Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/medtronic-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14982:1" rel="noopener">Medtronic Plc (MDT US)</a> reported 6% YoY revenue growth to $8.5B, ahead of expectations, driven by procedure volume recovery, supply improvements, and innovative product introductions.</li>
<li>Medtronic intends to acquire Korea-based <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eoflow-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36100:1" rel="noopener">Eoflow (294090 KS)</a>, manufacturer of a tubeless, wearable, full-disposable insulin delivery device, for $738M. The transaction is expected to close in 2H23.  </li>
<li>Medtronic guided for FY24 adjusted EPS of $5.00–5.10, including ~6% unfavorable impact from Fx. The company forecasts 4.0–4.5% organic revenue growth in FY24, accelerating from 2.1% in FY23.</li>
</ul>



Medtronic Plc (MDT US) reported 6% YoY revenue growth to $8.5B, ahead of expectations, driven by procedure volume recovery, supply improvements, and innovative product introductions.
Medtronic intends to acquire Korea-based Eoflow (294090 KS), manufacturer of a tubeless, wearable, full-disposable insulin delivery device, for $738M. The transaction is expected to close in 2H23.  
Medtronic guided for FY24 adjusted EPS of $5.00–5.10, including ~6% unfavorable impact from Fx. The company forecasts 4.0–4.5% organic revenue growth in FY24, accelerating from 2.1% in FY23.


Medtronic Plc (MDT US): Strong Q4 Result; New Acquisition Announced; Fx Headwind to Impact FY24

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we provide the details of Medtronic's M&amp;A and tender offer for Eoflow. </li>
<li>Currently, Eoflow is trading at 28,050 won which is 6.5% lower than the tender offer price of 30,000 won.</li>
<li>Eoflow's share price is currently comfortably below 30,000 won and we believe this deal has 95-98%+ probability of getting completed within the current M&amp;A framework.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we provide the details of Medtronic's M&amp;A and tender offer for Eoflow. 
Currently, Eoflow is trading at 28,050 won which is 6.5% lower than the tender offer price of 30,000 won.
Eoflow's share price is currently comfortably below 30,000 won and we believe this deal has 95-98%+ probability of getting completed within the current M&amp;A framework.


Medtronic's M&A, Tender Offer, and Taking Private of Eoflow

Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

<ul>
<li>The likelihood of the merger review not being approved appears to be low. Additionally, the purchase of only 3.8M additional shares is required, leading to a negligible cancellation risk.</li>
<li>It is particularly noteworthy that the offering price of ₩30,000, targeting minority shareholders, may be adjusted upward depending on future share price increases.</li>
<li>While there is a potential allocation risk, as Medtronic aims to delist the company, they are unlikely to lower the target quantity in the tender offer to a risky level.</li>
</ul>


The likelihood of the merger review not being approved appears to be low. Additionally, the purchase of only 3.8M additional shares is required, leading to a negligible cancellation risk.
It is particularly noteworthy that the offering price of ₩30,000, targeting minority shareholders, may be adjusted upward depending on future share price increases.
While there is a potential allocation risk, as Medtronic aims to delist the company, they are unlikely to lower the target quantity in the tender offer to a risky level.


EOFlow Tender Offer: Preconditions for Closure, Cancellation Risk, & Targetable Allocation

Equity Long-Short Analyst

Pyari Menon

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The three companies we write about this week are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/raytheon-technologies-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6453:1" rel="noopener">Raytheon Technologies (RTX US)</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beiersdorf-ag" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21588:1" rel="noopener">Beiersdorf AG (BEI GR)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/king-slide-works-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7130:1" rel="noopener">King Slide Works (2059 TT)</a> 
</li>
<li>For the twenty-six weeks since inception ended 19 May the combined innovation portfolio was +2.5%, versus DJIA-0.9%, S&amp;P500+5.7%, Nasdaq+13.6%, Russell2000 -4.1%, MSCI-ACWI-ETF+6.9%, S&amp;P midcap 400 -2.2%, all in US$ terms</li>
<li>Small-Cap (+4.1%) versus Russell2000 (-4.1%) and midcap (+1.9%) versus S&amp;P400 (-2.2%) continues to outperform benchmarks, but the omission of mega-tech names has hurt large-cap portfolio (+2.6%) versus S&amp;P500 (+5.7%) . </li>
</ul>


