IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>Highest spreads - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/irc-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20649:1" rel="noopener">Irc Ltd (1029 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/orecorp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8120:1" rel="noopener">Orecorp Ltd (ORR AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shinko-electric-industries" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15066:1" rel="noopener">Shinko Electric Industries (6967 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jsr-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17620:1" rel="noopener">JSR Corp (4185 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adbri-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20166:1" rel="noopener">Adbri (ABC AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/probiotec-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12047:1" rel="noopener">Probiotec Ltd (PBP AU)</a>, Volpara Health.</li>
<li>Lowest spreads - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tietto-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28006:1" rel="noopener">Tietto Minerals Ltd (TIE AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/a2b-australia-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16558:1" rel="noopener">A2B Australia (A2B AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ijtt-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19461:1" rel="noopener">IJTT Co., Ltd. (7315 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/t-k-toka-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18678:1" rel="noopener">T&amp;K Toka Co Ltd (4636 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tokyo-rakutenchi-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2078:1" rel="noopener">Tokyo Rakutenchi (8842 JP)</a>, Pact Group.</li>
</ul>


We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.
Highest spreads - Irc Ltd (1029 HK), Orecorp Ltd (ORR AU), Shinko Electric Industries (6967 JP), JSR Corp (4185 JP), Adbri (ABC AU), Probiotec Ltd (PBP AU), Volpara Health.
Lowest spreads - Tietto Minerals Ltd (TIE AU), A2B Australia (A2B AU), IJTT Co., Ltd. (7315 JP), T&amp;K Toka Co Ltd (4636 JP), Tokyo Rakutenchi (8842 JP), Pact Group.


Merger Arb Mondays (25 Dec) - JSR, Benefit One, IRC, Adbri, Link, A2B, Probiotec, Lithium Power

Shinko Electric Industries / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>Highest spreads - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/irc-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20649:1" rel="noopener">Irc Ltd (1029 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/orecorp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8120:1" rel="noopener">Orecorp Ltd (ORR AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shinko-electric-industries" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15066:1" rel="noopener">Shinko Electric Industries (6967 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jsr-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17620:1" rel="noopener">JSR Corp (4185 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lithium-power-international" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30603:1" rel="noopener">Lithium Power International (LPI AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/benefit-one-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14502:1" rel="noopener">Benefit One Inc (2412 JP)</a>. </li>
<li>Lowest spreads  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tietto-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28006:1" rel="noopener">Tietto Minerals Ltd (TIE AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/azure-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16538:1" rel="noopener">Azure Minerals (AZS AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ijtt-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19461:1" rel="noopener">IJTT Co., Ltd. (7315 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/t-k-toka-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18678:1" rel="noopener">T&amp;K Toka Co Ltd (4636 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tokyo-rakutenchi-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2078:1" rel="noopener">Tokyo Rakutenchi (8842 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shidax-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7754:1" rel="noopener">Shidax Corp (4837 JP)</a>.</li>
</ul>


We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.
Highest spreads - Irc Ltd (1029 HK), Orecorp Ltd (ORR AU), Shinko Electric Industries (6967 JP), JSR Corp (4185 JP), Lithium Power International (LPI AU), Benefit One Inc (2412 JP). 
Lowest spreads  Tietto Minerals Ltd (TIE AU), Azure Minerals (AZS AU), IJTT Co., Ltd. (7315 JP), T&amp;K Toka Co Ltd (4636 JP), Tokyo Rakutenchi (8842 JP), Shidax Corp (4837 JP).


Merger Arb Mondays (18 Dec) - Shinko Electric, Benefit One, Toyo, CPMC, Vinda, Costa, Volpara

Volpara Health Technologies / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/volpara-health-technologies" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26129:1" rel="noopener">Volpara Health Technologies (VHT AU)</a> has entered a scheme implementation deed with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lunit-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36033:1" rel="noopener">Lunit (328130 KS)</a> at A$1.15 per share, a 48.4% premium to the undisturbed price of A$0.775 (13 December).</li>
<li>The offer is subject to several conditions, such as shareholder and OIO approval. Irrevocables and directors represent 33.30% of outstanding shares. </li>
<li>Barring a competing offer, this is a done deal, as the offer is attractive. At the last close and for the end of May payment, the gross/annualised spread is 5.0%/11.6%.</li>
</ul>



Volpara Health Technologies (VHT AU) has entered a scheme implementation deed with Lunit (328130 KS) at A$1.15 per share, a 48.4% premium to the undisturbed price of A$0.775 (13 December).
The offer is subject to several conditions, such as shareholder and OIO approval. Irrevocables and directors represent 33.30% of outstanding shares. 
Barring a competing offer, this is a done deal, as the offer is attractive. At the last close and for the end of May payment, the gross/annualised spread is 5.0%/11.6%.


