Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia), SCCM Asia Research

SCCM Asia Research

Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia)

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<h2>Singapore</h2><h3><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/esr-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10934" rel="noopener">ESR-REIT (EREIT SP)</a> to divest non-core industrial building for S$11.1m; 8% premium to book value (BUY; TP S$0.48/unit)</h3><ul><li>EREIT has entered into an agreement to divest an industrial building, 45 Changi South Avenue 2, for S$11.1m, a 7.8% premium to the property's independent valuation of S$10.3m</li><li>The net proceeds will be used to repay outstanding borrowings, finance upcoming asset enhancements and/or fund general working capital requirements. The divestment represents an opportunity for EREIT to divest one of their non-core assets at a premium to book value</li><li>The four-storey general industrial building has a GFA of 73,684sqft.</li></ul><p>Comments: Following the divestment of two assets in Apr21, EREIT continued to review its portfolio and divesting non-core assets. The multi-tenanted general industrial building contributed S$0.5m (or 0.2%) to EREIT’s FY20 Revenue and accounts for 0.7% of FY20 NAV. Assuming a 71.4% NPI margin (based on FY20 NPI Margin), the divestment yield would be 3.22%. The capital recycled into AEIs would lift future DPU (expected to return yield to cost of c.7-9%), if not maintained, should the proceeds are used to pare down debt (avg. cost of debt of 3.24%). The Sale Consideration also represents 33.7% higher than its purchase price of S$8.3m (acquired in 25Jul06). We have a BUY rating with TP of S$0.48/Unit.</p>

SingaporeESR-REIT (EREIT SP) to divest non-core industrial building for S$11.1m; 8% premium to book value (BUY; TP S$0.48/unit)EREIT has entered into an agreement to divest an industrial building, 45 Changi South Avenue 2, for S$11.1m, a 7.8% premium to the property's independent valuation of S$10.3mThe net proceeds will be used to repay outstanding borrowings, finance upcoming asset enhancements and/or fund general working capital requirements. The divestment represents an opportunity for EREIT to divest one of their non-core assets at a premium to book valueThe four-storey general industrial building has a GFA of 73,684sqft.Comments: Following the divestment of two assets in Apr21, EREIT continued to review its portfolio and divesting non-core assets. The multi-tenanted general industrial building contributed S$0.5m (or 0.2%) to EREIT’s FY20 Revenue and accounts for 0.7% of FY20 NAV. Assuming a 71.4% NPI margin (based on FY20 NPI Margin), the divestment yield would be 3.22%. The capital recycled into AEIs would lift future DPU (expected to return yield to cost of c.7-9%), if not maintained, should the proceeds are used to pare down debt (avg. cost of debt of 3.24%). The Sale Consideration also represents 33.7% higher than its purchase price of S$8.3m (acquired in 25Jul06). We have a BUY rating with TP of S$0.48/Unit.

