Analyst - Media&Entertainment Sector, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Stan Zhao

Analyst - Media&Entertainment Sector

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>US and China are two biggest markets in autonomous driving and robotaxi. However, due to US-China decoupling, each market is off limits to the other;</li>
<li>This makes non-US/non-China markets heavily contended. Uber and Lyft leads Didi and Meituan in globalization. But Chinese EV makers and ADS vendors might benefit from partnering with the two;</li>
<li>We expect companies with low priced vehicle production capacity, like BYD, XPEV, LEAP and Zeekr to  benefit more. Among ADS vendors, WeRide and Poni.AI stand out.</li>
</ul>


US and China are two biggest markets in autonomous driving and robotaxi. However, due to US-China decoupling, each market is off limits to the other;
This makes non-US/non-China markets heavily contended. Uber and Lyft leads Didi and Meituan in globalization. But Chinese EV makers and ADS vendors might benefit from partnering with the two;
We expect companies with low priced vehicle production capacity, like BYD, XPEV, LEAP and Zeekr to  benefit more. Among ADS vendors, WeRide and Poni.AI stand out.


Prospectus of Robotaxi Outside of China and US Is Bright for Chinese Supply Chains

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

<ul>
<li>
Macro: China may issue RMB3tn of special treasury bonds in 2025, accounting for 2.2% of GDP, 3rd highest in history;</li>
<li>
EV: BEV sector showed renewed interest with (1) CATL made battery swapping move, (2) Xiaomi gained access to charging network of NIO, XPEV and LI;</li>
<li>
SaaS: After making progress by its own, Beike terminated a major acquisition to save cost. Plus others...</li>
</ul>



Macro: China may issue RMB3tn of special treasury bonds in 2025, accounting for 2.2% of GDP, 3rd highest in history;

EV: BEV sector showed renewed interest with (1) CATL made battery swapping move, (2) Xiaomi gained access to charging network of NIO, XPEV and LI;

SaaS: After making progress by its own, Beike terminated a major acquisition to save cost. Plus others...


China Growth Equity Weekly Wrap (52/2024): Positive Macro, BEV Revival & Good Time to Invest in SaaS

<ul>
<li>TSLA/1211 HK/LI/1810 HK/NIO/XPEV: The General Manager of Tesla's Shanghai factory resigned to join an electric car company facing production capacity bottlenecks, possibly because FSD had no hope of entering China.(///////////)</li>
<li>1211HK/LI/NIO/XPEV:In the 50th week of 2024, the market generally rose and sprint towards the end of the year.It will be difficult for NIO to achieve its guidance in the Q4(///////)</li>
<li>1810 HK/AAPL US/6753 JP: Xiaomi to expand offline network in Japan (+/-/-)</li>
</ul>


TSLA/1211 HK/LI/1810 HK/NIO/XPEV: The General Manager of Tesla's Shanghai factory resigned to join an electric car company facing production capacity bottlenecks, possibly because FSD had no hope of entering China.(///////////)
1211HK/LI/NIO/XPEV:In the 50th week of 2024, the market generally rose and sprint towards the end of the year.It will be difficult for NIO to achieve its guidance in the Q4(///////)
1810 HK/AAPL US/6753 JP: Xiaomi to expand offline network in Japan (+/-/-)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:TSLA US/1211 HK/LI US/1810 HK/NIO US/XPEV US/1810 HK/AAPL US/6753 JP

<ul>
<li>BEKE US: NBS November residential new home turn positive YoY, and home price stabilized（+）</li>
<li>300274 CH: Renewable Energy News: U.S. Raises Tariffs on Chinese Photovoltaic Products to 50%（-）</li>
<li>ACMR US: ACMR sees minimal impact on ability to manufacture and sell tools due to U.S. entity list inclusion (+)</li>
</ul>


BEKE US: NBS November residential new home turn positive YoY, and home price stabilized（+）
300274 CH: Renewable Energy News: U.S. Raises Tariffs on Chinese Photovoltaic Products to 50%（-）
ACMR US: ACMR sees minimal impact on ability to manufacture and sell tools due to U.S. entity list inclusion (+)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:BEKE US/300274 CH/ACMR US/NIO US/XPEV US/ Li US/1810HK/ZTO US/Macro News/Consumer

