Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

We doubt there are many people who believe that China’s banks have especially safe corporate exposure. Few believe the low 1.8% NPL ratio that China’s banks report. So when NPLs and credit costs ratchet higher, it will hurt, but will not be totally unexpected. Singapore is the opposite extreme, and this is what is of real interest: where there is a giant gap between perception and reality. We turn to Google as a proxy on what the world believes.We note the number of results for the search “China…

We doubt there are many people who believe that China’s banks have especially safe corporate exposure. Few believe the low 1.8% NPL ratio that China’s banks report. So when NPLs and credit costs ratchet higher, it will hurt, but will not be totally unexpected. Singapore is the opposite extreme, and this is what is of real interest: where there is a giant gap between perception and reality. We turn to Google as a proxy on what the world believes.We note the number of results for the search “China…

Singapore Banks: A Far Greater Perception-Reality Gap Compared with China Banks

We are numb to the concept of there being just three major banks in Singapore. And while this may to true, there are in fact at least 48 banks with some financial statement data available. A look here, at the uncovered, unknown, hidden banks, may offer insights as to how high NPLs can go. It puts a whole new perspective on the 1-2% figures we see for mainstream banks.DNB Asia tops the charts in Developed Asia for the highest NPL ratio of any bank. For its most recent data at 2015, its NPL ratio…

We are numb to the concept of there being just three major banks in Singapore. And while this may to true, there are in fact at least 48 banks with some financial statement data available. A look here, at the uncovered, unknown, hidden banks, may offer insights as to how high NPLs can go. It puts a whole new perspective on the 1-2% figures we see for mainstream banks.DNB Asia tops the charts in Developed Asia for the highest NPL ratio of any bank. For its most recent data at 2015, its NPL ratio…

Asia's Leading Online Property Group, PropertyGuru

Bjorn Sprengers

Asia's Leading Online Property Group

PropertyGuru

PropertyGuru Pte Ltd owns and operates a real estate property information website. The Company offers facilities to search for condominiums, apartments, Housing and Development Board (HDB) flats, serviced apartments, houses, and commercial properties to rent and buy in Singapore.

In this insight, we run the numbers for the real estate market in Singapore’s city-fringe, and highlight some growth areas to take note of:<ul><li>More affordable than city centre homes and containing a great mix of locations, the RCR is popular with many home buyers and tenants.  </li><li>Transaction volumes are starting to pick up in the city fringe, even as prices continue to slide, suggesting that prices will likely bottom out soon.  </li><li>Rental volumes have continued climbing, even as competition and a weaker market have taken a toll on rental prices.  </li><li>Key growth areas in the RCR include Geylang, Little India and Paya Lebar</li></ul>

In this insight, we run the numbers for the real estate market in Singapore’s city-fringe, and highlight some growth areas to take note of:More affordable than city centre homes and containing a great mix of locations, the RCR is popular with many home buyers and tenants.  Transaction volumes are starting to pick up in the city fringe, even as prices continue to slide, suggesting that prices will likely bottom out soon.  Rental volumes have continued climbing, even as competition and a weaker market have taken a toll on rental prices.  Key growth areas in the RCR include Geylang, Little India and Paya Lebar

Once just a tourist destination for the area’s history and culture, Kampong Glam has become one of Singapore’s hippest enclaves. Part of the state’s plans for the Ophir-Rochor Corridor, the potential in this often overlooked region is great. Here’s our Guru View:<ul><li>Kampong Glam is part of the rejuvenation taking place in the Ophir-Rochor corridor, and stands to benefit from a number of developments in the area</li><li>A number of projects in the Beach Raod area have en bloc potential, and investors should consider carefully</li><li>It is likely that developers are keeping an eye on the reception for DUO and South Beach before committing to more projects in the area</li><li>Volumes and transaction prices for Q2 2016 to date have reached one of its lowest points in the past 18 quarters</li></ul>

Once just a tourist destination for the area’s history and culture, Kampong Glam has become one of Singapore’s hippest enclaves. Part of the state’s plans for the Ophir-Rochor Corridor, the potential in this often overlooked region is great. Here’s our Guru View:Kampong Glam is part of the rejuvenation taking place in the Ophir-Rochor corridor, and stands to benefit from a number of developments in the areaA number of projects in the Beach Raod area have en bloc potential, and investors should consider carefullyIt is likely that developers are keeping an eye on the reception for DUO and South Beach before committing to more projects in the areaVolumes and transaction prices for Q2 2016 to date have reached one of its lowest points in the past 18 quarters

Singapore Property: The Rejuvenation of Beach Road

Sentiment in the strata commercial property sales market is expected to remain tepid this year. Already, strata retail property transactions in the past two quarters have been subdued compared to those recorded last year. Citing various existing challenges and headwinds, a further decline in transactions are expected for the rest of the year.However, despite current market conditions, the strata retail scene still presents opportunities to buyers on the lookout, especially with a few strata retail units entering the market in the past six months.In this insight, we look at the strata retail market and see what headwinds it currently faces, and what lies ahead in a seemingly pitfall-plagued market segment.

Sentiment in the strata commercial property sales market is expected to remain tepid this year. Already, strata retail property transactions in the past two quarters have been subdued compared to those recorded last year. Citing various existing challenges and headwinds, a further decline in transactions are expected for the rest of the year.However, despite current market conditions, the strata retail scene still presents opportunities to buyers on the lookout, especially with a few strata retail units entering the market in the past six months.In this insight, we look at the strata retail market and see what headwinds it currently faces, and what lies ahead in a seemingly pitfall-plagued market segment.

Singapore

The MSCI Singapore Free Index is a free-float market capitalization weighted equity index. Since 12/01/1999, MSCI removed the "Free" designation from this index - this index now shares the same members and weights as the MSCI Singapore Index (MXSG Index), but continues to be calculated to be consistent with the index levels before this date.

MSCI Singapore Free Index (SIMSCI INDEX)

Singapore Banks: A Far Greater Perception-Reality Gap Compared with China Banks

We doubt there are many people who believe that China’s banks have especially safe corporate exposure. Few believe the low 1.8% NPL ratio that...

Daniel Tabbush

A Bank with 22% NPLs in Singapore?

We are numb to the concept of there being just three major banks in Singapore. And while this may to true, there are in fact at least 48 banks with...

Daniel Tabbush

Singapore Property: City-Fringe Living

In this insight, we run the numbers for the real estate market in Singapore’s city-fringe, and highlight some growth areas to take note of: More...

PropertyGuru

Singapore Property: The Rejuvenation of Beach Road

Once just a tourist destination for the area’s history and culture, Kampong Glam has become one of Singapore’s hippest enclaves. Part of the...

PropertyGuru

Strata Retail Woes

Sentiment in the strata commercial property sales market is expected to remain tepid this year. Already, strata retail property transactions in the...

PropertyGuru