Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>We are past the halfway mark in the review period for the September rebalance of the NIFTY100 Index. We see five potential changes which should be announced end August.</li>
<li>There is a high probability of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-power-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15618:1" rel="noopener">Tata Power (TPWR IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/indian-railway-catering-and-tourism-corporation-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33951:1" rel="noopener">Indian Railway Catering and Tourism (IRCTC IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bharat-electronics-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6636:1" rel="noopener">Bharat Electronics (BHE IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mphasis-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7672:1" rel="noopener">Mphasis Ltd (MPHL IN)</a> being added to the index.</li>
<li>High probability deletions are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lupin-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17910:1" rel="noopener">Lupin Ltd (LPC IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jubilant-foodworks-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:986:1" rel="noopener">Jubilant Foodworks (JUBI IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zydus-lifesciences-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12914:1" rel="noopener">Zydus Lifesciences Ltd (ZYDUSLIF IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/punjab-national-bank" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:542:1" rel="noopener">Punjab National Bank (PNB IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/steel-authority-of-india" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14323:1" rel="noopener">Steel Authority of India (SAIL IN)</a>.</li>
</ul>


We are past the halfway mark in the review period for the September rebalance of the NIFTY100 Index. We see five potential changes which should be announced end August.
There is a high probability of Tata Power (TPWR IN), Indian Railway Catering and Tourism (IRCTC IN), Bharat Electronics (BHE IN) and Mphasis Ltd (MPHL IN) being added to the index.
High probability deletions are Lupin Ltd (LPC IN), Jubilant Foodworks (JUBI IN), Zydus Lifesciences Ltd (ZYDUSLIF IN), Punjab National Bank (PNB IN) and Steel Authority of India (SAIL IN).


NIFTY100 Index Rebalance Preview: Five Potential Changes in September

Telco/Internet specialist

Kirk Boodry

Redex Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Softbank Corp will meet its mid-term business plan commitment of ¥1,000bn in FY22 operating income but it needs a boost from valuation gains from PayPay to get there</li>
<li>Operationally, it is forecasting a 11% EBITDA decline driven by mobile revenue erosion and higher marketing expense with the lack of a growth contribution from Z Holdings apparent</li>
<li>The good news is the dividend is unchanged.  We expect a better story from NTT and KDDI later in the week but stable returns provide support</li>
</ul>


Softbank Corp will meet its mid-term business plan commitment of ¥1,000bn in FY22 operating income but it needs a boost from valuation gains from PayPay to get there
Operationally, it is forecasting a 11% EBITDA decline driven by mobile revenue erosion and higher marketing expense with the lack of a growth contribution from Z Holdings apparent
The good news is the dividend is unchanged.  We expect a better story from NTT and KDDI later in the week but stable returns provide support


Softbank Corp Q4 21 Results Reaction: Behind the Headlines, Disappointing Guidance

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Rainbow Children's Medicare / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Rainbow Children’s Hospital (RCH) raised around US$200m via issuing a mix of primary and secondary shares in its India IPO.</li>
<li>RCH is a multi-specialty pediatric and obstetrics and gynecology hospital chain in India, operating 14 hospitals and three clinics in six cities, with a total bed capacity of 1,500 beds.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about our the trading updates.</li>
</ul>


Rainbow Children’s Hospital (RCH) raised around US$200m via issuing a mix of primary and secondary shares in its India IPO.
RCH is a multi-specialty pediatric and obstetrics and gynecology hospital chain in India, operating 14 hospitals and three clinics in six cities, with a total bed capacity of 1,500 beds.
In this note, we will talk about our the trading updates.


Rainbow Children’s Hospital IPO Trading - Decent Anchor, Strong Insti Subs but Limited Upside

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Two-Thirds of the way through the review period, we see 7 stocks migrating from MidCap to LargeCap, 8 stocks from LargeCap to MidCap, and 1 new listing added to LargeCap.</li>
<li>Post listing, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/life-insurance-corp-of-india-lic" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28829:1" rel="noopener">Life Insurance Corp of India (LIC) (1248Z IN)</a> should be added to the LargeCap segment while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/delhivery-pvt-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33471:1" rel="noopener">Delhivery (1058656D IN)</a> should be added to the MidCap segment.</li>
<li>On average, stocks expected to migrate from Mid Cap to Large Cap have outperformed. Stocks expected to migrate from the Large Cap to Mid Cap segment have performed the worst.</li>
</ul>


Two-Thirds of the way through the review period, we see 7 stocks migrating from MidCap to LargeCap, 8 stocks from LargeCap to MidCap, and 1 new listing added to LargeCap.
Post listing, Life Insurance Corp of India (LIC) (1248Z IN) should be added to the LargeCap segment while Delhivery (1058656D IN) should be added to the MidCap segment.
On average, stocks expected to migrate from Mid Cap to Large Cap have outperformed. Stocks expected to migrate from the Large Cap to Mid Cap segment have performed the worst.


India: Preview of Stock Reclassification for Active Funds

<ul>
<li>Delhivery is now looking to raise around US$700m in its upcoming India IPO, the company is backed by a host of financial investors, the largest being Softbank</li>
<li>Delhivery is an online logistics service provider which covers express parcel delivery, heavy goods delivery, part truckload (PTL) freight, truckload (TL) freight, supply chain solutions, cross border solutions etc.</li>
<li>We have covered various aspects of the deal in our earlier notes. In this note, we talk about valuation. </li>
</ul>


Delhivery is now looking to raise around US$700m in its upcoming India IPO, the company is backed by a host of financial investors, the largest being Softbank
Delhivery is an online logistics service provider which covers express parcel delivery, heavy goods delivery, part truckload (PTL) freight, truckload (TL) freight, supply chain solutions, cross border solutions etc.
We have covered various aspects of the deal in our earlier notes. In this note, we talk about valuation. 


Delhivery IPO - Thoughts on Valution, Touch-And-Go

India

One 97 Communications Limited provides payment solutions. The Company provides online services such as hotel booking, top ups, data processing, games, mobile content, and bill payments. One 97 Communications Limited serves customers worldwide.

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Paytm (PAYTM IN)

NIFTY100 Index Rebalance Preview: Five Potential Changes in September

We see five potential changes to the NIFTY100 Index at the September rebalance. Most are high probability changes and there will be over 1.5 days...

Brian Freitas

Softbank Corp Q4 21 Results Reaction: Behind the Headlines, Disappointing Guidance

Softbank Corp will meet its mid-term business plan commitment of ¥1,000bn in FY22 operating income but 11% EBITDA erosion before the impact of one...

Kirk Boodry

Rainbow Children’s Hospital IPO Trading - Decent Anchor, Strong Insti Subs but Limited Upside

Rainbow Children’s Hospital raised around US$200m in its India IPO. In this note, we look at the subscription levels and talk about the trading...

Sumeet Singh

India: Preview of Stock Reclassification for Active Funds

Two-thirds of the way through the review period, we see quite a few changes to the Large/Mid/Small Cap classification for Indian stocks. The upward...

Brian Freitas

Delhivery IPO - Thoughts on Valution, Touch-And-Go

Delhivery is now looking to raise around US$700m in its upcoming India IPO, the company is backed by a host of financial investors, the largest...

Sumeet Singh

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