The three companies we write about this week are Raytheon Technologies (RTX US)Beiersdorf AG (BEI GR) and King Slide Works (2059 TT) 

For the twenty-six weeks since inception ended 19 May the combined innovation portfolio was +2.5%, versus DJIA-0.9%, S&amp;P500+5.7%, Nasdaq+13.6%, Russell2000 -4.1%, MSCI-ACWI-ETF+6.9%, S&amp;P midcap 400 -2.2%, all in US$ terms
Small-Cap (+4.1%) versus Russell2000 (-4.1%) and midcap (+1.9%) versus S&amp;P400 (-2.2%) continues to outperform benchmarks, but the omission of mega-tech names has hurt large-cap portfolio (+2.6%) versus S&amp;P500 (+5.7%) . 


The Innovations Portfolios - Week Twenty Six

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

VanEck Gold Miners ETF/USA / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>The SPX made a high of 4169 last week, tagging our 4165-4200 resistance range. We still believe 4165-4200 will cap upside in 2023, with a reach to 4300-4325 also possible.</li>
<li>Considering limited upside in both scenarios, and with the seasonably weaker "sell in May and go away" period approaching, we continue to recommend higher allocations to defensives</li>
<li>This includes Utilities (XLU, RYU), Consumer Staples (XLP), Health Care (XLV, PPH), and gold miners (GDX).</li>
</ul>


The SPX made a high of 4169 last week, tagging our 4165-4200 resistance range. We still believe 4165-4200 will cap upside in 2023, with a reach to 4300-4325 also possible.
Considering limited upside in both scenarios, and with the seasonably weaker "sell in May and go away" period approaching, we continue to recommend higher allocations to defensives
This includes Utilities (XLU, RYU), Consumer Staples (XLP), Health Care (XLV, PPH), and gold miners (GDX).


"Sell in May" Another Reason to Be Defensive; Value to Lead?; Buys in Medical Devices, Footwear

United States

Medtronic, PLC develops therapeutic and diagnostic medical products. The Company's principal products include those for bradycardia pacing, tachyarrhythmia management, atrial fibrillation management, heart failure management, heart valve replacement, malignant and non-malignant pain, and movement disorders. Medtronic's products are sold worldwide.

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Medtronic (MDT UN)

Medtronic Plc (MDT US): Strong Q4 Result; New Acquisition Announced; Fx Headwind to Impact FY24

Medtronic reported strong Q4 result, with revenue and EPS beating expectations. The company is acquiring EOFlow for $738M. FY24 EPS is guided at...

Tina Banerjee

Medtronic's M&A, Tender Offer, and Taking Private of Eoflow

Eoflow's share price is currently comfortably below 30,000 won and we believe this deal has 95-98%+ probability of getting completed within the...

Douglas Kim

EOFlow Tender Offer: Preconditions for Closure, Cancellation Risk, & Targetable Allocation

This post gives comprehensive information about the tender offer to be made by Medtronic for EOFlow, including a discussion on the cancellation...

Sanghyun Park

The Innovations Portfolios - Week Twenty Six

The small-Cap (+4.1%) and midcap (+1.9%) portfolios continues to outperform respective benchmarks, but the willful omission of mega-tech names has...

Pyari Menon

"Sell in May" Another Reason to Be Defensive; Value to Lead?; Buys in Medical Devices, Footwear

"Sell in May" Another Reason to Be Defensive; Value Poised to Outperform?; Watching Semiconductors $SOXX $XSD and Banks $KRE $KBE for breakage....

Vermilion Research

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