High Quality Stock Setups, Weekly Stock Bull Finder

Weekly Stock Bull Finder

High Quality Stock Setups

Finding high potential stock setups on quality companies

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Currently, there is a tug of war between economists and Wall St. banks debating about the Federal Reserve’s next interest rate move and how fast inflation will abate to allow the Federal Reserve to ease off its tightening cycle. </li><li>The business news media seems almost obsessed with this debate and the latest datapoint to prove one side or another’s argument. </li><li>The debate continues over the “R” word (recession) and whether the US economy is now in one.</li></ul>

Currently, there is a tug of war between economists and Wall St. banks debating about the Federal Reserve’s next interest rate move and how fast inflation will abate to allow the Federal Reserve to ease off its tightening cycle. The business news media seems almost obsessed with this debate and the latest datapoint to prove one side or another’s argument. The debate continues over the “R” word (recession) and whether the US economy is now in one.

<ul>
<li>The Ukraine/Russia war has been the significant geopolitical event this year that has dominated market headlines with the different twists and turns of sanctions, threats, and political press conferences that have led to market moving changes and positioning in certain sectors and their related stocks.</li>
<li>There is now emerging evidence that the market has digested the “war premium” for many of these post-invasion moves and many areas are now breaking down in the face of concerns over macro GDP growth.</li>
<li>One of the more significant areas impacted by the invasion of Ukraine was the agricultural sector.</li>
</ul>


The Ukraine/Russia war has been the significant geopolitical event this year that has dominated market headlines with the different twists and turns of sanctions, threats, and political press conferences that have led to market moving changes and positioning in certain sectors and their related stocks.
There is now emerging evidence that the market has digested the “war premium” for many of these post-invasion moves and many areas are now breaking down in the face of concerns over macro GDP growth.
One of the more significant areas impacted by the invasion of Ukraine was the agricultural sector.


Macroeconomic and Investing, The Macro Compass

Alfonso Peccatiello (Alf)

Macroeconomic and Investing

The Macro Compass

Actionable investment ideas and unique global macro insights. From the desk of a former Head of $20 bn Investment Portfolio straight to your inbox.

Actionable Investment Ideas

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>In yesterday’s Senate Banking Committee hearing, Powell brought his hawkish stance to new highs: a strong economy underpinned by healthy levels of consumers’ savings, 100 bps hikes not off the table, and to top it off a good likelihood the Fed will actively sell (!) mortgage-backed securities from their balance sheet.</li><li>Well, there is a big news: for the first time in 8 months, the bond market isn’t compounding Powell’s hawkish rhetoric.</li><li>Instead, fixed income investors have become loud enough we can almost hear them ask one big question: a recession is becoming increasingly likely, so what are you going to do about it J-Pow?</li></ul>

In yesterday’s Senate Banking Committee hearing, Powell brought his hawkish stance to new highs: a strong economy underpinned by healthy levels of consumers’ savings, 100 bps hikes not off the table, and to top it off a good likelihood the Fed will actively sell (!) mortgage-backed securities from their balance sheet.Well, there is a big news: for the first time in 8 months, the bond market isn’t compounding Powell’s hawkish rhetoric.Instead, fixed income investors have become loud enough we can almost hear them ask one big question: a recession is becoming increasingly likely, so what are you going to do about it J-Pow?

Founder, Market Thinker

Mark Tinker

Founder

Market Thinker

Mark Tinker has over 35 years experience as an investor, market strategist and economist. Having spent more than 20 years as a sell side strategist and being top rated on numerous occasions and surveys he moved to investment management in 2006 to run global equity portfolios in London and subsequently moved to Hong Kong in 2013 to help establish an Investment Management business for a top 20 international asset manager. He first started writing investment weeklies for his employers in 1989, developing a style characterised under the title Market Thinking and has been a regular commentator and presenter on CNBC, Bloomberg and other business channels, where his approach of rationalising market behaviour rather than making short term predictions on high frequency market data provides a welcome balance to his client audience.

Making Sense of the Narrative

<ul><li>The market fall this year has been steady and relentless rather than a panic crash, and last month the Sell in May mantra cut through and markets switched to bear market behaviour of selling rallies and not buying dips</li><li>Much of this we believe has been associated with leveraged structures unwinding, combined with fund redemptions, especially in tech, reversing the ‘upside crash’ of last year</li><li>Confidence is picking up slightly, but the Fed is key, in particular the extent to which it actively want the markets lower</li></ul>

The market fall this year has been steady and relentless rather than a panic crash, and last month the Sell in May mantra cut through and markets switched to bear market behaviour of selling rallies and not buying dipsMuch of this we believe has been associated with leveraged structures unwinding, combined with fund redemptions, especially in tech, reversing the ‘upside crash’ of last yearConfidence is picking up slightly, but the Fed is key, in particular the extent to which it actively want the markets lower

House of Market Insights, Market Radar

Market Radar

House of Market Insights

Quick market updates and lot of ideas for your investments from a multi-asset portfolio manager working for a family office.

Quick Market Updates

Technical Analysis

Nasdaq-100 Stock Index / Technical Analysis

<ul><li>Nasdaq index is one of the biggest losers of the year: it is down almost 20% YTD. Now the tech index lies on a very interesting support</li><li>In case the index will go below the support 12,000 could be the next interesting level. In any case I see the current price more as a buy area</li><li>After one year of trading in a rectangle, finally Amazon made a breakout, but to the downside (after disappointing earnings and guidance). Not a great signal, and the stock will probably suffer for a while</li></ul>

Nasdaq index is one of the biggest losers of the year: it is down almost 20% YTD. Now the tech index lies on a very interesting supportIn case the index will go below the support 12,000 could be the next interesting level. In any case I see the current price more as a buy areaAfter one year of trading in a rectangle, finally Amazon made a breakout, but to the downside (after disappointing earnings and guidance). Not a great signal, and the stock will probably suffer for a while

United States

The NASDAQ-100 Index is a modified capitalization-weighted index of the 100 largest and most active non-financial domestic and international issues listed on the NASDAQ. No security can have more than a 24% weighting. The index was developed with a base value of 125 as of February 1, 1985. Prior to December 21,1998 the Nasdaq 100 was a cap-weighted index.

Nasdaq-100 Stock Index (NDX INDEX)

Weekly Stock Bullfinder - Week of 8/8

The business news media seems almost obsessed with this debate and the latest datapoint to prove one side or another’s argument.

Weekly Stock Bull Finder

Weekly Stock Bullfinder - Week of 6/27

The Ukraine/Russia war has been the significant geopolitical event this year that has dominated market headlines with the different twists and...

Weekly Stock Bull Finder

Time To Buy Bonds?

In yesterday’s Senate Banking Committee hearing, Powell brought his hawkish stance to new highs: a strong economy underpinned by healthy levels of...

Alfonso Peccatiello (Alf)

June Market Thinking

Slightly More Confident The market fall this year has been steady and relentless rather than a panic crash, and last month the Sell in May mantra...

Mark Tinker

Charts to Watch #4

Nasdaq index is one of the biggest losers of the year: it is down almost 20% YTD. Now the tech index lies on a very interesting support

Market Radar