Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There will be 10 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chinext-price-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25483:1" rel="noopener">Chinext Price Index (SZ399006 INDEX)</a> and 5 changes for the ChiNext 50 Index. Implementation is at the close on 9 June.</li>
<li>One-Way turnover for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chinext-price-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25483:1" rel="noopener">Chinext Price Index</a> is estimated at 3.17% while the one-way turnover for the ChiNext50 Index is 6.61%. The one-way trade across both indices is CNY 2.72bn.</li>
<li>The adds have outperformed the deletes by a huge margin over the last 3 months and there could be profit taking into implementation.</li>
</ul>


There will be 10 changes for the Chinext Price Index (SZ399006 INDEX) and 5 changes for the ChiNext 50 Index. Implementation is at the close on 9 June.
One-Way turnover for the Chinext Price Index is estimated at 3.17% while the one-way turnover for the ChiNext50 Index is 6.61%. The one-way trade across both indices is CNY 2.72bn.
The adds have outperformed the deletes by a huge margin over the last 3 months and there could be profit taking into implementation.


ChiNext/​​ChiNext 50 Index Rebalance: On Expected Lines as Adds Outperform Deletes

<ul>
<li>With 1 trading day left in the review period, we forecast 10 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chinext-price-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25483:1" rel="noopener">Chinext Price Index (SZ399006 INDEX)</a> and 5 changes for the ChiNext 50 Index in June.</li>
<li>Passive trackers are estimated to trade around +/-0.5 days ADV on most of the potential adds/deletes, though there are some deletes that will have over 1 day ADV to sell.</li>
<li>The potential inclusion to one or both indices have outperformed the potential deletes by a huge margin in the last month. We'd be inclined to trim positions.</li>
</ul>


With 1 trading day left in the review period, we forecast 10 changes for the Chinext Price Index (SZ399006 INDEX) and 5 changes for the ChiNext 50 Index in June.
Passive trackers are estimated to trade around +/-0.5 days ADV on most of the potential adds/deletes, though there are some deletes that will have over 1 day ADV to sell.
The potential inclusion to one or both indices have outperformed the potential deletes by a huge margin in the last month. We'd be inclined to trim positions.


ChiNext/​​ChiNext50 Index Rebalance Preview: Outperformance Maintained

<ul>
<li>Three quarters of the way through the review period, we forecast 10 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chinext-price-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25483:1" rel="noopener">Chinext Price Index (SZ399006 INDEX)</a> and 5 changes for the ChiNext 50 Index in June.</li>
<li>Passive trackers will need to buy +/-0.5 days of ADV for most inclusions and exclusions from the indices. On average, the impact on the potential deletions is higher.</li>
<li>The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes over the last six months, and there has been a sharp widening of the gap over the last few weeks.</li>
</ul>


Three quarters of the way through the review period, we forecast 10 changes for the Chinext Price Index (SZ399006 INDEX) and 5 changes for the ChiNext 50 Index in June.
Passive trackers will need to buy +/-0.5 days of ADV for most inclusions and exclusions from the indices. On average, the impact on the potential deletions is higher.
The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes over the last six months, and there has been a sharp widening of the gap over the last few weeks.


ChiNext/​ChiNext50 Index Rebalance Preview: Overlapping Stocks & Recent Outperformance

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Capital Markets

TransThera Sciences (Nanjing) / Equity Capital Markets

<p>On August 25, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/transthera-sciences-nanjing-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34404:1" rel="noopener">TransThera Sciences (Nanjing) (TTS HK)</a> submitted its prospectus to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange and officially started the IPO process. TransThera is a R&amp;D-driven, clinical-stage, global biopharmaceutical company focusing on discovering and developing innovative small molecule therapies for oncology, inflammatory and cardiovascular diseases, with a commitment to developing global first-in-class and best-in-class therapies. This insight mainly analyzed the industry characteristics, the business and the concerns of the Company.</p>

On August 25, TransThera Sciences (Nanjing) (TTS HK) submitted its prospectus to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange and officially started the IPO process. TransThera is a R&amp;D-driven, clinical-stage, global biopharmaceutical company focusing on discovering and developing innovative small molecule therapies for oncology, inflammatory and cardiovascular diseases, with a commitment to developing global first-in-class and best-in-class therapies. This insight mainly analyzed the industry characteristics, the business and the concerns of the Company.

Pre-IPO TransThera Sciences (Nanjing) - Insights on the Industry, the Business and the Concerns

