Global Editor, Base Oil News

Iain Pocock

Global Editor

Global Base Oils and Lubricants Markets

Base Oil News

Base Oil News focuses on the interplay between fundamentals and prices in the global base oils and lubricants markets.

Baseoilnews.com combines daily, weekly and monthly base oils and lubes fundamentals data from every region of the world to build the most comprehensive and up-to-date global picture of the state of the market.

The data and analysis provide key tools to understand current market developments and opportunities and to anticipate how the market is likely to behave in the coming months.

Base oils producers, lube blenders and consumers can then better plan accordingly.

Baseoilnews.com analyses and publishes market news and data every day as it breaks.

Commodities

<ul><li>Europe’s Group II base oils prices hold in narrow range vs Group I prices in first two months of 2025.</li><li>Europe Group II prices flip to premium to Europe Group III 4cSt (low) prices in Feb 2025 for first time since mid-2021.</li><li>Relative price-strength of Group II base oils points to firm supply-demand fundamentals vs Group I and Group III base oils.</li></ul>

Europe’s Group II base oils prices hold in narrow range vs Group I prices in first two months of 2025.Europe Group II prices flip to premium to Europe Group III 4cSt (low) prices in Feb 2025 for first time since mid-2021.Relative price-strength of Group II base oils points to firm supply-demand fundamentals vs Group I and Group III base oils.

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 10 March

<ul><li>Base oils prices extend rise vs feedstock/competing fuel prices in Asia and Europe, pointing to tighter supply-demand fundamentals.</li><li>US base oils premium to VGO/heating oil stays in narrower range, lagging rise in Asia and Europe.</li><li>Dynamic points to diverging fundamentals between US and other regions.</li></ul>

Base oils prices extend rise vs feedstock/competing fuel prices in Asia and Europe, pointing to tighter supply-demand fundamentals.US base oils premium to VGO/heating oil stays in narrower range, lagging rise in Asia and Europe.Dynamic points to diverging fundamentals between US and other regions.

Global base oils margins outlook: Week of 10 March

<ul><li>Asia’s base oils prices extend rise vs feedstock/gasoil prices.</li><li>Rising margins point to increasingly tight supply-demand fundamentals, incentivizing refiners to maximise output.</li><li>Incentive to maximise output coincides with closed arbitrage from Asia to other markets, and signs of steady flows from other regions to Asia.</li></ul>

Asia’s base oils prices extend rise vs feedstock/gasoil prices.Rising margins point to increasingly tight supply-demand fundamentals, incentivizing refiners to maximise output.Incentive to maximise output coincides with closed arbitrage from Asia to other markets, and signs of steady flows from other regions to Asia.

Asia base oils supply outlook: Week of 10 March

<ul><li>Asia’s base oils demand could be steadier, with blenders likely to have already secured supplies required to cover seasonal pick-up in demand over coming weeks.</li><li>Recent moves to replenish stocks added to demand and tightened supply.</li><li>Demand could ease following completion of those moves.</li></ul>

Asia’s base oils demand could be steadier, with blenders likely to have already secured supplies required to cover seasonal pick-up in demand over coming weeks.Recent moves to replenish stocks added to demand and tightened supply.Demand could ease following completion of those moves.

Asia base oils demand outlook: Week of 10 March

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist, Clifton Derivatives

John Ley

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist

Clifton Derivatives

Independent derivative and volatility research firm focusing on events/catalysts, earnings, relative value and cross asset volatility strategies.

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>Communication Services had 39% of single stock option volumes vs only 22% of the open interest highlighting short expiry / speculative nature of trading.</li>
<li>Tencent and Baidu heading in opposite directions – Baidu vol on the inexpensive side vs Tencent vol.</li>
<li>Xiaomi one of only 2 optionable names trading at 52-week high (Sunny optical being the other).</li>
</ul>


Communication Services had 39% of single stock option volumes vs only 22% of the open interest highlighting short expiry / speculative nature of trading.
Tencent and Baidu heading in opposite directions – Baidu vol on the inexpensive side vs Tencent vol.
Xiaomi one of only 2 optionable names trading at 52-week high (Sunny optical being the other).


EQD | Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly December 16 – 20

China

PetroChina Company Limited explores, develops, and produces crude oil and natural gas.  The Company also refines, transports, and distributes crude oil and petroleum products, produces and sells chemicals, and transmits, markets and sells natural gas.

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PetroChina (857 HK)

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 10 March

Europe’s Group II base oils prices hold in narrow range vs Group I prices in first two months of 2025. Europe Group II prices flip to premium to...

Base Oil News

Global base oils margins outlook: Week of 10 March

Base oils prices extend rise vs feedstock/competing fuel prices in Asia and Europe, pointing to tighter supply-demand fundamentals. US base oils...

Base Oil News

Asia base oils supply outlook: Week of 10 March

Asia’s base oils prices extend rise vs feedstock/gasoil prices. Rising margins point to increasingly tight supply-demand fundamentals,...

Base Oil News

Asia base oils demand outlook: Week of 10 March

Asia’s base oils demand could be steadier, with blenders likely to have already secured supplies required to cover seasonal pick-up in demand over...

Base Oil News

EQD | Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly December 16 – 20

Tencent and Baidu showing contrasting price and volatility levels with Baidu implied vol looking relatively inexpensive. Xiaomi stands out as one...

John Ley

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