Materials Analyst/Strategist, Janus Analysis

Gaius King

Materials Analyst/Strategist

Accelerating Tomorrow’s Independent Research

Boost Research

Boost Research Ltd is an appointed representative of Messels Ltd which is authorised and regulated by the FCA of the UK. 

This document is issued by Boost Research Limited solely for its clients. It may not be reproduced, redistributed or passed to any other person in whole or in part for any purpose without written consent of Boost Research. The material in this document is not intended for distribution or use outside the United Kingdom. This material is not directed at you if Boost Research is prohibited or restricted by any legislation or regulation in any jurisdiction from making it available to you.

This document is provided for information purposes only and should not be regarded as an offer, solicitation, invitation, inducement or recommendation relating to the subscription, purchase or sale of any security or other financial instrument.  This document does not constitute, and should not be interpreted as, investment advice.  It is accordingly recommended that you should seek independent advice from a suitably qualified professional advisor before taking any decisions in relation to the investments detailed herein. All expressions of opinions and estimates constitute a judgement and, unless otherwise stated, are those of the author and the research department of Boost Research only, and are subject to change without notice. Boost Research is under no obligation to update the information contained herein. Whilst Boost Research has taken all reasonable care to ensure that the information contained in this document is not untrue or misleading at the time of publication, Boost Research cannot guarantee its accuracy or completeness, and you should not act on it without first independently verifying its contents. This document is not guaranteed to be a complete statement or summary of any securities, markets, reports or developments referred to herein. No representation or warranty either expressed or implied is made, nor responsibility of any kind is accepted, by Boost Research or any of its respective directors, officers, employees or analysts either as to the accuracy or completeness of any information contained in this document nor should it be relied on as such. No liability whatsoever is accepted by Boost Research or any of its respective directors, officers, employees or analysts for any loss, whether direct or consequential, arising whether directly or indirectly as a result of the recipient acting on the content of this document, including, without limitation, lost profits arising from the use of this document or any of its contents.

This document is provided with the understanding that Boost Research is not acting in a fiduciary capacity and it is not a personal recommendation to you. Investing in securities entails risks. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance. The value of and the income produced by products may fluctuate, so that an investor may get back less than he invested. Investments in the entities and/or the securities or other financial instruments referred to are not suitable for all investors and this document should not be relied upon in substitution for the exercise of independent judgment in relation to any such investment. The stated price of any securities mentioned herein will generally be the closing price at the end of any of the three business days immediately prior to the publication date on this document. This stated price is not a representation that any transaction can be effected at this price.

Boost Research and its respective analysts are remunerated for providing investment research to professional investors, corporations, other research institutions and consultancy houses. Boost Research, or its respective directors, officers, employees and clients may have or take positions in the securities or entities mentioned in this document.  Any of these circumstances could create, or be perceived as creating, conflicts of interest. Boost Research’ analysts are not censored in any way and are free to express their personal opinions. As a result, Boost Research may have issued other documents that are inconsistent with and reach different conclusions from, the information contained in this document. Those documents reflect the different assumptions, views and analytical methods of their authors. No director, officer or employee of Boost Research is on the board of directors of any company referenced herein and no one at any such referenced company is on the board of directors of Boost Research.

Messels is authorised and regulated in the United Kingdom by the Financial Conduct Authority for the provision of investment advice. Residents of the United Kingdom should seek specific professional financial and investment advice from a stockbroker, banker, solicitor, accountant or other independent professional adviser authorised pursuant to the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000. This report is intended only for investors who are 'professional clients' as defined by the FCA, and may not, therefore, be redistributed to other classes of investors.

The content of this report is covered by our Policy of Independence which may be viewed at www.messels.com.

 

Analysts’ Certification

The analysts involved in the production of this document hereby certify that the views expressed in this document accurately reflect their personal views about the securities mentioned herein. The analysts point out that they may buy, sell or already have taken positions in the securities, and related financial instruments, mentioned in this document

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul class="">
<li>Launching weekly exploration report</li>
<li>Initial coverage of 318 companies</li>
<li>Eventual ASX, TSX &amp; AIM coverage</li>
<li>Scientific approach to determine prospectivity</li>
<li>Selective judgement on announcement materiality</li>
<li>Preference for gold</li>
<li>Targeting company maker projects</li>
<li>Best exploration tenements, Magnesium, graphite, metallurgical coal</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/10117" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10117:1">Paladin Energy (PDN AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/12329" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12329:1">Admiralty Resources Nl (ADY AU)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/1923" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1923:1">Jameson Resources (JAL AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/8395" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8395:1">Golden Rim Resources (GMR AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/3231" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3231:1">Orion Gold Nl (ORN AU)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/15059" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15059:1">Talga Resources (TLG AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/4935" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4935:1">Barra Resources (BAR AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/12537" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12537:1">King River Resources (KRR AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/2294" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2294:1">Korab Resources (KOR AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/27876" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27876:1">Lefroy Exploration Ltd (LEX AU)</a>
</li>
</ul>