Shanghai Haoyuan Chemexpress C / Equity Capital Markets

<p>Recently, small market capitalization and undervalued CRO companies are favored by the market. For example, the most eye-catching rebound came from the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/viva-biotech-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27850:1" rel="noopener">Viva Biotech Holdings (1873 HK)</a> (up over 60% in May) and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hitgen-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30371:1" rel="noopener">HitGen Inc (688222 CH)</a> (up over 27% in May). In fact, the investment logic in CRO industry can be divided into two aspects: One is to invest in the leading companies with higher certainty, such as <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wuxi-apptec-co-ltd-bf4a1265-beef-48b6-b82d-29308426030f" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27795:1" rel="noopener">WuXi AppTec Co. Ltd. (2359 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hangzhou-tigermed-consulting-co-ltd-1008d609-73bd-4d76-8315-b29502a448ff" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29212:1" rel="noopener">Hangzhou Tigermed Consulting (H) (3347 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pharmaron-beijing-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28428:1" rel="noopener">Pharmaron Beijing Co Ltd-H (3759 HK)</a> and so on; The other is to pursue flexibility and choose to invest some targets that have made certain achievements in subdivision fields, such as the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/viva-biotech-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27850:1" rel="noopener">Viva Biotech Holdings (1873 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hitgen-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30371:1" rel="noopener">HitGen Inc (688222 CH)</a> mentioned above. Here comes a new CRO/CDMO company that worth the attention, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-haoyuan-chemexpress" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33415:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Haoyuan Chemexpress (688131 CH)</a>, which will list on the SSE STAR Market soon. The following insight mainly analyzes the industry characteristics, business, financial performance and potential risks of the Company.</p>

Recently, small market capitalization and undervalued CRO companies are favored by the market. For example, the most eye-catching rebound came from the Viva Biotech Holdings (1873 HK) (up over 60% in May) and HitGen Inc (688222 CH) (up over 27% in May). In fact, the investment logic in CRO industry can be divided into two aspects: One is to invest in the leading companies with higher certainty, such as WuXi AppTec Co. Ltd. (2359 HK), Hangzhou Tigermed Consulting (H) (3347 HK), Pharmaron Beijing Co Ltd-H (3759 HK) and so on; The other is to pursue flexibility and choose to invest some targets that have made certain achievements in subdivision fields, such as the Viva Biotech Holdings (1873 HK) and HitGen Inc (688222 CH) mentioned above. Here comes a new CRO/CDMO company that worth the attention, Shanghai Haoyuan Chemexpress (688131 CH), which will list on the SSE STAR Market soon. The following insight mainly analyzes the industry characteristics, business, financial performance and potential risks of the Company.

Pre-IPO Shanghai Haoyuan Chemexpress - A New CRO/CDMO with Continued High Growth Potential

China

PharmaBlock Sciences (Nanjing), Inc. operates as a biotechnology company. The Company offers drug molecular block designing, process development, pilot plant and key intermediates manufacturing, and other services. PharmaBlock Sciences markets its products worldwide.

Pharmablock Sciences (Nanjing)-A (300725 CH)

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Pharmablock Sciences (Nanjing)-A (300725 CH)

ChiNext/ChiNext 50 Index Rebalance: On Expected Lines as Adds Outperform Deletes

There are 10 changes for the Chinext & 5 changes for the Chinext50. The adds have outperformed the deletes by a huge margin over the last 3 months...

Brian Freitas

ChiNext/ChiNext50 Index Rebalance Preview: Outperformance Maintained

We forecast 10 changes for the Chinext and 5 for the Chinext50. Impact is not large but these are liquid stocks that are moving. The potential adds...

Brian Freitas

ChiNext/ChiNext50 Index Rebalance Preview: Overlapping Stocks & Recent Outperformance

We forecast 10 changes to the ChiNext & 5 changes to the ChiNext50 in June. There are a few overlapping stocks & the potential adds have...

Brian Freitas

Pre-IPO TransThera Sciences (Nanjing) - Insights on the Industry, the Business and the Concerns

This article mainly analyzed TransThera in terms of the industry characteristics of small molecule drug market, candidates in the pipeline (TT...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Pre-IPO Shanghai Haoyuan Chemexpress - A New CRO/CDMO with Continued High Growth Potential

As CRO/CDMO continues to be a hot sector for investors and have outstanding performance, the new pre-IPO company Haoyuan Chemexpress with high...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

ChiNext/​​ChiNext 50 Index Rebalance: On Expected Lines as Adds Outperform Deletes

There are 10 changes for the Chinext & 5 changes for the Chinext50. The adds have outperformed the deletes by a huge margin over the last 3 months...

Brian Freitas

ChiNext/​​ChiNext50 Index Rebalance Preview: Outperformance Maintained

We forecast 10 changes for the Chinext and 5 for the Chinext50. Impact is not large but these are liquid stocks that are moving. The potential adds...

Brian Freitas

ChiNext/​ChiNext50 Index Rebalance Preview: Overlapping Stocks & Recent Outperformance

We forecast 10 changes to the ChiNext & 5 changes to the ChiNext50 in June. There are a few overlapping stocks & the potential adds have...

Brian Freitas

Pre-IPO TransThera Sciences (Nanjing) - Insights on the Industry, the Business and the Concerns

This article mainly analyzed TransThera in terms of the industry characteristics of small molecule drug market, candidates in the pipeline (TT...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Pre-IPO Shanghai Haoyuan Chemexpress - A New CRO/CDMO with Continued High Growth Potential

As CRO/CDMO continues to be a hot sector for investors and have outstanding performance, the new pre-IPO company Haoyuan Chemexpress with high...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

ChiNext/ChiNext 50 Index Rebalance: On Expected Lines as Adds Outperform Deletes

ChiNext/ChiNext50 Index Rebalance Preview: Outperformance Maintained

ChiNext/ChiNext50 Index Rebalance Preview: Overlapping Stocks & Recent Outperformance