<ul>
<li>LI US/TSLA US/XPEV US/NIO US/1211 HK:In the 49th week of 2024, LI and Tesla hedged against the slowdown in industry sales by increasing subsidies (/////////)</li>
<li>300750 CH: CATL announces a battery Factory plan in Spain, marking its third overseas plant (+)</li>
<li>BEKE US: Second week of December sees abnormal surge in existing home sales, while new home sales maintain steady growth (+)</li>
</ul>


LI US/TSLA US/XPEV US/NIO US/1211 HK:In the 49th week of 2024, LI and Tesla hedged against the slowdown in industry sales by increasing subsidies (/////////)
300750 CH: CATL announces a battery Factory plan in Spain, marking its third overseas plant (+)
BEKE US: Second week of December sees abnormal surge in existing home sales, while new home sales maintain steady growth (+)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:LI US/TSLA US/XPEV US/NIO US/1211 HK/300750 CH/BEKE US/1810 HK/LKNCY US

China

NIO Inc. manufactures and sells automobiles. The Company offers electric vehicles and parts, as well as provides battery charging services. NIO serves customers worldwide.

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NIO (NIO US)

Prospectus of Robotaxi Outside of China and US Is Bright for Chinese Supply Chains

US-China decoupling splits the biggest and the 2nd biggest ride hailing market, which raise the importance of non-US, non China markets. We see...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

China Growth Equity Weekly Wrap (52/2024): Positive Macro, BEV Revival & Good Time to Invest in SaaS

China plans to issue RMB3tn in special treasury bonds in 2025, BEV sector sees growth with battery swapping and charging network partnerships,...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:TSLA US/1211 HK/LI US/1810 HK/NIO US/XPEV US/1810 HK/AAPL US/6753 JP

Tesla's Shanghai factory GM resigns to join electric car company facing production issues, possibly due to FSD's China entry uncertainty. Xiaomi...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:BEKE US/300274 CH/ACMR US/NIO US/XPEV US/ Li US/1810HK/ZTO US/Macro News/Consumer

Positive news for the US housing market as new home sales increase and prices stabilize, while Chinese renewable energy products face higher...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:LI US/TSLA US/XPEV US/NIO US/1211 HK/300750 CH/BEKE US/1810 HK/LKNCY US

LI and Tesla increase subsidies to hedge against industry sales slowdown. CATL plans third overseas plant in Spain. Abnormal surge in existing...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Prospectus of Robotaxi Outside of China and US Is Bright for Chinese Supply Chains

​US-China decoupling splits the biggest and the 2nd biggest ride hailing market, which raise the importance of non-US, non China markets. We see...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

China Growth Equity Weekly Wrap (52/2024): Positive Macro, BEV Revival & Good Time to Invest in SaaS

​China plans to issue RMB3tn in special treasury bonds in 2025, BEV sector sees growth with battery swapping and charging network partnerships,...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:TSLA US/1211 HK/LI US/1810 HK/NIO US/XPEV US/1810 HK/AAPL US/6753 JP

​Tesla's Shanghai factory GM resigns to join electric car company facing production issues, possibly due to FSD's China entry uncertainty. Xiaomi...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:BEKE US/300274 CH/ACMR US/NIO US/XPEV US/ Li US/1810HK/ZTO US/Macro News/Consumer

​Positive news for the US housing market as new home sales increase and prices stabilize, while Chinese renewable energy products face higher...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:LI US/TSLA US/XPEV US/NIO US/1211 HK/300750 CH/BEKE US/1810 HK/LKNCY US

​LI and Tesla increase subsidies to hedge against industry sales slowdown. CATL plans third overseas plant in Spain. Abnormal surge in existing...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

US-China decoupling splits the biggest and the 2nd biggest ride hailing market, which raise the importance of non-US, non China markets. We see...

China plans to issue RMB3tn in special treasury bonds in 2025, BEV sector sees growth with battery swapping and charging network partnerships,...

Tesla's Shanghai factory GM resigns to join electric car company facing production issues, possibly due to FSD's China entry uncertainty. Xiaomi...

Positive news for the US housing market as new home sales increase and prices stabilize, while Chinese renewable energy products face higher...

LI and Tesla increase subsidies to hedge against industry sales slowdown. CATL plans third overseas plant in Spain. Abnormal surge in existing...