Launching weekly exploration report
Initial coverage of 318 companies
Eventual ASX, TSX &amp; AIM coverage
Scientific approach to determine prospectivity
Selective judgement on announcement materiality
Preference for gold
Targeting company maker projects
Best exploration tenements, Magnesium, graphite, metallurgical coal

Paladin Energy (PDN AU), Admiralty Resources Nl (ADY AU) , Jameson Resources (JAL AU), Golden Rim Resources (GMR AU), Orion Gold Nl (ORN AU) , Talga Resources (TLG AU), Barra Resources (BAR AU), King River Resources (KRR AU), Korab Resources (KOR AU), Lefroy Exploration Ltd (LEX AU)



New J. Hutton Exploration Report (Week Ending 18/1/19)

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Quantifying nuclear statistics with substantial discrepancies</li>
<li>LT contracts &amp; speculative hoarding driving recent 40% spot price increase</li>
<li>Primary/secondary Uranium supplies currently 112% of 2017 demand</li>
<li>Uranium supply deficits extremely unlikely before 2022</li>
<li>Global Uranium demand to fall 25-40% by 2050</li>
<li> Primary Uranium sector LT SELL</li>
</ul>
We have independently audited global nuclear construction statistics in order to determine future Uranium demand.  Although near-term statistics match those in the public domain, long-term demand determined via construction pipeline illustrates substantial discrepancies.  Compiling planned plant construction, operational extensions, nameplate upgrades, versus decommissioning announcements/events, and in many cases, public policy inertia; has led us to believe that despite historical primary supply shortages, global nuclear demand peaked in 2006.
Since plateauing and despite strong Chinese growth, nuclear power generation has fallen &lt;2% over the past two decades, a decline that is predicted to accelerate as a number of developed and developing nations pursue other energy options.
The macro-trend not replacing existing nuclear infrastructure means (dependent on assumptions), according to our calculations, global uranium demand will decrease between 20 to 40% by 2050.
As opposed to signifying a fundamental change in underlying demand, we believe that recent Uranium price increases are the result of producers closing primary operations, and substituting production with purchases on the spot market to meet long-term contract obligations.  In addition, hedge funds are buying physical uranium in order to realise profits on potential future commodity price increases.  Critically, we determine that primary and secondary supplies are more than sufficient to meet forecast demand over the next four to five years; before taking into account substantial existing global uranium stocks, some of which are able to re-enter the spot market at short notice.


Quantifying nuclear statistics with substantial discrepancies
LT contracts &amp; speculative hoarding driving recent 40% spot price increase
Primary/secondary Uranium supplies currently 112% of 2017 demand
Uranium supply deficits extremely unlikely before 2022
Global Uranium demand to fall 25-40% by 2050
 Primary Uranium sector LT SELL

We have independently audited global nuclear construction statistics in order to determine future Uranium demand.  Although near-term statistics match those in the public domain, long-term demand determined via construction pipeline illustrates substantial discrepancies.  Compiling planned plant construction, operational extensions, nameplate upgrades, versus decommissioning announcements/events, and in many cases, public policy inertia; has led us to believe that despite historical primary supply shortages, global nuclear demand peaked in 2006.
Since plateauing and despite strong Chinese growth, nuclear power generation has fallen &lt;2% over the past two decades, a decline that is predicted to accelerate as a number of developed and developing nations pursue other energy options.
The macro-trend not replacing existing nuclear infrastructure means (dependent on assumptions), according to our calculations, global uranium demand will decrease between 20 to 40% by 2050.
As opposed to signifying a fundamental change in underlying demand, we believe that recent Uranium price increases are the result of producers closing primary operations, and substituting production with purchases on the spot market to meet long-term contract obligations.  In addition, hedge funds are buying physical uranium in order to realise profits on potential future commodity price increases.  Critically, we determine that primary and secondary supplies are more than sufficient to meet forecast demand over the next four to five years; before taking into account substantial existing global uranium stocks, some of which are able to re-enter the spot market at short notice.