<h2>Singapore</h2>
<h3>SREITs – Reflation is working in SREIT’s favour (BUY FCT DASIN AAREIT AREIT ECWREIT)</h3>
<p>With Singapore moving into Phase 3, economic recovery should regain momentum, albeit uneven across sectors. The accelerated timetable for US interest rate hikes has triggered yield spread compression, but also signaled a stronger and sustainable economic growth, which bodes well for trade-dependent Singapore. We reinitiate the SREIT sector with BUY. Top picks are FCT, DASIN, AAREIT and AREIT. SGREIT offers a good entry point for midterm recovery play; while ECWREIT could see a DPU boost from deferred DI.</p>
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<li>Economy recovery provides strong tailwind for yield, albeit uneven across sectors. Following a setback from a month-long partial lockdown in Phase 2, Singapore has resume gradual reopening on 14Jun, thus setting economy back on track to recovery. However, we should see some deviation from initial expected timeline and recovery pace across sectors. In particular, tourism-related sectors are set to see further delays in recovery given the slower lifting of global travel curbs and the recent cut in capacity limits at local attractions. On the other hand, domestic-driven expenditures and outward-oriented sectors, such as retail and manufacturing, are expected to benefit from the pick-up in demand</li>
<li>We prefer Retail and Commercial subsectors, which should recover on stronger pace and offer attractive yields within the SREIT sector, while trading at c.1.0x forward P/B. Industrial subsector offers mixed picture, where we are positive on warehouse space, but neutral on other property types. Continued M&amp;A activities within the Industrial subsector should boost future DPU growth in addition to organic growth</li>
<li>We underweight both Hospitality and Healthcare subsectors. Outlook for Hospitality subsector remains cloudy in near term. Nonetheless, we remain upbeat on the longer-term prospect of the subsector in anticipation of international border reopening. On the other hand, the robust valuations of Healthcare subsector and low cash-flow growth realizations could indicate over optimism in investors’ expectations</li>
<li>Our top picks: FCT (Buy; S$2.89) for its faster recovery in near term. DASIN (Buy; S$0.81) for China-focused retail play with its Greater Bay Area (GBA) exposure. We favour AAREIT (Buy; S$1.60) and AREIT (Buy; S$3.55) for their strong balance sheet, which allows them financial flexibility in pursuing new acquisitions, or embarking on development/ redevelopment/ AEI projects. Tactical investment into ECWREIT (Buy; S$0.82) on potential DPU boost from deferred DI.
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Singapore
SREITs – Reflation is working in SREIT’s favour (BUY FCT DASIN AAREIT AREIT ECWREIT)
With Singapore moving into Phase 3, economic recovery should regain momentum, albeit uneven across sectors. The accelerated timetable for US interest rate hikes has triggered yield spread compression, but also signaled a stronger and sustainable economic growth, which bodes well for trade-dependent Singapore. We reinitiate the SREIT sector with BUY. Top picks are FCT, DASIN, AAREIT and AREIT. SGREIT offers a good entry point for midterm recovery play; while ECWREIT could see a DPU boost from deferred DI.

Economy recovery provides strong tailwind for yield, albeit uneven across sectors. Following a setback from a month-long partial lockdown in Phase 2, Singapore has resume gradual reopening on 14Jun, thus setting economy back on track to recovery. However, we should see some deviation from initial expected timeline and recovery pace across sectors. In particular, tourism-related sectors are set to see further delays in recovery given the slower lifting of global travel curbs and the recent cut in capacity limits at local attractions. On the other hand, domestic-driven expenditures and outward-oriented sectors, such as retail and manufacturing, are expected to benefit from the pick-up in demand
We prefer Retail and Commercial subsectors, which should recover on stronger pace and offer attractive yields within the SREIT sector, while trading at c.1.0x forward P/B. Industrial subsector offers mixed picture, where we are positive on warehouse space, but neutral on other property types. Continued M&amp;A activities within the Industrial subsector should boost future DPU growth in addition to organic growth
We underweight both Hospitality and Healthcare subsectors. Outlook for Hospitality subsector remains cloudy in near term. Nonetheless, we remain upbeat on the longer-term prospect of the subsector in anticipation of international border reopening. On the other hand, the robust valuations of Healthcare subsector and low cash-flow growth realizations could indicate over optimism in investors’ expectations
Our top picks: FCT (Buy; S$2.89) for its faster recovery in near term. DASIN (Buy; S$0.81) for China-focused retail play with its Greater Bay Area (GBA) exposure. We favour AAREIT (Buy; S$1.60) and AREIT (Buy; S$3.55) for their strong balance sheet, which allows them financial flexibility in pursuing new acquisitions, or embarking on development/ redevelopment/ AEI projects. Tactical investment into ECWREIT (Buy; S$0.82) on potential DPU boost from deferred DI.






