Hao Wang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<p>This is a quick update from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/be-aggressive-in-q1-2016-and-be-defensive-through-rest-of-2016" target="_blank">my start-of-the year call</a> for a weaker dollar and rally in commodities in Q1 and a bit of extension but reversal in Q2. Almost exactly as I wrote, the dollar (DXY) has weakened 7.9% since the high of 99.83 at the start of the year to 91.92 in early May, commodities (SPGSCI Index) has rallied 35.7% during the same period. China, which has been a center of risk since last August, has clearly seen stabilization in economy, capital outflow, and stock markets. </p><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/008/126/original/2.png?1463320298" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="8126"><figcaption class="figcaption">Dollar</figcaption></figure>…

This is a quick update from my start-of-the year call for a weaker dollar and rally in commodities in Q1 and a bit of extension but reversal in Q2. Almost exactly as I wrote, the dollar (DXY) has weakened 7.9% since the high of 99.83 at the start of the year to 91.92 in early May, commodities (SPGSCI Index) has rallied 35.7% during the same period. China, which has been a center of risk since last August, has clearly seen stabilization in economy, capital outflow, and stock markets. Dollar…

Be Prepared for a Stronger Dollar in 2nd Half

Transport Sector, China and Asia-focused Research

Charles De Trenck

Equity Bottom-Up

<p>In this note: 1) some interesting reversals, 2) some updates on stock pick performances, 3) other updates and items of note. A few enclosures added.</p><p>Of all the interesting things that happened over the last few weeks, to me, were two reversals most investors would have not gone for until they happened. Ultimately, it was a story about the market expecting key commodities to retreat, only to find the reverse.</p><p>Interesting piece from Rickards last week is discussed.</p>

In this note: 1) some interesting reversals, 2) some updates on stock pick performances, 3) other updates and items of note. A few enclosures added.Of all the interesting things that happened over the last few weeks, to me, were two reversals most investors would have not gone for until they happened. Ultimately, it was a story about the market expecting key commodities to retreat, only to find the reverse.Interesting piece from Rickards last week is discussed.

Interesting Counter-Intuitive Reversals Last Few Weeks (Breakouts…Positions…Key Notes)

Information Technology Consultant

Ishita Jain

<p>Unlike gold and oil, Lithium is not an exchange traded commodity but is nevertheless considered one. From mid 2014, the commodities market has seen the worst slump in prices in 20 years and some commodities have been trading at multi-year lows. Lithium has defied the price decline and is currently trading at record highs which has sparked investor interest. This article covers the basics of the lithium industry, its demand and supply mechanics as well as its outlook five years hence.</p>

Unlike gold and oil, Lithium is not an exchange traded commodity but is nevertheless considered one. From mid 2014, the commodities market has seen the worst slump in prices in 20 years and some commodities have been trading at multi-year lows. Lithium has defied the price decline and is currently trading at record highs which has sparked investor interest. This article covers the basics of the lithium industry, its demand and supply mechanics as well as its outlook five years hence.

Lithium - An Outlier Among Sinking Commodities

Leading Independent Investment Research, Morningstar, Inc.

Morningstar

Leading Independent Investment Research

Morningstar, Inc.

Morningstar, Inc. is a leading provider of independent investment research in North America, Europe, Australia, and Asia. We offer an extensive line of products and services for individual investors, financial advisors, asset managers, and retirement plan providers and sponsors. 

Morningstar provides data on more than 500,000 investment offerings, including stocks, mutual funds, and similar vehicles, along with real-time global market data on more than 16 million equities, indexes, futures, options, commodities, and precious metals, in addition to foreign exchange and Treasury markets. Morningstar also offers investment management services through its investment advisory subsidiaries, with more than $180 billion in assets under advisement or management as of June 30, 2015. We have operations in 27 countries.

Download the Morningstar Fact Sheet : http://corporate.morningstar.com/US/documents/MarketingFactSheets/AboutMorningstarFactsheet.pdf

<p class="p1">Last Wednesday, the Federal Open Market Committee, or FOMC, maintained the current target federal funds rate of 0.25%-0.5%.</p><p class="p1">At first glance, this announcement would seem like a boon for gold, as lower interest rates mean a lower opportunity cost for holding gold</p><p class="p1"><em>Analysts: Kristoffer Inton &amp; Daniel Rohr</em></p>

Last Wednesday, the Federal Open Market Committee, or FOMC, maintained the current target federal funds rate of 0.25%-0.5%.At first glance, this announcement would seem like a boon for gold, as lower interest rates mean a lower opportunity cost for holding goldAnalysts: Kristoffer Inton &amp; Daniel Rohr

Although Fed Pares Back Rate-Hike Path, the Outlook for Gold as an Investment Remains Weak

Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

<p><strong>Chartonics webcast  </strong>Tuesday 15 March 2016</p><div><strong>Oil trade points and risk on</strong></div><p>To view click on this link:  <strong><a href="http://www.screencast.com/t/W9MfxP5MlodF" target="_blank">http://www.screencast.com/t/W9MfxP5MlodF</a> </strong>5:07 min.</p><div><strong>As our risk on March cycle matures it is imperative we get oil right.</strong></div><div>
<strong>WTI</strong> topside of the range comes in at 38-40 but a dip and rally sequence is expected to finalize the March risk on rise.</div><div>
<strong>Brent</strong> hourly chart shows a buy point today just above 38.50 projection for a push back to 40 just under 40.10 resistance. Worst case calls for a slide to 38.00…</div>

Chartonics webcast  Tuesday 15 March 2016Oil trade points and risk onTo view click on this link:  http://www.screencast.com/t/W9MfxP5MlodF 5:07 min.As our risk on March cycle matures it is imperative we get oil right.
WTI topside of the range comes in at 38-40 but a dip and rally sequence is expected to finalize the March risk on rise.
Brent hourly chart shows a buy point today just above 38.50 projection for a push back to 40 just under 40.10 resistance. Worst case calls for a slide to 38.00…

United States

Newmont Mining Corporation acquires, explores, and develops mineral properties. The Company produces gold from operations in the United States, Australia, Peru, Indonesia, Ghana, Canada, New Zealand and Mexico. Newmont also mines and processes copper in Indonesia.

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Newmont Mining (NEM US)

Be Prepared for a Stronger Dollar in 2nd Half

This is a quick update from my start-of-the year call for a weaker dollar and rally in commodities in Q1 and a bit of extension but reversal in Q2....

Hao Wang, CFA

Interesting Counter-Intuitive Reversals Last Few Weeks (Breakouts…Positions…Key Notes)

In this note: 1) some interesting reversals, 2) some updates on stock pick performances, 3) other updates and items of note. A few enclosures...

Charles De Trenck

Lithium - An Outlier Among Sinking Commodities

Unlike gold and oil, Lithium is not an exchange traded commodity but is nevertheless considered one. From mid 2014, the commodities market has seen...

Ishita Jain

Although Fed Pares Back Rate-Hike Path, the Outlook for Gold as an Investment Remains Weak

Last Wednesday, the Federal Open Market Committee, or FOMC, maintained the current target federal funds rate of 0.25%-0.5%.At first glance, this...

Morningstar, Inc.

Oil Trade Points and Risk On

Chartonics webcast Tuesday 15 March 2016Oil trade points and risk onTo view click on this link: http://www.screencast.com/t/W9MfxP5MlodF 5:07...

Thomas Schroeder

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