Uranium - About to Enter Its Own Nuclear Winter

Over 25-yrs in Global Materials & Soft Commodities

Charles Spencer

Commodities

INVESTMENT VIEW:  We believe <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/27448" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27448:1">Uranium (UXA COMDTY)</a> prices have the potential to rally further following a number of recent supply-side adjustments aimed at reducing and managing industry oversupply.  
This should bode well for industry majors like <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/27155" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27155:1">Cameco Corp (CCJ US)</a> and may also support junior miners like <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/27449" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27449:1">Azarga Uranium (AZZ CN)</a> for investors with a higher risk/reward profile. 
The CEO of Toronto listed <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/27449" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27449:1">Azarga Uranium (AZZ CN)</a> was in Singapore last week and below is a summary of our conclusions:

INVESTMENT VIEW:   We believe Uranium (UXA COMDTY) prices have the potential to rally further following a number of recent supply-side adjustments aimed at reducing and managing industry oversupply.  
This should bode well for industry majors like Cameco Corp (CCJ US) and may also support junior miners like Azarga Uranium (AZZ CN) for investors with a higher risk/reward profile. 
The CEO of Toronto listed Azarga Uranium (AZZ CN) was in Singapore last week and below is a summary of our conclusions: 

Azarga Uranium Meeting Highlights Industry at Inflection

Energy Expert

Thierry Bros, PhD

Thierrybros.com

Brexit negotiations are likely to start soon. Everyone is looking at the consequences on forex and on the UK financial sector. But who could benefit from decorrelation of energy prices between the UK and the EU?Following the policy paper " <a href="https://www.oxfordenergy.org/publications/brexits-impact-gas-markets-brext-security-supply-uk-ireland/" target="_blank">Brexit's impact on gas markets: Brexit and security of supply for the UK and Ireland</a>" just published by Oxford Institute for Energy Studies, this insight looks at the Brexit's impact on energy stocks.As the outcome of Brexit is still unknown, we can only draft…

Brexit negotiations are likely to start soon. Everyone is looking at the consequences on forex and on the UK financial sector. But who could benefit from decorrelation of energy prices between the UK and the EU?Following the policy paper " Brexit's impact on gas markets: Brexit and security of supply for the UK and Ireland" just published by Oxford Institute for Energy Studies, this insight looks at the Brexit's impact on energy stocks.As the outcome of Brexit is still unknown, we can only draft…

Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

Chartonics webcast Tuesday 22 March 2016 <div>Asia FX action</div>To view click on this link:  <a href="http://www.screencast.com/t/m9gF64uDp" target="_blank">http://www.screencast.com/t/m9gF64uDp</a> 5:15 min.We run through trade points in Asia FX.<div>
INR - Still short USD to 65.90, uptick is viewed as corrective and not a bad place to add to USD short.</div><div>
KRW - Our USD 1,175 short hit our trailing limit at 1,167 for a minor gain. We maintain our USD bearish call to 1,140 for those still holding the USD short. At 1,140-42 would be covering ST short and probing for a USD buy…</div>

Chartonics webcast Tuesday 22 March 2016 Asia FX actionTo view click on this link:  http://www.screencast.com/t/m9gF64uDp 5:15 min.We run through trade points in Asia FX.
INR - Still short USD to 65.90, uptick is viewed as corrective and not a bad place to add to USD short.
KRW - Our USD 1,175 short hit our trailing limit at 1,167 for a minor gain. We maintain our USD bearish call to 1,140 for those still holding the USD short. At 1,140-42 would be covering ST short and probing for a USD buy…

Australia

Paladin Energy Ltd operates as a mining company. The Company explores and mines uranium. Paladin Energy serves customers worldwide.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Paladin Energy (PDN AU)

New J. Hutton Exploration Report (Week Ending 18/1/19)

Launching weekly exploration report Initial coverage of 318 companies Eventual ASX, TSX & AIM coverage Scientific approach to determine...

Boost Research

Uranium - About to Enter Its Own Nuclear Winter

Quantifying nuclear statistics with substantial discrepancies LT contracts & speculative hoarding driving recent 40% spot...

Boost Research

Azarga Uranium Meeting Highlights Industry at Inflection

INVESTMENT VIEW: We believe Uranium (UXA COMDTY) prices have the potential to rally further following a number of recent supply-side adjustments...

Charles Spencer

Energy: Who Could Benefit from Brexit?

Brexit negotiations are likely to start soon. Everyone is looking at the consequences on forex and on the UK financial sector. But who could...

Thierry Bros, PhD

Asia FX Action Points

Chartonics webcast Tuesday 22 March 2016 Asia FX actionTo view click on this link: http://www.screencast.com/t/m9gF64uDp 5:15 min.We run through...

Thomas Schroeder

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)