Global Editor, Base Oil News

Iain Pocock

Global Editor

Global Base Oils and Lubricants Markets

Base Oil News

Base Oil News focuses on the interplay between fundamentals and prices in the global base oils and lubricants markets.

Baseoilnews.com combines daily, weekly and monthly base oils and lubes fundamentals data from every region of the world to build the most comprehensive and up-to-date global picture of the state of the market.

The data and analysis provide key tools to understand current market developments and opportunities and to anticipate how the market is likely to behave in the coming months.

Base oils producers, lube blenders and consumers can then better plan accordingly.

Baseoilnews.com analyses and publishes market news and data every day as it breaks.

Commodities

<ul><li>Global base oils prices hold at levels versus feedstock and competing fuel prices that sustain incentive for refiners to maintain or raise output.</li><li>Margins hold firm even at time of year when surplus supply typically starts to build amid seasonal slowdown in demand.</li><li>Firm margins could point to supply-demand fundamentals that are tighter than usual for time of year.</li></ul>

Global base oils prices hold at levels versus feedstock and competing fuel prices that sustain incentive for refiners to maintain or raise output.Margins hold firm even at time of year when surplus supply typically starts to build amid seasonal slowdown in demand.Firm margins could point to supply-demand fundamentals that are tighter than usual for time of year.

Global base oils margins outlook: Week of 25 August

<ul><li>Europe Group I brightstock price stays unusually firm relative to light and heavy neutrals so far in Q3 2025.</li><li>Europe Group I brightstock price stays unusually firm versus feedstock vacuum gasoil price so far in Q3 2025.</li><li>Europe Group I export brightstock price maintains steep premium to imported cargo prices in markets like India.</li></ul>

Europe Group I brightstock price stays unusually firm relative to light and heavy neutrals so far in Q3 2025.Europe Group I brightstock price stays unusually firm versus feedstock vacuum gasoil price so far in Q3 2025.Europe Group I export brightstock price maintains steep premium to imported cargo prices in markets like India.

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 25 August

<ul><li>Asia’s base oils price-premium to Singapore gasoil holds firm at levels that incentivize refiners to maintain or raise output.</li><li>Firm margins point to still-tight supply-demand fundamentals.</li><li>Margins hold firm even with prospect of rise in surplus base oils supply in Asia in Q3 2025 in response to pick-up in output and slowdown in demand.</li></ul>

Asia’s base oils price-premium to Singapore gasoil holds firm at levels that incentivize refiners to maintain or raise output.Firm margins point to still-tight supply-demand fundamentals.Margins hold firm even with prospect of rise in surplus base oils supply in Asia in Q3 2025 in response to pick-up in output and slowdown in demand.

Asia base oils supply outlook: Week of 25 August

<ul><li>Asia’s base oils demand likely to stay cautious even with round of stock-replenishment in coming weeks.</li><li>Asia’s lube demand likely to rise over coming months after bottoming out in month of August.</li><li>Lower demand in August likely triggers pick-up in surplus supplies in Asia-Pacific region.</li></ul>

Asia’s base oils demand likely to stay cautious even with round of stock-replenishment in coming weeks.Asia’s lube demand likely to rise over coming months after bottoming out in month of August.Lower demand in August likely triggers pick-up in surplus supplies in Asia-Pacific region.

Asia base oils demand outlook: Week of 25 August

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 13 changes a side for the NIFTY Midcap 150 Index at the September rebalance. There are many stocks with flows from passive trackers of other indices.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 7.8% resulting in a round-trip trade of INR 18.23bn (US$209m). With over US$43bn tracking the index actively, the impact on the stocks will be much larger.</li>
<li>The adds to the index have outperformed the deletes over the last 5 months and there has been noticeable outperformance in the last couple of weeks.</li>
</ul>


There are 13 changes a side for the NIFTY Midcap 150 Index at the September rebalance. There are many stocks with flows from passive trackers of other indices.
Estimated one-way turnover is 7.8% resulting in a round-trip trade of INR 18.23bn (US$209m). With over US$43bn tracking the index actively, the impact on the stocks will be much larger.
The adds to the index have outperformed the deletes over the last 5 months and there has been noticeable outperformance in the last couple of weeks.


NIFTY MIDCAP150 Index Rebalance: 13 Changes a Side; Lots of Overlap with Other Index Flow

India

Mangalore Refinery and Petrochemicals Limited refines oil and produces petroleum and petrochemicals. The Company is a subsidiary of ONGC. Mangalore Refinery operates a refinery in Mangalore city that produces premium diesel and unleaded petrol of high octane.

Mangalore Refinery and Petrochemicals Limited (MRPL IN)

Mangalore Refinery and Petrochemicals Limited

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Mangalore Refinery and Petrochemicals Limited (MRPL IN)

Global base oils margins outlook: Week of 25 August

Global base oils prices hold at levels versus feedstock and competing fuel prices that sustain incentive for refiners to maintain or raise...

Base Oil News

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 25 August

Europe Group I brightstock price stays unusually firm relative to light and heavy neutrals so far in Q3 2025. Europe Group I brightstock price...

Base Oil News

Asia base oils supply outlook: Week of 25 August

Asia’s base oils price-premium to Singapore gasoil holds firm at levels that incentivize refiners to maintain or raise output. Firm margins point...

Base Oil News

Asia base oils demand outlook: Week of 25 August

Asia’s base oils demand likely to stay cautious even with round of stock-replenishment in coming weeks. Asia’s lube demand likely to rise over...

Base Oil News

NIFTY MIDCAP150 Index Rebalance: 13 Changes a Side; Lots of Overlap with Other Index Flow

There are 13 changes for the index in Sep. Estimated one-way turnover is 7.8% and the round-trip trade is INR 18.2bn. There are many stocks with...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)