ASEAN Builder's Scoop (1Jul21) - SREITs Reflation Is Working in Its Favour

<h2>Singapore</h2><h3><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ascott-residence-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6560" rel="noopener">Ascott Residence Trust (ART SP)</a> acquires three Japan rental housings for JPY6.78bn (S$85.2m); DPU accretive by +2.6%</h3><ul><li>ART has entered into agreements to acquire three freehold rental housing properties in central Sapporo for a total of JPY6.78bn (S$85.2m). The three rental housing properties – City Court Kita 1 jo, Big Palace Minami 5 jo, and Alpha Square Kita 15 jo came from unrelated third parties. The average EBITDA yield of the three acquisitions is ~4%. On a FY2020 pro forma basis, this transaction is expected to be DPS accretive by +2.6% with expected completion by end Jun21. This transaction will be funded by debt and part of the net proceeds from recent divestments of Somerset Xu Hui Shanghai. The exit yield was ~2% and ART has received net proceeds of RMB953.9m (~S$196.8m) and realized a net divestment gain of RMB582.6m (~S$120.2m)</li><li>The three rental housing properties with a total of 411 units will increase ART’s portfolio in Japan to over 4,500 units in 22 serviced residences, hotels and rental housing properties in nine cities. ART will have a total of 14 rental housing properties in Japan including four in Sapporo. The three rental housing properties will be managed by a local property manager, Kabushiki Kaisha Big Service, which is also the current property manager for ART’s rental housing property in Sapporo, Big Palace Kita 14 jo.</li></ul>

SingaporeAscott Residence Trust (ART SP) acquires three Japan rental housings for JPY6.78bn (S$85.2m); DPU accretive by +2.6%ART has entered into agreements to acquire three freehold rental housing properties in central Sapporo for a total of JPY6.78bn (S$85.2m). The three rental housing properties – City Court Kita 1 jo, Big Palace Minami 5 jo, and Alpha Square Kita 15 jo came from unrelated third parties. The average EBITDA yield of the three acquisitions is ~4%. On a FY2020 pro forma basis, this transaction is expected to be DPS accretive by +2.6% with expected completion by end Jun21. This transaction will be funded by debt and part of the net proceeds from recent divestments of Somerset Xu Hui Shanghai. The exit yield was ~2% and ART has received net proceeds of RMB953.9m (~S$196.8m) and realized a net divestment gain of RMB582.6m (~S$120.2m)The three rental housing properties with a total of 411 units will increase ART’s portfolio in Japan to over 4,500 units in 22 serviced residences, hotels and rental housing properties in nine cities. ART will have a total of 14 rental housing properties in Japan including four in Sapporo. The three rental housing properties will be managed by a local property manager, Kabushiki Kaisha Big Service, which is also the current property manager for ART’s rental housing property in Sapporo, Big Palace Kita 14 jo.

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (1June21) - ART Acquires 3 JP Rental Housings

Malaysia

Mah Sing Group Berhad is a property developer. The Company's principal activity is in property development where the group develops commercial, residential (both high-rise and landed) as well as industrial properties. The Group is also involved in plastic manufacturing manufacturing and trading in Malaysia and Indonesia.

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Mah Sing Group (MSGB MK)

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (31Aug21)

EREIT non-core divestment continues; Park Hotel group losses CQ hotel mgmt; Mapletree expands UK student accommodation assets; AREIT growing AUM;...

SCCM Asia Research

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (1Jul21) - SREITs Reflation Is Working in Its Favour

SREITs reflation is working in its favour; 2Q21 resi prices up 0.9% QoQ; CAPL exits malls, expands into logistics in Japan; KREIT divests Brisbane...

SCCM Asia Research

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (1June21) - ART Acquires 3 JP Rental Housings

ART acquires 3 JP rental housings; MAGIC inaugural 3.5% perps; PropertyGuru expands further in MY, TH; MSGB on-track to meet FY21 sales target

SCCM Asia Research

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