Co-founder & Managing Director, Marketnomix 

Rajan Govil

Co-founder & Managing Director

Marketnomix 

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>Growth outlook remains tilted to the downside.</li><li> Fiscal and Monetary Policy have become confusing amidst a lack of meaningful structural reforms.</li><li>Room for further rate cuts on easing inflation and as demonetization hurts growth; downside risk to overvalued rupee with slow growth and rise in US yields.</li></ul>

Growth outlook remains tilted to the downside. Fiscal and Monetary Policy have become confusing amidst a lack of meaningful structural reforms.Room for further rate cuts on easing inflation and as demonetization hurts growth; downside risk to overvalued rupee with slow growth and rise in US yields.

Specialist in Indian Banking and Economic Research

Hemindra Hazari

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

The Index of Industrial Production (IIP) for October 2016 was announced on the evening of December 9, 2016. As against the consensus expectation of 1% yoy growth, the IIP contracted by 1.9%. While the continuous collapse of capital goods production has been consistently highlighted by the analysts and media, the significance of the poor performance of the higher weightage consumer non-durable (staples) has been largely ignored. While capital goods tends to be glamourous as it is directly…

The Index of Industrial Production (IIP) for October 2016 was announced on the evening of December 9, 2016. As against the consensus expectation of 1% yoy growth, the IIP contracted by 1.9%. While the continuous collapse of capital goods production has been consistently highlighted by the analysts and media, the significance of the poor performance of the higher weightage consumer non-durable (staples) has been largely ignored. While capital goods tends to be glamourous as it is directly…

Asia Economist and CEO, Centennial Asia Advisors

Manu Bhaskaran

Asia Economist and CEO

Centennial Asia Advisors

At Centennial Asia Advisors, we tell it like it is. We have no vested interests, no need for a China wall, and no reason to skew our outlook any other way. With over 30 years experience covering Asia’s political economy, you can be sure our conclusions and analyses are based on the unadulterated facts. Through years of fine-tuning our research methodologies, we deliver a quality of macroeconomic analysis few other houses can match.

Centennial Asia Advisors is an independent research and advisory firm that works with governments, multilateral institutions, financial firms and leading MNCs.

Economic Policy and Strategic Advisors

On 8 November 2016, the Indian Government shocked the economy with a radical decision to withdraw INR500 and INR1000 notes from circulation and substitute the notes with new INR500 and INR2000 notes. The move has been applauded by international observers who have for years condemned India's blind eye towards its 'black economy'. However, in India, the demonetization exercise has gained little popularity as the logistical challenges in replacing the ineffectual cash is significantly disrupting…

On 8 November 2016, the Indian Government shocked the economy with a radical decision to withdraw INR500 and INR1000 notes from circulation and substitute the notes with new INR500 and INR2000 notes. The move has been applauded by international observers who have for years condemned India's blind eye towards its 'black economy'. However, in India, the demonetization exercise has gained little popularity as the logistical challenges in replacing the ineffectual cash is significantly disrupting…

Negative Impact of India's Demonetization Not to Be Underestimated

Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation came in at 6.1% y-o-y in July 2016 compared to a 5.8% y-o-y rise in June 2016– the highest rate since August 2014. Inflation continued to be driven mainly by a sharp rise in food prices, especially vegetables and pulses. Inflation has moved up since reaching a low of 4.9% y-o-y in March 2016 and has averaged 5.9% over the 3-month period ended July 2016.Meanwhile, at 6.1%, India’s CPI inflation lies beyond the RBI’s target band of 2-6%, this after two years of…

Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation came in at 6.1% y-o-y in July 2016 compared to a 5.8% y-o-y rise in June 2016– the highest rate since August 2014. Inflation continued to be driven mainly by a sharp rise in food prices, especially vegetables and pulses. Inflation has moved up since reaching a low of 4.9% y-o-y in March 2016 and has averaged 5.9% over the 3-month period ended July 2016.Meanwhile, at 6.1%, India’s CPI inflation lies beyond the RBI’s target band of 2-6%, this after two years of…

INDIA: Reserve Bank of India's Inflation Targeting Regime Fails to Curb Inflation

Asia focused research insights & advisory, Asia Advisors

Vinay Patel

Asia focused research insights & advisory

Asia Advisors

Asia Advisors is an independent financial advisory and research firm working closely with corporates and institutions to provide consulting solutions & research insights. We provide advisory services including capital solutions, business strategy and investment insights.
Firm is headed by Vinay Patel who has close to two decades of experience in research and business development at large, international investment banks such as HSBC and ICICI Securities. Led research efforts in areas of Macroeconomics, Asset Allocation & Investment Strategy for close to a decade in global & domestic research teams. As a business head in Singapore, advised top global investment management firms & Portfolio managers in Asia for India related investments.
Vinay was recently joined by Swapnil Manish, an investment banker and ex-ecommerce entrepreneur with more than 12 years of experience. Swapnil was the TMT banker at BNP Paribas and was part of several large M&A and ECM transactions (Bharti-Zain, Bharti Infratel IPO, Schneider-Zicom among several others). He's also had a stint as an ecommerce entrepreneur having launched & led Mumbai's first online grocery player.

The Indian government has cleared a key step in the implementation of Goods &amp; Services tax (GST) as it ensured acceptance of GST bill by Upper House of Parliament today. The Bill had been stalled in Upper House for over a year due to which the GST implementation got considerably delayed. GST reform is definitely a landmark legislation in Indian tax reform process that started with liberalisation in 1991 and is expected to benefit the economy (expected positive impact between 1-1.5% of GDP over…

The Indian government has cleared a key step in the implementation of Goods &amp; Services tax (GST) as it ensured acceptance of GST bill by Upper House of Parliament today. The Bill had been stalled in Upper House for over a year due to which the GST implementation got considerably delayed. GST reform is definitely a landmark legislation in Indian tax reform process that started with liberalisation in 1991 and is expected to benefit the economy (expected positive impact between 1-1.5% of GDP over…

Landmark GST Legislation (India): Upper House Finally Approves; Next Steps & Impact (Inflationary??)

India

Marico Limited manufactures consumer products and services in the beauty and wellness space. The Company is known for its presence in the following categories: Coconut Oil, Hair Oils, Anti-lice Treatment, Premium Refined Edible Oils and Fabric Care. Marico Limited is present in the Skin Care Services segment through Kaya Skin Clinics.

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Marico Ltd (MRCO IN)

Marketnomix Insights : India Outlook

Growth outlook remains tilted to the downside. Fiscal and Monetary Policy have become confusing amidst a lack of meaningful structural...

Rajan Govil

Bleak Future for Consumer Staples

The Index of Industrial Production (IIP) for October 2016 was announced on the evening of December 9, 2016. As against the consensus expectation of...

Hemindra Hazari

Negative Impact of India's Demonetization Not to Be Underestimated

On 8 November 2016, the Indian Government shocked the economy with a radical decision to withdraw INR500 and INR1000 notes from circulation and...

Manu Bhaskaran

INDIA: Reserve Bank of India's Inflation Targeting Regime Fails to Curb Inflation

Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation came in at 6.1% y-o-y in July 2016 compared to a 5.8% y-o-y rise in June 2016– the highest rate since August...

Rajan Govil

Landmark GST Legislation (India): Upper House Finally Approves; Next Steps & Impact (Inflationary??)

The Indian government has cleared a key step in the implementation of Goods & Services tax (GST) as it ensured acceptance of GST bill by Upper...

Asia Advisors

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