IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tabcorp-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6837:1" rel="noopener">Tabcorp Ltd (TAH AU)</a>’s demerger will create two standalone companies listed on the ASX - The Lottery Corporation and New Tabcorp</li>
<li>The scheme meeting to approve the demerger will be held on 12 May at 10.00 am. The Lottery Corporation will trade on a normal settlement basis on 2 June.</li>
<li>This transaction aims to unlock value. Our SoTP valuation is A$6.13 per share, which is a 14% upside to the last close price of A$5.39 per share.</li>
</ul>



Tabcorp Ltd (TAH AU)’s demerger will create two standalone companies listed on the ASX - The Lottery Corporation and New Tabcorp
The scheme meeting to approve the demerger will be held on 12 May at 10.00 am. The Lottery Corporation will trade on a normal settlement basis on 2 June.
This transaction aims to unlock value. Our SoTP valuation is A$6.13 per share, which is a 14% upside to the last close price of A$5.39 per share.


Tabcorp’s Valuation Discovery into the Demerger

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Exposure in the Casinos &amp; Gaming industry has fallen to new lows, with just 28% of active GEM managers now invested.</li>
<li>Declines in ownership have been spread over 7 years, but the last 6-months has seen the exodus gather pace, with 6.5% of EM investors closing out exposure over the period.</li>
<li>With changing attitudes to ESG and the perceived social negatives of gambling, active managers are getting more and more comfortable leaving gaming stocks out of their portfolios.</li>
</ul>


Exposure in the Casinos &amp; Gaming industry has fallen to new lows, with just 28% of active GEM managers now invested.
Declines in ownership have been spread over 7 years, but the last 6-months has seen the exodus gather pace, with 6.5% of EM investors closing out exposure over the period.
With changing attitudes to ESG and the perceived social negatives of gambling, active managers are getting more and more comfortable leaving gaming stocks out of their portfolios.


Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

MSCI Emerging Markets Index / Technical Analysis

<p>Asia and the BRIC segment continue to outperform the broad EM universe. Based on technical breakouts in each of their relative strength trends (vs. MSCI EM), we see these trends continuing well into 2018.  Elsewhere, Russia is on the cusp of a breakout. The Philippines is breaking out. And Korea, a market that broke out earlier this year from a 6-year base, is a buy on weakness.  </p><p>Today’s report includes a complete summary of our EM views as well as a wide variety of bottom-up recommendations, spanning most sectors and all market capitalizations.</p>

Asia and the BRIC segment continue to outperform the broad EM universe. Based on technical breakouts in each of their relative strength trends (vs. MSCI EM), we see these trends continuing well into 2018.  Elsewhere, Russia is on the cusp of a breakout. The Philippines is breaking out. And Korea, a market that broke out earlier this year from a 6-year base, is a buy on weakness.  Today’s report includes a complete summary of our EM views as well as a wide variety of bottom-up recommendations, spanning most sectors and all market capitalizations.

EM Outlook: Bullish, Led by BRIC and Asia

Greece

OPAP SA accepts bets on sporting events and lottery games.  The Company organizes and manages bets on soccer games.

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OPAP SA (OPAP GA)

Tabcorp’s Valuation Discovery into the Demerger

The scheme meeting to approve the demerger will be held on 12 May at 10.00 am. Our SoTP valuation is A$6.13 per share, which is a 14% upside to the...

Arun George

Casinos & Gaming: Bailing Out

With changing attitudes to ESG and the perceived social negatives of gambling, active managers are getting more and more comfortable leaving gaming...

Steven Holden

EM Outlook: Bullish, Led by BRIC and Asia

Asia and the BRIC segment continue to outperform the broad EM universe. Based on technical breakouts in each of their relative strength trends (vs....

Vermilion Research

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