and settlement system for the London unallocated gold market. The two companies are talking to banks and broker dealers to create a blockchain network that clears, tracks and settles trades in close to real time.itBit is a financial services company that offers a blockchain-based clearing and settlement network, called Bankchain. ItBit has opened a new London operation as it turns its focus to trading and…

Euroclear and itBit have announced a partnership to explore the development of a clearing and settlement system for the London unallocated gold market. The two companies are talking to banks and broker dealers to create a blockchain network that clears, tracks and settles trades in close to real time.itBit is a financial services company that offers a blockchain-based clearing and settlement network, called Bankchain. ItBit has opened a new London operation as it turns its focus to trading and…

As I noted in my post from a fortnight ago, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/blockchain-in-the-financial-services-industry" target="_blank">Blockchain in the Financial Services Industry</a>, central banks are taking greater interest in blockchain and exploring potential applications.A good example is the recent decision by Canada's central bank, The Bank of Canada, to develop an electronic 'version' of the Canadian Dollar ("CAD"). The initiative involves issuing, transferring and settling central bank assets via a token named 'CAD-Coin'. The idea would involve participants pledging cash (CAD)…

As I noted in my post from a fortnight ago, Blockchain in the Financial Services Industry, central banks are taking greater interest in blockchain and exploring potential applications.A good example is the recent decision by Canada's central bank, The Bank of Canada, to develop an electronic 'version' of the Canadian Dollar ("CAD"). The initiative involves issuing, transferring and settling central bank assets via a token named 'CAD-Coin'. The idea would involve participants pledging cash (CAD)…

Asymmetric Payoffs, Thracian Capital Management

Asymmetric Payoffs

Thracian Capital Management

Macroeconomics

Our sixty-page market commentary for the month of June, including macro analysis and trade ideas across asset classes-- macro, volatility, equities, foreign exchange, commodities and credit / interest rates.

Our sixty-page market commentary for the month of June, including macro analysis and trade ideas across asset classes-- macro, volatility, equities, foreign exchange, commodities and credit / interest rates. 

United Kingdom

Lloyds Banking Group plc, through subsidiaries and associated companies, offers a range of banking and financial services. The Company provides retail banking, mortgages, pensions, asset management, insurance services, corporate banking, and treasury services.

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Lloyds Banking (LLOY LN)

Markets from Here-Uncertainty Is NOT Risk

Cameron has to take the fall as he took a huge strategic risk for partisan reasons, misreading the mood. The question is: do you as a business...

Tan Chin-Hwee

Will Brexit Break EM's Back?

Against market expectations the British have voted to exit the European Union, a process that could take a few years. The first order impact is...

Emad Mostaque

Blockchain and Gold

Euroclear and itBit have announced a partnership to explore the development of a clearing and settlement system for the London unallocated gold...

Ishita Jain

Blockchain and Central Banks

As I noted in my post from a fortnight ago, Blockchain in the Financial Services Industry, central banks are taking greater interest in blockchain...

Ishita Jain

Market Commentary (June 2016)

Our sixty-page market commentary for the month of June, including macro analysis and trade ideas across asset classes-- macro, volatility,...

Asymmetric Payoffs

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