Volpara Health (VHT AU): Lunit’s Binding A$1.15 Offer

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/volpara-health-technologies" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26129:1" rel="noopener">Volpara Health  (VHT AU)</a>, which makes software enabling the early detection of breast cancer, has announced it has entered into a Scheme Implementation Deed with South Korea's <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lunit-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36033:1" rel="noopener">Lunit (328130 KS)</a>.</li>
<li>Lunit is offering Volpara shareholders A$1.15/share, in cash, a 47.4% premium to last close. Cornerstone investors with 25.92% of shares out are supportive. As is Volpara's board.</li>
<li>The Scheme Meeting is expected to be held in 2Q24. The transaction requires NZ's OIO approval.</li>
</ul>



Volpara Health  (VHT AU), which makes software enabling the early detection of breast cancer, has announced it has entered into a Scheme Implementation Deed with South Korea's Lunit (328130 KS).
Lunit is offering Volpara shareholders A$1.15/share, in cash, a 47.4% premium to last close. Cornerstone investors with 25.92% of shares out are supportive. As is Volpara's board.
The Scheme Meeting is expected to be held in 2Q24. The transaction requires NZ's OIO approval.


Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 17 inclusions and 17 exclusions for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a> at the December rebalance to be implemented at the close on 14 December.</li>
<li>While most of the inclusions were expected, there are many differences on the deletes. Trading the strategy becomes tougher with the short sell ban in place.</li>
<li>The adds have started to outperform the deletes over the last month and there could be more movement over the next 3 weeks to implementation.</li>
</ul>


There are 17 inclusions and 17 exclusions for the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX) at the December rebalance to be implemented at the close on 14 December.
While most of the inclusions were expected, there are many differences on the deletes. Trading the strategy becomes tougher with the short sell ban in place.
The adds have started to outperform the deletes over the last month and there could be more movement over the next 3 weeks to implementation.


KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance: 17 Changes a Side; Many Surprises

South Korea

Lunit Inc. operates as a medical software company. The Company develops chest x-ray analysis artificial intelligence software, mammography analysis artificial intelligence software, immunooncology tissue phenomics artificial intelligence software, and expression analysis artificial intelligence software. Lunit markets its products worldwide.

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Lunit (328130 KS)

Merger Arb Mondays (25 Dec) - JSR, Benefit One, IRC, Adbri, Link, A2B, Probiotec, Lithium Power

This week, the highest gross spreads are IRC (25.5%), OreCorp (14.2%), Shinko Electric (9.0%), JSR (8.6%), Adbri (6.3%), Probiotec (5.7%), Volpara...

Arun George

Merger Arb Mondays (18 Dec) - Shinko Electric, Benefit One, Toyo, CPMC, Vinda, Costa, Volpara

This week, the highest gross spreads are IRC (26.9%), OreCorp (17.7%), Shinko Electric (9.2%), JSR (6.6%), Lithium Power (5.6%), Benefit One...

Arun George

Volpara Health (VHT AU): Lunit’s Binding A$1.15 Offer

Barring a competing offer, this is a done deal, as the offer is attractive. At the last close and for the end of May payment, the gross/annualised...

Arun George

Volpara Health/Lunit: Bosom Buddies

This looks clean. Highly doubtful OIO pushes back. Not with South Korea being a free trade agreement investor. Trading at a gross/annualised spread...

David Blennerhassett

KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance: 17 Changes a Side; Many Surprises

There are 17 changes a side for the KOSDAQ150 in Dec. Most of the inclusions were on expected lines, but there are many difference among the...

Brian Freitas

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