Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

Nasdaq-100 Stock Index / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>NDX has been a top US short from 15,200  but we are nearing our 13,600/500 downside target where we want to reduce short exposure.</li>
<li>Near NDX sell resistance resides at 14,400 and 14,700. Our macro view for April remains to sell rally attempts.</li>
<li>For now, the NDX decline is starting to look stretched as the SPX nears minor support at 4,340/20 where we look to trade a bounce sequence.</li>
</ul>


NDX has been a top US short from 15,200  but we are nearing our 13,600/500 downside target where we want to reduce short exposure.
Near NDX sell resistance resides at 14,400 and 14,700. Our macro view for April remains to sell rally attempts.
For now, the NDX decline is starting to look stretched as the SPX nears minor support at 4,340/20 where we look to trade a bounce sequence.


Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

US Treasury (10 Yr Generic) / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We have discussed our expectations for rising rates for quite some time, but the 10-year yield is now testing 40-year downtrend resistance which comes in at 2.80-2.82%.</li>
<li>If there was ever a time for interest rates to move lower, this is where it needs to happen -- and it would be fitting, considering extremely bearish bond sentiment.</li>
<li>On the other hand, if the 10-year Treasury is above 2.82% we see a secular reversal where rising rates would be the new normal</li>
</ul>


We have discussed our expectations for rising rates for quite some time, but the 10-year yield is now testing 40-year downtrend resistance which comes in at 2.80-2.82%.
If there was ever a time for interest rates to move lower, this is where it needs to happen -- and it would be fitting, considering extremely bearish bond sentiment.
On the other hand, if the 10-year Treasury is above 2.82% we see a secular reversal where rising rates would be the new normal


10-Year Treasury Yield Testing 40-Year Resistance; Upgrading Health Care to Overweight

House of Market Insights, Market Radar

Market Radar

House of Market Insights

Quick market updates and lot of ideas for your investments from a multi-asset portfolio manager working for a family office.

Quick Market Updates

<ul>
<li>Nasdaq 100 is trading below the 200-day MA since mid-January. Now the index is trying to go back above the MA for the second time in a couple of months.</li>
<li>Russell 2000 index did nothing in the last 15 months. For one year it traded in a rectangle, than it broke to the downside, a clear bearish signal.</li>
<li>Semis is one of the hottest sector of the moment, as the chip demand increased heavily in the last two years.</li>
</ul>


Nasdaq 100 is trading below the 200-day MA since mid-January. Now the index is trying to go back above the MA for the second time in a couple of months.
Russell 2000 index did nothing in the last 15 months. For one year it traded in a rectangle, than it broke to the downside, a clear bearish signal.
Semis is one of the hottest sector of the moment, as the chip demand increased heavily in the last two years.


<ul>
<li>Our base case called for a weak US first half of March, low  March 15/16 to trade risk into end of March peak, raised short bets for a weaker April.</li>
<li>US short focus - Russell 2000's bearish a-b-c flat pattern to break lower. NDX met our 15,200 ideal short zone with a fresh underperform phase due in April.</li>
<li>RTY broke 2,040 support while the NDX tested the key 14,400 line in the sand. SPX 4,470  C wave or deeper decline line is under pressure (monitor).</li>
</ul>


Our base case called for a weak US first half of March, low  March 15/16 to trade risk into end of March peak, raised short bets for a weaker April.
US short focus - Russell 2000's bearish a-b-c flat pattern to break lower. NDX met our 15,200 ideal short zone with a fresh underperform phase due in April.
RTY broke 2,040 support while the NDX tested the key 14,400 line in the sand. SPX 4,470  C wave or deeper decline line is under pressure (monitor).


<ul>
<li>Risk to reward in the US is less favorable above 4,500/600. Preferred shorts are in Europe and weaker parts of Asia. SPX 4,580 is pivotal near term.</li>
<li>Cycle: Call for more bullish cycle from March 16 (bottom on the 15th) into the 22nd, then expect a dip/rally into late March ahead of April weakness/volatility</li>
<li>We outline key pivotal levels in NDX and RTY that set the stage for a fresh down cycle.</li>
</ul>


Risk to reward in the US is less favorable above 4,500/600. Preferred shorts are in Europe and weaker parts of Asia. SPX 4,580 is pivotal near term.
Cycle: Call for more bullish cycle from March 16 (bottom on the 15th) into the 22nd, then expect a dip/rally into late March ahead of April weakness/volatility
We outline key pivotal levels in NDX and RTY that set the stage for a fresh down cycle.


United States

The NASDAQ-100 Index is a modified capitalization-weighted index of the 100 largest and most active non-financial domestic and international issues listed on the NASDAQ. No security can have more than a 24% weighting. The index was developed with a base value of 125 as of February 1, 1985. Prior to December 21,1998 the Nasdaq 100 was a cap-weighted index.

Nasdaq-100 Stock Index (NDX INDEX)

NDX Support to Reduce Short

NDX has been a top US short from 15,200 but we are nearing our 13,600/500 downside target where we want to reduce short exposure.

Thomas Schroeder

10-Year Treasury Yield Testing 40-Year Resistance; Upgrading Health Care to Overweight

10-year Treas yield $TNX is now testing 40-year downtrend resistance at 2.8-2.82%. If interest rates are to move lower, now would be the time,...

Vermilion Research

Charts to Watch.

Nasdaq 100 is trading below the 200-day MA since mid-January. Now the index is trying to go back above the MA for the second time in a couple of...

Market Radar

RTY and NDX Top US Shorts

Our base case called for a weak US first half of March, low March 15/16 to trade risk into end of March peak, raised short bets for a weaker April.

Thomas Schroeder

SPX 4,580 Pivotal Ahead of Weak April

Risk to reward in the US is less favorable above 4,500/600. Preferred shorts are in Europe and weaker parts of Asia. SPX 4,580 is pivotal near term.

Thomas Schroeder