External broker reports(aggregated public sources), BRI Danareksa Research

BRI Danareksa Research

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

As a one-stop financial solution with the vision to be the most valuable securities house, BRI Danareksa Sekuritas (BRIDS) has maintained an excellent track record and extensive experience in the capital market as an underwriter, broker, and financial advisor for individual, institutional, foreign and domestic, private and government clients. Established in 1992, PT Danareksa Sekuritas is a securities company that performs activities as a securities broker, underwriter, or arranger and financial advisor.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Manufacturing-led FDI now anchors investment growth, lifting GFCF and widening regional benefit with Ex-Java areas benefiting the most.</li><li>Despite rising manufacturing-led FDI, investment momentum is soft. Capex cycle, utilisation, and minimum wages are key factors to watch.</li><li>Wage growth tracks investment in productive regions, highlighting the need to shift UMR rules toward productivity-based, region-specific.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Manufacturing-led FDI now anchors investment growth, lifting GFCF and widening regional benefit with Ex-Java areas benefiting the most.Despite rising manufacturing-led FDI, investment momentum is soft. Capex cycle, utilisation, and minimum wages are key factors to watch.Wage growth tracks investment in productive regions, highlighting the need to shift UMR rules toward productivity-based, region-specific.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Macro Strategy: 2026: Reassessing the Investment Cycle

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>Indonesia’s growth is driven by steady consumption and increasingly important investment, both forming dual engine for growth expansion.</li><li>We assess three factors: growth drivers, dilemma &amp; policy implication, and conclude different phase of economy require different approaches.</li><li>Consumption drives quick gains, while investment sustains growth, requiring balanced near- and long-term policy support.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Indonesia’s growth is driven by steady consumption and increasingly important investment, both forming dual engine for growth expansion.We assess three factors: growth drivers, dilemma &amp; policy implication, and conclude different phase of economy require different approaches.Consumption drives quick gains, while investment sustains growth, requiring balanced near- and long-term policy support.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

<ul><li>Growth momentum improving. Accelerating disbursement and BI’s policy easing expected to strengthen growth toward year-end.</li><li>Beyond yield gaps. Foreign inflows often rise despite narrower BI–Fed spreads, showing growth differential drives sustained capital inflows.</li><li>Long-term foreign investment depends on Indonesia maintaining solid, broad-based, and stable economic growth momentum.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Growth momentum improving. Accelerating disbursement and BI’s policy easing expected to strengthen growth toward year-end.Beyond yield gaps. Foreign inflows often rise despite narrower BI–Fed spreads, showing growth differential drives sustained capital inflows.Long-term foreign investment depends on Indonesia maintaining solid, broad-based, and stable economic growth momentum.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Macro Strategy: Growth Over Differentials

<ul><li>Investors’ concerns was triggered by MSCI’s announcement that it is conducting a consultation to review a possible change in foreign inclusion factor (FIF) to possibly include KSEI data which would exclude shares held by corporate and “others” from the free-float.</li><li>MSCI has outlined two scenarios under this proposed method, which may effectively result in lower weighting for Indonesian stocks in MSCI EM Index.</li><li>Despite the overhang from MSCI index review, foreign investors flow sustained a positive flow during the week, with US$333mn of inflow, putting Indonesia among the few markets with positive flow for the second consecutive week.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Investors’ concerns was triggered by MSCI’s announcement that it is conducting a consultation to review a possible change in foreign inclusion factor (FIF) to possibly include KSEI data which would exclude shares held by corporate and “others” from the free-float.MSCI has outlined two scenarios under this proposed method, which may effectively result in lower weighting for Indonesian stocks in MSCI EM Index.Despite the overhang from MSCI index review, foreign investors flow sustained a positive flow during the week, with US$333mn of inflow, putting Indonesia among the few markets with positive flow for the second consecutive week.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

BRIDS Market Pulse : Chart of the Week – JCI Market Capitalization

<ul><li>A positive week for JCI with strong performance and inflows into fundamental names.</li><li>JCI recorded a strong 4.5% w-w rebound and was the second-best performing market within EM following Korea’s KOSPI index.</li><li>The strong performance was particularly encouraging as it was led by the blue-chip/ fundamental names (i.e., BBCA +10.3% w-w, BBRI +10.0%, TLKM +14.2%, BMRI +12.3%, ASII +16.9%), which well offset the drop in metals stocks amid sharp correction in gold price. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

A positive week for JCI with strong performance and inflows into fundamental names.JCI recorded a strong 4.5% w-w rebound and was the second-best performing market within EM following Korea’s KOSPI index.The strong performance was particularly encouraging as it was led by the blue-chip/ fundamental names (i.e., BBCA +10.3% w-w, BBRI +10.0%, TLKM +14.2%, BMRI +12.3%, ASII +16.9%), which well offset the drop in metals stocks amid sharp correction in gold price. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

BRIDS Market Pulse : Chart of the Week – Banking Sector Forward PBV Ratio

Indonesia

PT Telkom Indonesia (Persero) Tbk. is a telecommunication company that provides a variety of domestic telecommunications services such as telephone, telex, telegram, satellite, and leased lines services. The Company also offers electronic mail, mobile communication, and cellular phone services.

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Telkom Indonesia (TLKM IJ)

Macro Strategy: 2026: Reassessing the Investment Cycle

Manufacturing-led FDI now anchors investment growth, lifting GFCF and widening regional benefit with Ex-Java areas benefiting the most.

BRI Danareksa Research

Macro Strategy: 2026: The Dual Levers

Indonesia’s growth is driven by steady consumption and increasingly important investment, both forming dual engine for growth expansion.

BRI Danareksa Research

Macro Strategy: Growth Over Differentials

Indonesia’s economy maintained solid momentum in 3Q25, recording 5.04% y-y (1.43% q-q) growth, although slightly easing from 2Q25’s 5.12%.

BRI Danareksa Research

BRIDS Market Pulse : Chart of the Week – JCI Market Capitalization

MSCI has outlined two scenarios under this proposed method, which may effectively result in lower weighting for Indonesian stocks in MSCI EM Index.

BRI Danareksa Research

BRIDS Market Pulse : Chart of the Week – Banking Sector Forward PBV Ratio

JCI recorded a strong 4.5% w-w rebound and was the second-best performing market within EM following Korea’s KOSPI index.

BRI Danareksa Research

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